We are in the quarter-finals in Stuttgart for the Porsche Grand Prix. The world’s top players continue to compete for 500 ranking points and to drive home the champion’s Porsche from the tournament. Let’s take a look at tomorrow’s WTA odds to find another winning WTA pick.
Friday, April 22, 2022 – 06:30 AM EDT at Porsche Arena
In a matchup that I thought could give her some problems, Ons Jabeur answered all the questions that Daria Kasatkina asked of her game in a 6-3, 6-3 win. Jabeur did not seem flustered by Kasatkina's attempt to create an advantageous court position, and every opening she had she used it to her advantage.
Jabeur constantly put Kasatkina's serve in trouble and had a total of 14 break points, of which she won 6. Ons Jabeur did not lose a service game in the match despite only serving 47% on her first serve.
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The world number 10 from Tunisia Ons Jabeur showed why she will be a contender for this whole European clay-court swing with her crafty game full of variety. Jabeur showed she has the power to hit through more defensive players like Daria Kasatkina, which will be something she will need going forward against the world's top players.
Kasatkina came into the match in good form so this win by Jabeur was a statement victory to show she is ready to up her ranking on European clay.
Paula Badosa played a close match against Elena Rybakina but was able to prevail in the third set. Badosa won 6-2, 4-6, 7-6 in a 3-set thriller that lasted 2 hours and 32 minutes.
In the end, Badosa's use of her aggressive return game allowed her to break her opponent six times en route to the victory. Paula Badosa's strength on return will be key for her today in her matchup against Ons Jabeur.
Paula Badosa and Ons Jabeur have played three times with Badosa leading their head-to-head 2-1. Their first meeting was in 2015 at the US Open hardcourt qualifying. This match was so long ago it has zero predictive value for the outcome of the match today.
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Badosa and Jabeur split their two meetings in 2021. The first was over a year ago when Jabeur was able to squeak out a 7-6, 5-7, 7-5 win over Badosa on the slow hard courts of Miami. Jabeur was playing very well at this time while Badosa was still finding her form.
When they met in October, however, the match was a completely different story. Paula Badosa's rise in her level of play was quite evident. Badosa defeated Jabeur easily last October 6-3, 6-3. This match shows how much Badosa improved over the season of 2021.
Although Jabeur is a uniquely talented player in her own right who can best almost any player, Paula Badosa’s ascension to the top of the WTA tour during 2021 is one of the most impressive levels of improvement we have seen from a player in the past 5 years. Badosa will take that confidence and good form into her match today.
I like Paula Badosa to get to the victory here in Stuttgart today. Badosa has the all-around game, and her steady consistency, especially on the return side of the ball, will be a lot for Jabeur to handle. Badosa can seamlessly switch gears between offense and defense as the match requires.
This will prove to be a key component of her success today, and she will be able to defend against Jabeur but take advantage of the first weak or short shot she encounters.
Paula Badosa's serve will be strong enough for her to hold and she will be able to put pressure on the Jabeur serve more often than Jabeur will be able to put pressure on Badosa's serve. Jabeur’s power will not play the same way it did yesterday against Daria Kasatkina.
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Against Kasatkina, Jabeur was able to properly construct points by putting her opponent on the defensive. Jabeur's power definitely rattled the young Russian player and disrupted her momentum every time she looked to be gaining ground in the match.
Badosa thrives off redirecting pace and will be much more aggressive when Jabeur isn't attacking. Badosa will force Jabeur to be more aggressive than she is comfortable with, and will attack weaker shots with much more alacrity than Kasatkina did.
Badosa was able to break the hard-serving Rybakina often, so today's return of service should be much easier for Badosa. Our best bet for today's WTA Stuttgart event is Paula Badosa -2 games.
WTA Pick: Paula Badosa -2 Games (-115) with Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.