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Wash/Phi over 47.5 TB total 51 Buffalo +1.5** TB 48 Last week was brutal with the end of those games, lol

I think he'll do well today. It's always him or Goedert for me to decide. Let's hope it's Brown today for LT's sake. Told you Bills, LT (-:

I know it's a close line, but what's the angle here for Ravens bettors? Admittedly, I'm betting the Bills I just don't know why you'd go against the better QB at home (with said line). Is it that the Ravens won in Week 4?

Texans +8.5 Lions -9.5 ** Rams/Eagles under 44.5 Buffalo PK

Chargers -2.5 Ravens -9.5 Bills -9.5 ** Packers +4.5 Buccaneers -2.5 Vikings/Rams under 47.5

Just ML? That ain't gonna happen, so it's hard for me to assign a value to it; admittedly I'm biased since I'll be betting the Bills and laying the points. I'd say the Packers are the best value, given that I think that they clearly have the best win % as a dog.

I'm ready to go.

I should do it more. I like to shoot the shit with the idiots on the Fade Lang thread over yonder, and it turns out that that site is particularly bad and doesn't even track plays anymore, so I should just start making the picks here. Not that it matters, since everything is so dependent on what...

Has anyone on the internet checked Sagarin's picks ATS (I guess vs closing line) with the various categories (he has many, predictor-golden mean-recent-strong recent, etc)? I'm curious how that turns out. Obviously, I'm aware that many of these models are are least very similar to what is used...

I didn't see it in that video, but I like it. This makes sense (do you recall how he got up to 71%?) and I think it's what a friend of mine, who is a smart guy but doesn't understand the math or handicapping in general like I do, would call the random part of the game or the play or small number...

Here's what I don't like about it, though I don't think we know all the details to be fair, which probably adds a few reasons more why he was fired: You should already know if Mayo can hack it, given he is a former player and on average the ask is high for both that and a black guy that didn't...

Was KVB the stats guy that had the informational videos across the street? I recall liking that guy.

Michael Jack, check out my thread. I'm in Vegas soon and I'll be betting on the games ... from a ladder. Swing by.

I'll get the picks going soon but if anyone is in Vegas, I'll be there from tomorrow through the Vikings Rams game. Come by for a drink on me! JJ should finally show.

Let's have some fun today and hit up the late games especially, and throw a nice prop out there: Josh Allen over 39.5 rushing yards Packers -2.5 Bills +2.5 Broncos ML Bucs/Chargers under 45.5

He's gonna get worked.

Yes, I'm feeling Cardinals and Chargers as top plays. I might tease Atlanta, as I think another team plays the Vikings real close, but am a little skittish on that line.

What're this weeks plays?

I bet the Eagles, homer. They are very good. I still think Detroit and Green Bay are better. The Packers could have easily gotten the win in week 1 and that was a slosh fest. Also bad calls vs GB. The playoffs are going to be fun, that's for sure.

I like the Lions Packers teaser. Yes, I'll cross zero at home with the Pack; I do think Miami is playing a lot better, which is why I wouldn't lay 3.5