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  1. chilidog

    Tulane +4.5

    I'm on Tulane +4.5. They already beat ECU 86-81 a couple of weeks ago, and nothing suggests ECU is suddenly going to flip the script. The Green Wave shot 48% from the field, 39% from three, and got to the free-throw line 29 times in that win. Meanwhile, ECU has one of the worst three-point...
  2. chilidog

    Rockets vs Pels Over 230

    5-1 on posted plays. Pels are hosting the Rockets tonight in the Blender. I think the Pels cover the +4.5, but it's hard to tell which squad is going to show up. We've got a strong projected lineup tonight, and Houston has been struggling. They've lost 3 straight and haven't won a road game...
  3. chilidog

    Late-night play: Pistons -3.5

    Going for 6-0. I like Detroit to cover the -3.5 points. The Pistons are one of the hottest teams in the NBA right now, going 10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games while pushing for playoff positioning. Meanwhile, the Clippers have dropped 6 of their last 7, including a brutal collapse last...
  4. chilidog

    Florida/Bama over 178.5

    We’ve got an SEC showdown tonight with Florida vs Bama, and both teams are fighting for a double bye in the SEC Tournament. Florida comes in at 25-4 (12-4 SEC), while the Tide sits at 23-6 (12-4 SEC). Both teams are elite offensively: Alabama leads the nation in scoring at 91 ppg, while Florida...
  5. chilidog

    Wolves -9

    On a little run here, trying to make it 4-0. We've got 5 weeks left of the regular season, and 6 teams are in must-win mode right now, either fighting to hold onto a guaranteed top 6 playoff spot, or trying to get out of or into the play-in tourney. Looking at that, we've got a team playing...
  6. chilidog

    Lakers -8.5

    I'm a Pels fan, but I have to roll with the Lakeshow -8.5 tonight. Lakers are on a 6-game win streak and sitting in 2nd in the West. Lakers have been dominant at home (23-7). The Pels have had a brutal season but they're showing signs of life, winning 4 of their last 5. With Zion healthy and...
  7. chilidog

    Kentucky -12.5

    I'm on Kentucky -12.5. The Wildcats sit at 19-10 (8-8 SEC) and are coming off a 94-78 loss to No. 1 Auburn, while LSU has struggled to 14-15 (3-13 SEC) on the year. Kentucky is averaging 85.3 PPG, ranking 5th nationally, while LSU is only scoring 72.6 PPG, which puts them at a major disadvantage...
  8. chilidog

    Pels-Jazz Tonight: Over is the Play 🔥

    The over is the play tonight. Both these teams play defense like they just met each other in the parking lot. The Pels are giving up 118.7 ppg, the Jazz are allowing 119.3 ppg, and neither one of them can stop a nosebleed in transition. Utah’s been hitting overs like clockwork (9 of their last...
  9. chilidog

    Some live EPL action this fine Saturday morning

    Kicking off the day's action with Tottenham to win in regulation +525 and the draw +325
  10. chilidog

    doubling down on nuggets

    i shit the bed w/ 76ers doubling down on nuggets ML, grabbed it live at +120 i got the air fryer going with some nuggies in there sippin on a lipton hard iced tea life's good
  11. chilidog

    free McChicken today

    in the McD app go get it, gratis
  12. chilidog

    Bobby, you like spicy?

    Bobby, you should try this. Packs some heat. delicious.
  13. chilidog

    never forget cecil

    Guys, please remember Cecil. That's all.
  14. chilidog

    Bobby, caramel

    yo Bobby, I know how much you like caramel. you gotta try this one out, dawg. it’s so good.
  15. chilidog

    bobby, must-see vegas stuff?

    i'm just got back from a work trip to vegas, and going back in april. i'll have more free time on my hands then; what's the most-see stuff i gotta do?
  16. chilidog

    these sportsbooks have the best lines

    I thought this was interesting. It's the number of bets I've placed at each sportsbook over the past week, based on which book gave me the best line. I've finally got a soccer model that's going to kick in this week, so I'm curious to see which books give the best soccer lines as well. I have...
  17. chilidog

    Best way to convert spread to ML to determine closing line value?

    I initially started using the 1/2 pt calculator to determine this, but it's a PITA to do this all the time. With everything else I have automated in my spreadsheet, I wanted to do this the same, so I started brainstorming different ways. I also don't know how current the 1/2 pt calculator is...
  18. chilidog

    Favorites page hasn't work for several days now

    It just stays stuck on loading:
  19. chilidog

    How to tell if a new system is going to work or not

    I don't know about y'all, but I'm always testing out new systems. It's become one of my hobbies. I used to struggle with knowing at what point is a system probably to fail, or one of the few gems that end up being profitable. Do you let it run for 100 games? 250? 500? How do you know if...
  20. chilidog

    Anybody have a model and set your own lines?

    Something that always intrigued me was how do books set the opening lines (not the ones that just mirror pinny or bet365). When I used to work at a book, we subscribed to betradar which set the lines for us, then we'd adjust based on bet activity. We were rarely balanced with action and usually...
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