Blue Jays vs. Yankees MLB Predictions for May 10 (Archive)
The New York Yankees will be looking for their league-leading 21st win of the season in tonight’s game against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Can the Yankees hold off the Blue Jays in the first game of the new series? Which team is the right MLB pick?
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees
Tuesday, May 10, 2022 – 07:05 PM EDT at Yankee Stadium
Yankees at Home
The New York Yankees won their 20th game of the season yesterday behind Nestor Cortes’ gem of a performance against the Texas Rangers.
The Yankees will now switch gears and take on the Toronto Blue Jays, at home.
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The Blue Jays are 17-13 on the season and trying to make up some ground against the Yankees in the AL East.
Who Will Pitch for the Blue Jays?
Toronto will pitch Yusei Kikuchi, who is a left-handed thrower with a 1-1 record along with a 4.35 ERA.
- Kikuchi has a 5.22 xFIP with 15.1% walks in the last 30 days but has been able to induce 54.2% ground balls along with allowing just 16.9% of line drives.
- Still, the lefty has struggled against righties, allowing a .369 wOBA and ISO of .232.
- Even lefties have an ISO of .333 in 23 plate appearances. The Yankees have lots of power, especially at home, between the top four hitters of the lineup.
- Aaron Judge, for example, has a .519 ISO and .437 wOBA against lefties in the last 30 days.
Who Will Pitch for the Yankees?
On the other hand, Luis Severino will take the hill for the Yankees. He’s been average with a 2-0 record and a 3.75 ERA.
- Analytically, however, Severino has a 4.50 xFIP with 20.2% strikeouts and 7.9% walks. All of those numbers are slightly below average and he’s also allowing 20.6% line drives.
- As a right-handed pitcher, Severino is struggling a bit with lefties, allowing a .330 wOBA and ISO of .189.
- But to righties, he’s holding them to a .265 wOBA and ISO of .093. The Blue Jays are mostly right-handed bats with the exception of Zack Collins and Raimel Tapia.
Therefore, I’d like to think that Severino could perform at a high level tonight against a right-heavy lineup.
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When he took on the Blue Jays on April 14, he held them to two hits and two walks in five innings of work while allowing no runs.
Prediction
Therefore, I like the Yankees to get the win at home. This team already has 20 wins and while sometimes they don’t play like it, the team simply just finds ways to win.
Severino has had two subpar outings in his last two starts but the Yankees haven’t lost a single game that Severino has started this year.
Need betting inspiration after reading this, we got you covered with our MLB odds.
Severino vs. Lefties
Severino struggles against lefties more than righties and the Blue Jays only have two lefties in the lineup.
Meanwhile, Yusei Kikuchi will need to get through a whole bunch of powerful Yankees, on the road, in a “little league stadium.”
So let’s take, for our best bets, the Yankees Over 1.5 F5 TT at -150. New York would need two runs in the first five innings.
Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Blue Jays 3
MLB Pick: Yankees Over 1.5 F5 TT (-150) with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.