UFC Vegas 107 Best Bets: Picks and Predictions for the Apex Card on May 31
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David Manyun
- May 30, 2025
Top UFC Pick: Gamrot ML (-145) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
The Ultimate Fighting Championship returns to the octagon with an absolute banger of a fight card this weekend in Vegas!
Mateusz Gamrot, Ludovit Klein, Andreas Gustafsson, and Trevin Giles are involved in two main and preliminary card bangers, and I’m seeing some serious betting value up for grabs.
Let’s waste no more time and dive right into my favorite UFC Vegas 107 best bets, analysis, and predictions.
UFC Vegas 107 Event Information
- Date & Time: Saturday, May 31, 2025 – 06:00 PM ET
- Location: UFC Apex
- Scheduled Fights: 11
- Main Event: Erin Blanchfield vs. Mayee Barber (UFC Women’s Flyweight Bout)
Mateusz Gamrot vs. Ludovit Klein
UFC Vegas 107 Lightweight Main Card Co-Main Event Bout
Mateusz Gamrot Preview
Former KSW champion Mateusz Gamrot has campaigned to replicate his title success in other promotions since joining the UFC, but to no avail. He came awfully close, defeating multiple top-ranked names in Rafael Dos Anjos, Rafael Fiziev, and Jalin Turner, but all momentum was lost when he suffered a split decision defeat to Dan Hooker last time out.
The Polish native has struggled to book a fight since, but on Saturday, he’ll be faced with a fresh challenge and a fellow European standout whose winning streak cannot be overlooked.
- Gamrot Pro MMA Record: 24-3-0
- Gamrot KOs: 8
- Gamrot Submissions: 5
Ludovit Klein Preview
Ludovit Klein has an opportunity to jump a few lightweight ranking places this weekend by defeating a well-experienced and respected Gamrot. With seven straight fights unbeaten, many are viewing this as a winnable fight, although it must be noted that the competition level he’s faced isn’t close to that of his weekend opponent.
- Klein Pro MMA Record: 23-4-1
- Klein KOs: 9
- Klein Submissions: 8
Gamrot vs. Klein: Fight Tape Analysis
It’s no secret that Gamrot is all about that wrestling, and that’s precisely the skill set he’ll be looking to implement versus Klein, who’ll likely be the much cleaner and technical striker of the two. And to his advantage, he’ll be significantly larger come fight night, as we can expect a wrestler to use his size and attempt to dominate this fight on the ground.
While some will highlight Klein’s impressive takedown defense, he has never faced a legitimate wrestler in the top rankings of the UFC lightweight division. The difference between Gamrot and the wrestlers Klein has faced in the past lies in their relentless pursuit. In other words, Gamrot won’t stop spamming takedowns until he has his way!
Considering moments of the fight that take place on the feet, while I do expect Klein to hold the advantages here, his overall output isn’t good enough to replicate what Hooker did. Hooker was overwhelming, but Klein doesn’t give that level of output!
UFC Vegas 107 Main Card Odds & Prediction
The UFC odds place Gamrot as the betting favorite, but -145 isn’t a bad line whatsoever.
When you consider the level of competition faced, Klein hasn’t fought anyone close to Gamrot, and this alone might show that his seven-fight win streak is a lot safer when competing against the mid-tier fighters he’s accustomed to.
With the size, wrestling, and knowledge of knowing his only path to victory, I expect Gamrot to be consistent with the grappling pressure, and while he isn’t the greatest at holding positions, I don’t believe Klein will have enough time on the feet to cause enough damage and keep his streak in-tact.
UFC Pick: Gamrot ML (-145) [1.45u returns 1u profit] at BetOnline
Andreas Gustafsson vs. Trevin Giles
UFC Vegas 107 Welterweight Preliminary Card Bout
Andreas Gustafsson Preview
As far as UFC debutants go, Sweden’s Andreas Gustafsson is one to get excited for, as this Dana White’s Contender Series alumnus will make his first walk to the octagon behind three consecutive knockout wins and an overall career of 11-2 that’s provided 10 wins via KO/TKO or submission.
Naturally, octagon jitters and failing to live up to the hype is always a concern around debut fighters. Still, if there’s one guarantee we can take from Gustafsson’s career to date, it’s that he’s going to bring the violence this weekend, win or lose!
- Gustafsson Pro MMA Record: 11-2
- Gustafsson KOs: 8
- Gustafsson Submissions: 2
Trevin Giles Preview
Trevin Giles is an octagon OG who has become accustomed to the bright lights of the UFC, boasting eight years of experience. Undoubtedly, this factor will be an edge for him in the Apex on Saturday, but will this full-time police officer, part-time fighter, have what it takes to overcome a 3-fight losing skid he’s currently riding?
- Giles Pro MMA Record: 16-7
- Giles KOs: 6
- Giles Submissions: 5
Gustafsson vs. Giles: Fight Tape Analysis
When it comes to experience and boxing at range, I’d have no issues backing Trevin Giles to walk out of Vegas victorious versus an inexperienced foe. However, the variables extend much further, and if there’s one outlying trend surrounding Giles of late, it’s that he’s been a punching bag for up-and-coming fighters looking to make a name for themselves.
Giles was completely outclassed by Mike Malott, knocked out by Carlos Prates, and submitted by Gabriel Bonfim. While these fighters weren’t making their UFC debuts, they all have a commonality with Gustafsson, and that’s how they’re all rising prospects in the sport.
This doesn’t automatically mean that Gustafsson is guaranteed to win, of course. However, this Swede is a violent man, and historically, pressure-based fighters that can cause damage have been Giles’ kryptonite.
UFC Vegas 107 Prelim Odds & Prediction
For Giles to succeed, I believe he’d need to keep the striking at range and out-point the newcomer to a decision win. Unfortunately, Gustafsson isn’t going to kick back and allow this to happen. Based on his past fights, he’s going to risk it all and enter the pocket. Whether he’s clinching up and dishing out damage or throwing menacing offense in the pocket, I expect him to be a serious problem for a fighter in Giles who has seemingly lost his confidence.
The odds place Gustafsson as the betting favorite, and rightfully so. Fortunately for us, it sits at a respectable -160, which is entirely playable as a single wager, and one that I see as a viable moneyline bet.
UFC Pick: Gustafsson ML (-160) [1.6 returns 1u profit] at Everygame (visit our Everygame Review)
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
