UFC Vegas 59 Picks and Predictions: Hot Prospect of the Week Michal Oleksiejczuk

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Join us as we preview a hot UFC prospect from this week’s UFC Fight Night: Thiago Santos vs. Jamahal Hill MMA event.

Continue for our UFC Vegas 59 betting guide – taking the first look at our hottest prospect of the week, Michal Oleksiejczuk, and his opponent Sam Alvey. Including updated UFC odds and our free expert UFC betting picks.

Michal Oleksiejczuk vs. Sam Alvey

UFC Middleweight Bout

Saturday, August 06, 2022 – 09:10 PM EDT at UFC Apex

UFC Fight Night Hot Prospect: Michal Oleksiejczuk

  • Record: 16-5-0

Poland's youngest UFC prospect Michal Oleksiejczuk joined the world's most elite MMA roster at the tender age of 22 years old. And despite testing positive for a banned substance and receiving a one-year ban from USADA, we shouldn't neglect the young prospect's 3-fight win streak with which he entered the company.

Due to his impressive beginnings, the competition level rose dramatically, and I believe Oleksiejczuk's UFC losses have stemmed from the company rushing him into the top rankings. Now, aged 27, the Polish standout possesses the elite experience his professional career was previously missing, with a ceiling he's yet to reach.

Oleksiejczuk has been competing as a professional for eight years. Joining the UFC at an early age after dominating the Polish regional scene may have handed him a handful of losses, but he's unquestionably leveled up since his early twenties.


Michal Oleksiejczuk Fight Analysis

The speed, head movement, and finishing ability of Oleksiejczuk will be too much for the aging "Smilin" Sam Alvey - a veteran who's riding a 7-fight losing streak.

Outside of a wild left hook, Alvey isn't going to present much danger to the Polish youngster.

The cardiovascular of Oleksiejczuk will be crucial in his ability to stop Alvey via a knockout or submission stoppage. The underdog has been through countless wars, and now he'll face a hungry, younger fighter looking for a statement victory following a decision loss from his previous fight.


Oleksiejczuk vs. Alvey: Betting Pick and Odds

Sam Alvey (33-17-0) is loved by the UFC fan base for his likable persona and attitude inside the cage – despite losing seven fights consecutively. The UFC matchmakers have fed Alvey to the up-and-coming youth of the middleweight roster in recent years, and this hasn't fared well for the veteran fighter.

Alvey is one loss away from losing a position on the UFC roster that he should've lost many fights ago. You can only fight on borrowed time for so long at the top of the sport, and although it isn't the kindest approach, Alvey's swan song is likely to play this weekend in Vegas.

The sportsbooks opened Oleksiejczuk with a -330 moneyline price, however, bettors have since pounded this price to -600, and I tip my hat to those who've done so.

Betting the current moneyline isn't viable for those looking to protect their long-term wagering investment. Still, I can't envision a world where Sam Alvey will handle the precision boxing of Oleksiejczuk for fifteen minutes.

Oleksiejczuk winning via KO/TKO or submission is a significantly greater price. I believe the value is present because Alvey hasn't handled the violence of the new generation very well, with four stoppage losses from his previous eight bouts.

UFC Pick: Oleksiejczuk to Win Inside the Distance (-140) [1.40u returns 1u] at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Oleksiejczuk to Win Inside the Distance (-140)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.


UFC Vegas 59 Main Card