It was hard to find value on the match winners markets in this first set of 2nd leg games in the Champions League round of 16 this midweek.
However, we found a +225 parlay we like involving goals in this week’s set of games, so let’s get into some UCL odds for this week.
Tuesday, March 08, 2022 – 03:00 PM EST at Anfield
Liverpool eased to victory in the first leg away from home with a 2-0 win over an Inter Milan team, who at the time was going through a bad run of form. They have since slipped out of that form with an overwhelming 5-0 win over Salernitana during the weekend. They had failed to score for four games in a row prior to those 5 goals a couple of days ago.
Liverpool are on fire right now having won 10 matches in a row, and in their previous 15 matches, they won 13 and tied twice.
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We are targeting the over 2.5 goals here, Liverpool should dominate Inter Milan at home and at the very least we see them scoring twice, meanwhile, Inter Milan are desperate for a goal and they do have the ability to score against this Liverpool team.
We see this game having the potential for a whole range of possible scorelines, 2-1 to either team, 2-2, even a 3-0 home win wouldn’t be surprising, all roads lead to goals so let’s stick with that and take over 2.5 match goals to start our parlay.
An encouraging stat is that Liverpool’s previous 14 first-halfs of football have seen at least one goal scored in 11 of 14.
Champions League Pick: Over 2.5 Goals (-135) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
Tuesday, March 08, 2022 – 03:00 PM EST at Allianz Arena
These teams let a lot of sports betters down last time they met as the game only ended 1-1. Many bettors were on the over 3.5 goals, which had already been juiced to -110 with most top sportsbooks.
We are back for the second leg in Germany and although Munich had a difficult 1-1 draw at the weekend against Bayern Leverkusen, we really do expect goals in this second leg. Besides a 0-0 draw, back in 2009, these teams have combined for 16 goals in three matches prior to the tie last time out.
Munich will likely bombard the Salzburg net and the away team will no doubt look to catch Munich on the break, we see this game easily going over 2.5 goals and we wouldn’t be opposed to adding in over 3.5 goals here in order to boost the parlay to +350.
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Incredibly the previous game ended with 33 shots on goal and 14 on target, yet we only saw two goals scored, expect similar stats this time around and it'll be unlikely to not see at least three goals scored.
Champions League Pick: Over 2.5 Goals (-333) at BetOnline
Wednesday, March 09, 2022 – 03:00 PM EST at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Although we are laying -200 juice here, we believe it still to be of incredible value. First of all, Real Madrid are not a massive overs team like the days of the Galacticos.
Just three of their previous 20 home games have seen over 3.5 goals scored and although they trail PSG 1-0 from the first leg, they know outscoring this talented team is not an option, Madrid will be more than happy to have this game at 0-0 come the 65/70th minute.
Madrid will not look to win this game early and they are most likely prepared and hoping for extra time and penalties. PSG will most likely sit back and look to counter, but they won’t be going all out to score.
We don’t believe we are going to see three goals in this game, let alone four so getting -200 on the under 3.5 goal line seems really generous for our parlay, in our eyes.
If you alternatively wanted to take under 2.5 goals here as well as over 3.5 in the Munich match, it's currently working out at +590 for your soccer picks.
Champions League Pick: Under 3.5 Goals (-200) at BetOnline
UCL Best Bet: Three-Leg Parlay (+225) at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.