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Serie A Matchday 37 Top Betting Picks (Archive)

Originally published on May 11, 2022

Matchday 37 in Serie A and we still don’t have a winner with just two rounds remaining. Although we know it will be going to the city of Milan as they are the only two teams who can still mathematically claim the trophy.

Let’s check out what soccer picks we have in store for the second last round of the season.

AS Roma vs. Venezia FC

Saturday, May 14, 2022 – 02:45 PM EDT at Stadio Olimpico

How to Bet Roma vs. Venezia?

What a game we have in store for Serie A fans here. The contrast to both of these teams' previous games and league positions says a lot. We have Roma sitting in 4th who are in a fight for European football next season, but it seems they are confident they can beat Feyenoord for automatic qualification in the Conference League final because they were unbelievably poor last time out against Fiorentina.

The best way to describe their performance was like a team who had zero interest in being there and it was a miracle they only lost 2-0. It could have been 6/7 if Fiorentina pushed hard.

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Meanwhile, Venezia is all but relegated sitting 5 points adrift of safety with just two games remaining, but they put up a valiant effort on home soil in a 4-3 win over Bologna despite losing 3-2 with just 12 minutes remaining.

As much as we would love to see a Venezia win here it might be a stretch too far. Roma was so poorly last time there will be an expected reaction. It doesn’t help that Venezia has won just 3 of their 18 away games this season.

We are not scared to say it, we are going against the stats here and betting the Over 3.5 goals line. Roma at home and Venezia away have seen just 6 of 36 games go over the 3.5 total. We just feel too much is on the line and things could get very stretched, and at plus money, we are happy to place this bet with one of the best sportsbooks.

Score Prediction: Roma 3 - Venezia 1

Soccer Pick: Over 3.5 Goals (+110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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AC Milan vs. Atalanta BC

Sunday, May 15, 2022 - 12:00 PM EDT at San Siro

How to Bet Milan vs. Atalanta?

This is the one game Inter Milan will be hoping their rivals can slip up on as Milan holds a 2-point advantage over them in the league. Although with that being said, Milan travels to Sassuolo on the final day of the season and that’s no gimme either.

Milan comes into this game having beat Verona 3-1 last time out to stay top of the league. Midfielder Sandro Tonali is almost single-handed bringing Milan to championship glory after a last-minute winner against Fiorentina in round 35 and scoring twice last time out against Verona. For context, he had previously scored 2 goals in 32 games.

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Atalanta won't lay down here. They are fighting for a European finish now that they are sitting in 8th position and level on points with Fiorentina and Roma.

Despite Atlanta having had the 3rd best road form this season and going 7 games undefeated against Milan on the road, we again are going against stats and trends as we feel Milan is too confident right now and we see them shutting Atalanta out, in a low scoring victory.

Milan has gone 5 games in a row without conceding at home and has kept a clean sheet in 8 of their previous 10 home games.

Take Milan and Under 4.5 goals for some excellent +130 Serie A odds.

Score Prediction: AC Milan 2 - Atalanta 0

Soccer Pick: AC Milan to Win + U4.5 Goals (+130) at BetOnline

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AC Milan to Win + U4.5 Goals (+130)
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Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio

Monday, May 16, 2022 - 02:45 PM EDT at Allianz Stadium

How to Bet Juventus vs. Lazio?

Although 7 points separate Juventus in 4th and Lazio in 5th, this isn’t a game either team will want to rest on their laurels. Especially Lazio, as a defeat here, with other results going against them, could see them heading into the final day being dragged into a battle for 5th to 7th, and amazingly could possibly finish 8th and outside of European football.

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Juventus are in no man’s land as they are 4 points behind Napoli in 3rd and it's unlikely they will catch them, and 7 points ahead of 5th means they can’t be caught. With this being all said, we still think Juventus won’t lie down here and we like goals in this one.

Lazio has seen Over 2.5 in 15 of their 18 road games, and despite Juventus having seen just 3 of 18 go Over 2.5 at home (the lowest in the league), Lazio on the road to Juventus in recent years have scored, and 6 of the previous 8 seen both teams score and Over 2.5 goals.

Score Prediction: Juventus 2 - Lazio 2

Soccer Pick: BTTS + O2.5 Goals (+100) at BetOnline

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.