Suns vs. Warriors NBA Predictions and Top Play for March 30

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Deandre Ayton #22 of the Phoenix Suns dunks. Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images/AFP

The Phoenix Suns (61-14) take the best record in the NBA into Golden State (48-28) this Wednesday evening on ESPN. The Suns have won eight in a row while the Warriors are 1-6 since Steph Curry’s injury.

Phoenix Suns vs. Golden State Warriors

Wednesday, March 30, 2022 – 10:00 PM EDT at Chase Center

The Suns (42-33 ATS) are a 6-point favorite over the Warriors (36-36-4 ATS) at BMR’s top-rated sportsbooks with a total of 224.5 points.

Not only has Phoenix won eight in a row, but the Suns are 7-1 ATS during this streak. The Warriors are 1-6 ATS in the last seven games, but Golden State is the only team to log multiple wins against Phoenix this season.

Series Recap: Warriors Lead 2-1

These teams have not met since Christmas, but their first meeting this season was that historic matchup where both teams walked away with an 18-3 record as they were the class of the NBA to start the 2021-22 season.

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Phoenix has remained the best team while the Warriors have slipped and gotten considerably worse with the injury to Curry.

Curry was awful in the lone loss to Phoenix when he shot 4-of-21 from the field and only scored 12 points.

But he was pivotal in the rematch with 23 points, and then he had his finest game with 33 points on Christmas in a 116-107 win.

That game saw Devin Booker struggle for Phoenix with 13 points on 5-of-19 shooting. Booker needs to play better against Golden State.

In the first meeting, he only logged 15 minutes of action before leaving with an injury that kept him out of the rematch later that week.

Booker comes in hot with an average of 33.0 points per game during this eight-game winning streak.

Neither team scored 120 points in any of the three meetings this year, but the Warriors have fallen off on defense.

In the month of March, the Warriors are No. 19 in Defensive Rating while the Suns are No. 4 in Offensive Rating despite only getting Paul back two games ago.

Can the Warriors Keep It Close?

The good news for Golden State is that the injury report should be good outside of Curry and James Wiseman.

That means the Warriors will have Klay Thompson, Jordan Poole, and Andrew Wiggins available after not always having them in recent games to go along with the huge loss of Curry.

Wiggins especially needs to show up. Since the Curry injury, Wiggins has declined and is only shooting 40.7% from the field and 21.4% from three.

He has been surpassed in importance by Jordan Poole, who has scored at least 20 points in 14 straight games with very good shooting efficiency metrics (.498/.454/.897).

But Poole is not a superstar player. He was on an island against Memphis on Monday as the Warriors played without Curry, Thompson, and Draymond Green.

The latter two are back, but the Warriors also need to find some defensive consistency too. Golden State has allowed at least 120 points in three straight games.

In fact, Golden State has allowed 120-plus points seven times in March after doing it just two times in the first 61 games this season.

Phoenix is an elite offense with its starting five intact, and before scoring 114 points in Sunday’s win over Philadelphia, the Suns scored at least 125 points in seven straight games – the longest streak in the NBA since the 1988 Nuggets.

Phoenix is having a historically great season. Chris Paul missed 15 games and it’s like he never left. In his two games since returning, Paul is shooting 60% and has 27 assists.

He still leads the NBA with 10.8 assists per game. Paul can join Steve Nash as the only two players in NBA history to average over 10.0 assists per game at age 36 or older.

Predictions

Phoenix is an impressive 16-10 ATS as a road favorite this season. This is only the second time all season the Warriors are a home underdog, but recent play and the difference in roster talent right now is too hard to ignore.

This is a tough draw with the Warriors taking on the two teams with the best records in the NBA in back-to-back games without Curry.

The Warriors should not get blown out as badly as they did against Memphis, but I still trust the Suns to cover for your NBA picks this Wednesday.

Score Prediction: Suns 118, Warriors 110

NBA Pick: Suns -6 (-115) with Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

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Suns -6 (-115)
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