NCAAF Futures – 2025 SEC Championship Odds: Is SEC Football Overrated?
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Doug Upstone
- May 21, 2025
Not only has SEC Football failed to win a national championship the past two years, the conference has failed to have a participant in the title games. Making matters worse, the team to reach the semi-finals was Texas, who most still consider a Big 12 school, now just cashing SEC payroll checks.
Questions arose last year, is this conference overrated? Top to bottom, it is still the best in college football, however, the NIL money changed the landscape and top tier players have options even with the Southeastern Conference deep pockets.
Before heading to the top-rated sportsbooks, here is a look at what teams are expected to play for the conference crown and outlooks on the rest playing for bowl bids.
Best NCAAF Futures Betting Sites
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Texas (+270)
Over/Under 9.5 Wins
Every year, the Missouri Valley Conference has their basketball tourney in St. Louis, known as – Arch Madness. Not sure if they copyrighted that phrase, but we do know in Austin, TX and throughout the SEC, there is a new kind of “Arch Madness” for Texas quarterback Arch Manning.
The Longhorns will visit both Georgia and Florida with the former the tougher assignment. The Horns should reach the title game, but the Eyes of Texas will be on the season opener in Columbus.
Alabama (+375)
Over/Under 9.5 Wins
Alabama at 9-3 wasn’t overly impressive last season, though they played better late. Kalen DeBoer’s second season should be smoother, particularly with OC Ryan Grubb back with DeBoer.
Look for a more consistent offense. The defense has to be more stout up front and have a secondary that makes plays. Returning to the title game a strong possibility, but wins at Georgia and Florida are not guaranteed.
Georgia +400
Over/Under 9.5 Wins
Georgia lost numerous players. Just don’t feel sorry for Coach Kirby Smart. He’s a master recruiter who had an odd team that didn’t play with the usual Georgia passion. Look for that to change with improvement on both lines and a massive upgrade through the portal at wide receiver.
The Bulldogs have Bama, Florida and Texas all at home, with difficult though hardly impossible trips to Auburn and Tennessee. Our favorite bet of the SEC elite to win the championship.
LSU (+950)
Over/Under 8.5 Wins
Brian Kelly is a mild disappointment at LSU. The Tigers mirror Kelly’s career, plenty of quality wins, just never the one everyone in the program points to.
With QB Garrett Nussmeier returning, the passing game is in great hands. The O-Line and backs project stronger. It’s time for Kelly to have an SEC defense that makes stops. Another crazy opener for LSU, at Clemson. To reach 10 wins with a chance of getting to Atlanta, Kelly has to win at Ole Miss and finish with a ‘W’ in Norman.
Mississippi (+1000)
Over/Under 8.5 Wins
While questions still arise about Lane Kiffin’s in-game coaching, he’s a great recruiter and arguably the best at finding needs in the portal in this conference. For Ole Miss, nobody will speak badly about Kiffin falling at Athens this fall.
What the Rebels have to avoid is losing winnable games, which is becoming an annual event. A longer shot to reach the Mercedes-Benz in early December, unless they take off their business, like beating LSU, Florida and Oklahoma.
2025 NCAAF Championship Winner Odds
Texas A&M (+1400)
Over/Under 7.5 Wins
Conventional wisdom had head coach Mike Elko needing a few years to recruit his type of players in Aggie-Land. Unfortunately, there is nothing conventional about football in the SEC. The schedule is a bear again for Texas A&M and they might well be an Under outfit for season wins.
Tennessee (+1500)
Over/Under 8.5 Wins
It feels like if coach Todd Helton can develop a quarterback, the running game is well above average, and the defense can make plays and stops, if they are not forced into bad field position or ugly miscues.
Currently, a trip to the Swamp is what could keep Vols out of the playoffs. If no quarterback emerges, even beating 8 wins isn’t certain.
South Carolina +2000
Over/Under 7.5 Wins
The way South Carolina finished last season, expectations are higher at South Carolina than what the market appears to think of the Gamecocks.
Shane Beamer is a solid coach, and his exhilarating two-way QB LaNorris Sellers could make this USC the more famous one. Expect a 5-0 start and lots of hype. The next four skirmishes will tell the tale of this bunch: at LSU, Oklahoma, Alabama and at Ole Miss. Eight victories are possible, just not certain.
Auburn (+3000)
Over/Under 7.5 Wins
If you are after a sharp-money longshot, Auburn fits the bill. The Tigers appear to have the players to fit Hugh Freeze’s style of offense, with Jackson Arnold (from Norman) in the shotgun. The defense has made strides each year under Freeze.
Is this the year Auburn stops beating itself in key moments? The Over is possible and if the squad comes together, it might be one of those shocking Auburn campaigns.
Florida (+3000)
Over/Under 6.5 Wins
We think Billy Napier is a quality coach. A cutthroat SEC guy? Not necessarily. He got last year’s Florida version to believe and he has a potential stud in QB dynamic DJ Lagway.
Here is why we can’t buy on the Gators. After two easy home wins, six of Florida’s next eight battles are on the road. That’s seven conference conflicts and a trip to Miami. Tough draw.
Oklahoma (+3000)
Over/Under 6.5 Wins
There is a school of thought that this is the year coach Brent Venables has a breakout season.
This is his fourth year in Norman, and he hired Washington State OC Ben Arbuckle, who brought along talented quarterback John Mateer. Yes, the offense needs fixing, but Oklahoma has not had anything close to the defenses he had as the DC at Clemson. The oddsmakers’ win total says it all.
Missouri (+4500)
Over/Under 7.5 Wins
The Tigers offense has a ton of talent to replace after three consecutive 10-win seasons. Coach Eli Drinkwitz most likely takes a step back this year with seven or eight victories quite possible.
Arkansas +15000
Over/Under 5.5 Wins
Sam Pittman has done a decent job at Arkansas. He saved his job a year ago, but the NIL dollars only go so far at this location and the number of NFL possible draft choices isn’t the same as a few years ago when they competed in the SEC West.
QB Taylen Green is capable of big plays and big mistakes.
Kentucky (+30000)
Over/Under 4.5 Wins
Last year Kentucky missed a bowl game for the first time since 2015. The Wildcats had a nice run of at least good college QBs under Mark Stoops. Not the last couple of years and it hurt the program. Nothing major shaking at that position. Another Under possible.
Vanderbilt (+30000)
Over/Under 4.5 Wins
Quarterback Diego Pavia was electric for Vanderbilt a year ago, getting his team to a bowl game.
Pavia is going to need even more magic because the road slate is horrific. The Commodores have a puncher’s chance to fight their way to bowl eligibility. Just wouldn’t bet on it.
Mississippi State (+50000)
Over/Under 3.5 Wins
To be an Over play, Mississippi State needs a 4-0 nonconference record, because they won’t have a favorite role in the SEC, where they have dropped 15 of 16. Let’s say 3-9 at best.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
