NHL Best Bets for May 13: Dallas Stars To Remain Strong on Home Ice

It’s Been a Struggle

This has been a tough series for the Winnipeg Jets, but are we surprised after their Round One heroics against the St. Louis Blues? The Jets were expected to beat the Blues easily in the series, but instead won 4-3 and needed two goals in the final two minutes of Game 7 to advance to the second round.

The Jets came into the playoffs as the top-ranked defense in terms of goals allowed with just 2.3 per game. However, their playoffs so far have seen them allow 3.5 goals per game, which ranks as the worst of all the remaining teams left.

Dallas Improving

The Dallas Stars started their campaign by taking out a huge scalp in the Colorado Avalanche during the first round. The Stars noticeably got better as the series went on. Dallas has brought that confidence into this round and has the Jets on the ropes right now.

A win for the Stars tonight would see them one win away from Round Three, with the following games of this series rotating between home and away games, meaning a win tonight would see them at the very vying for a win to wrap up the series on home ice during Game 7 should they fail to win next time out.

The Dallas Stars and Winnipeg Jets have both scored 2.9 goals per game in the playoffs thus far, while the Stars have allowed 3.2 goals per game.

Four Shutouts

Recent matchups between these teams have seen four shutout games (three for the Jets and one for the Stars), including the Jets’ only victory in this series, which was a 4-0 victory during their last home game.

Nine of the previous ten games between both teams have seen the total go Under 5.5 goals, with the last 5-2 win for the Dallas Stars being their only 6+ goals game across their last ten meetings.

Winnipeg vs. Dallas Trends & Facts

• The total has gone Under in 4 of Winnipeg’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas.
• The total has gone Over in 5 of Winnipeg’s last 5 games on the road.
• The total has gone Under in 10 of Dallas’ last 11 games against Winnipeg.
• Dallas is 1-7 in its last 8 games when playing as the favorite.
• Stars have won 16 of their last 24 games at home this season.

The Pick

This game screams a Dallas Stars victory, but -140 might seem like a bit too much of a squeeze, even though we do believe the Stars can win this game. Still, we wouldn’t like to lay any less than -120.

Yes, the Winnipeg Jets are not performing to their regular season levels, but they are not a bad team and a win tonight can turn their whole season around.

We bet the Over 5.5 last time out and cashed. It was a ballsy play, as the Under usually hits when these teams play. This time around, we are going back to the trends and stats, as we believe the Under 5.5 goals at -110 is the best bet here.

The Jets need to up their defense for this game or they are most likely going to be sent packing. Both teams are naturally defensive-oriented, and this could be a tight game, so don’t be surprised if the Under 4.5 hits either.

NHL Pick: Under 5.5 (-110) at BetOnline

Under 5.5 (-110)

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