Best Bets For Today's Games (October 23) (Archive)

We have a packed slate with college football, NBA, Game 6 of the National League Championship Series and more. Read on as our team of expert handicappers share their best bets for Saturday.

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UFC Pick: Francisco Trinaldo -130

Reason: Trinaldo is a pioneer for UFC. But this man still has gas in the tank. His overwhelming push the pace style is going to really make Grant uncomfortable. I can see Trinaldo pushing this pace all fight and possibly KO/ or submission him. Both are around the same age but Trinaldo still looks like he has a lot left in the tank and Grant’s chin is very questionable.

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College Football Pick: San Diego State +3.5 (-115)

Reason: Guess what we have here. A huge public line. Vegas uses power numbers, remember that. They don’t have time to analyze 50 games and see what we see. What do we see? Well, Air Force has looked amazing lately. They beat Boise Stare (a name team who is under .500), Wyoming (there’s a win that we will remember because the week before Wyoming was -31.5 and almost lost to UConn (insert joke here)), New Mexico (2-5 and 37 points in 5 weeks scary team there), I think you get the point. Of course you can argue San Diego State hasn’t beaten anyone either but San Jose State is a decent team with a great defense, they beat Utah (best team in Pac-12 I would have to say after what they did last week to Arizona State) and they are undefeated (6-0).

None of this matters because what matters is one thing. Air Force throws the ball 7 times a game (1-5 59 yards last game, yes one completion all game) because they are one dimensional. They run, run, run. That’s all they do. Why does that matter? Well SD St. is built for one thing, and that is to stop the run. They are the #1 rushing defense. They give up 61 yards a game and only 2.1 per attempt. Those are scary numbers. When all you do is run and you are going against the best defense to stop it, what do you think will happen? If you didn’t need the obvious, here’s more: SD St. just held Utah to 70 yards rushing and since then they have run for 603 yards in the last 3 games. (I’m pretty sure Utah is a better team than Air Force). San Diego State has won the last 8 versus Air Force. They know how to stop the option attack.

Finally, if that doesn’t sell you, I have some # ‘s which I can’t reveal but in the last 40 years the situation we have here with an undefeated underdog (some other stuff is involved of course) has hit 94% of the time. So the best run defense in the country, 8 wins in a row H2H, undefeated team getting points, 94% chance of winning and they are the underdog tonight. Not often we can laugh at the lines but we will because we will win this game. I will take the points because they are giving them to me. San Diego State 27-20. Cash the outright doggie.

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NBA Pick: Heat -4

Reason: The Heat have a team built with two-way stars. They showed this after dominating the Bucks last game out. Look for them to hold their own on defense and pull away with an offense that’s nothing to scoff at. Let’s cash another!

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College Football Pick: UCLA -1 (-105)

Reason: Overall I think UCLA is flat out the better team! I think Oregon will struggle with the Bruins’ dynamic run game and If UCLA can limit the Ducks’ pass attack today I see Chip walking away with a big win against his former team!

SEE ALSO: Another Oregon vs. UCLA College Football Pick

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MLB Pick: Dodgers: ML (-140)

Reason: Another must-win game for the Dodgers. Buehler is pitching and expect a big performance from him.

SEE ALSO: Another Dodgers vs. Braves NLCS Game 6 Pick

For more picks, visit our Sports Betting and Handicapping Chat

This article will be updated throughout the day.

Best Bets For Today’s Games (October 23) (Archive)