Quickly, we are into week 3 of the NFL season at BMR, and the betting markets are getting livelier by the week
The early money has been for the Green Bay Packers from before week 1, with no sign of slowing down.
Amazingly, the Kansas City Chiefs are under pressure and 0-2, having lost at home to the reigning Super Bowl champions, the Philadelphia Eagles, who themselves are 2-0 now.
The Buffalo Bills and Baltimore Ravens also have their seasons well underway and look on track to meet their lofty expectations.
We get straight into week 3, looking at the Kansas City Chiefs when they visit another 0-2 team, the New York Giants at the MetLife Stadium on Monday Night Football.
Kansas City Chiefs vs. New York Giants (+5.5)
Sunday, September 21 – 8:20 PM EDT
There are questions to answer for the Chiefs, and in defeating the Giants will have gained more credit than their more illustrious opponents, when nearly beating the Dallas Cowboys in their high scoring Divisional encounter on Sunday, 37-40.
The one noticeable positive in the New Yorker’s play on Sunday was their game through the air, with Russell Wilson putting up an amazing 450 yards. Certainly, sending the football airborne looks to trouble the Chiefs’ defence currently, so that almost guarantees the Giants putting up points
The spread is currently fluctuating between 5.5 and 6.00 on the BMR live odds module, having moved towards the Giants by at least a point since the lookahead lines were released.
Despite the gut instinct that somehow the Chiefs will win, our recommended bet is to take the New York Giants +6 at a top sportsbook like Heritage, as we could be spot on that the Chiefs win, but the Giants cover a generous spread at home.
Green Bay Packers vs. Cleveland Browns (+8.5)
Sunday, September 21 – 1:00 PM EDT
When deciding which line to bet on a match, on occasion, you must think a little outside the box. In this contest with the Packers visiting the Browns, you have two franchises at opposite ends of the NFL spectrum.
The Packers have wowed bettors since the pre-week 1 signing of Micah Parsons, which has only gone further in shoring up their formidable reputation. In many bettors’ minds, the Green Bay Packers are now favourites for the Super Bowl of 2026.
Whereas after an encouraging week 1, the Browns regressed badly as they got overrun by the Baltimore Ravens. Nevertheless, taking the road team giving well over a touchdown spread (7 points) is always a concern, especially early in the season. Therefore, we switch to the total points that seem a bit on the low side at 41.5 or 42, currently at the live NFL odds.
It would not be the biggest shock if the Packers put up at least 28 points or better, after all, the Ravens managed 41 of their own last weekend.
Dallas Cowboys vs. Chicago Bears (-1.5)
Sunday, September 21 – 4:25 PM EDT
This is an interesting matchup, and if my thoughts are correct, one that readers should keep an eye on the live odds for.
This match could well end up with a different favourite when game time approaches, as the Cowboys have shown far more encouragement thus far in their campaign with a high-scoring win versus the Giants and a close defeat to the reigning Super Bowl champions, the Philadelphia Eagles.
Whereas it has been a difficult start for the Bears, with a close loss to the Minnesota Vikings followed by a hammering from the Detroit Lions.
Caleb Williams is yet to find his feet at quarterback for the Bears, whereas the return of elite quarterback Dak Prescott has made a dramatic difference to what is a young team in Dallas.
To save any confusion, we are recommending you bet the Dallas Cowboys on the money line, which is now +110 at Bovada.
Always compare Sportsbook
As discussed in our bets, the NFL odds always change, allowing readers to get the sharpest lines around at the rigorously tested and recommended sportsbooks.
Keep an eye on the odds as the games approach, and get the best line available on our recommended bets and take the opportunity to open a new sportsbook or two to compare lines this and future weeks.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
