UFC Vegas 59: Santos vs. Hill Best Bets (Archive)
The UFC is back in Las Vegas for UFC Vegas 59: Santos vs. Hill, and if you take a look at this card, you will be able to see many fights potentially ending inside the distance.
Two fights that I think have a lot of value are:
- Sam Avley vs. Michael Oleksiejczuk
- Augusto Sakai vs. Sergey Spivak
Read below for my UFC Best Bets.
Sam Alvey vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk
UFC Middleweight Preliminary Card Bout
Saturday, August 06, 2022 – 07:00 PM EDT at the UFC Apex
Contender Analysis
Who Is Sam Alvey?
Sam “Smile’n” Alvey is an American mixed martial artist with a current professional record of 33 wins (19 T/KO, 3 Submissions, 11 Decisions) and 17 losses (3 T/KO, 3 Submissions, 11 Decisions).
Alvey is mainly a striker and that left jab can be lethal. He is not a fast striker and will enter Saturday night off of 7 losses and 1 draw.
Who Is Michal Oleksiejczuk?
Michal “Hussar” Oleksiejczuk is a Polish mixed martial artist with a current professional record of 16 wins (11 T/KO, 1 Submission, 4 Decisions) and 5 losses (1 T/KO, 3 Submissions, 1 Decision).
Typically a southpaw fighter, he's a sharp and powerful striker as well. Oleksiejczuk is a solid wrestler, but not entirely his forte.
Alvey vs. Oleksiejczuk: Betting Pick and Prediction
Following 7 losses and 1 draw makes it very hard for me to back Alvey. His output is not high enough to compete with Michal, and I do think Michal will be hunting for an early finish.
Alvey’s chin has been depleting. So with his depleted chin and his lack of being able to win a fight in the last four years versus Michal’s advantage in speed and power.
I think the value sits with Olekiejczuk to win it inside the distance.
UFC Pick: Michal Oleksiejczuk to Win Inside the Distance (-145) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
Augusto Sakai vs. Sergey Spivak
UFC Heavyweight Main Card Bout
Saturday, August 06, 2022 - 10:00 PM EDT at the UFC Apex
Contender Analysis
Who Is Augusto Sakai?
Augusto Sakai is a Brazilian mixed martial artist with a current professional record of 15 wins (11 T/KO, 4 Decisions) and 4 losses (3 T/KO, 1 Decision).
Sakai is a powerful striker that stays light on his feet, and utilizes his leg kicks well. If he connects clean on a punch, he definitely has the power to end a fight.
Who Is Sergey Spivak?
Sergey “the Polar Bear” Spivak is a Moldovian mixed martial artist with a current professional record of 14 wins (6 T/KO, 6 Submissions, 2 Decisions) and 3 Losses (2 T/KO, 1 Decision).
Spivak is pretty well-rounded and does love to grapple for a heavyweight. His striking is slow, but his chin tends to stay strong so he can close the distance to clinch up and switch levels.
Sakai vs. Spivak: Betting Pick and Prediction
Although Sakai has lost his last three bouts by T/KO, I still think there is a lot of value behind him with the UFC odds at +250.
Spivak’s striking is very basic; he isn’t fast or sharp in his striking, and I do see an opportunity for Sakai to land a nasty jab to potentially end this fight early.
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Spivak tends to be sloppy and unpredictable. If he is able to connect on a punch, though, he can also be a potential threat as seen in his last victory against Greg Hardy.
If Sakai is capable of utilizing his leg kicks and his sharp jab, I think he will be able to keep this fight standing and come out victorious. Take the value with the underdog.
UFC Pick: Augusto Sakai (+250) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.