European Banker of the Week: Napoli vs. Fiorentina (Archive)
One of the most exciting games on this weekend’s Serie A card is the matchup between Napoli who is currently in the title race and Fiorentina who is looking to make it into the top six for some European football next season.
This is a must-win for both teams if they wish to keep pace with their competitors this weekend. Here is all you need to know for your soccer picks.
SSC Napoli vs. ACF Fiorentina
Sunday, April 10, 2022 – 09:00 AM EDT at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli Stay Strong on the Road
Napoli was surprisingly given the underdog tag last time out when they were on the road to Atlanta. Understandably, Atalanta is a top team, but we didn’t understand why Napoli were underdogs, and we were proven right when they eventually came away with a 3-1 win in Bergamo. They cashed for all bettors at some nice Seria A odds of +230.
This weekend they look to continue their title race challenge with another tough game as they host Fiorentina. There will be concerns regarding their recent home form, having won four and lost four of their previous 10 games when playing on home soil. The other two end in draws.
They have been much better on the road this season, with the best overall road record in the league.
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Napoli finds themselves just 1 point behind league leaders AC Milan, although they have themselves to thank for that as they lost 1-0 to Milan this time last month. Having lost 5-2 to today’s opposition on home soil in the Italian cup a few months back, they will be eager to revenge that defeat.
Ten Games for Fiorentina Without Vlahovic
It’s been 10 games exactly since Dusan Vlahovic left for greener pastures at Juventus. How has Fiorentina done since his departure? Well, they have accumulated a total of five wins, three losses, and two draws. Comparing that to their previous 10 when they had the start-studded striker in their ranks where they won six, drew three, and lost just once.
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They haven’t done as bad as many people expected them to and they are just 2 points behind 6th placed Roma at the time of writing. They have even managed to go 4 league games unbeaten and one of those was an away draw against Inter Milan.
However, they have only won 1 road game all season long against a top 10 team, but they have managed to find the back of the net in 9 of their previous 10 road games.
Serie A Banker Pick
Although we really like Napoli in this spot and believe they will come away from the game with a win, we don’t like the odds on them at -125, it's too low given the fact they have three players out injured including Giovanni Di Lorenzo and Victor Osimhen is questionable for this game.
For this week’s banker, we are looking at both teams to score and over 2.5 match goals. The Serie A odds on this game are currently +110 with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review). The over stats are not favorable for our play, with Napoli at home only seeing 6 of their 15 go over 2.5 and Fiorentina away 8 of their 15.
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With that being said, these two teams will have had a whole week off and you can guarantee energy levels will be high here. Both teams need to win and the fact Fiorentina have proven they can score without Vlahovic is enough for us to be happy with the plus money on this Serie A banker.
The danger man for Fiorentina will be Euro 2020 sensation Krzysztof Piatek. The Polish striker has scored 3 goals in 8 appearances so far for the away side.
We correctly predicted Iheanacho to get on the scoreboard last weekend at Premier League odds of +300. Let’s try hit back-to-backs by taking Piatek to score anytime at odds of +270. These seem like generous odds when we consider he is the team's target man and is already the joint top goalscorer amongst the strikers in the squad.
Score Prediction: Napoli 2 - Fiorentina 1
Soccer Pick: Both Teams To Score + Over 2.5 Goals (+110) at BetOnline
Anytime Goalscorer Pick: Krzysztof Piatek ATG (+270) at the Top-Rated Sportsbooks
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.