NFL Week 4 Leans & Picks

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lemartinsports

Joined
Jan 4, 2022
Messages
11,848
alright, so far here are some leans and picks that i have for this week (NFL Week 4). will be updating and adding as the week goes...

all odds from Bovada

  • Vikings vs. Saints - in London, UK
I’m leaning Vikings ml (-145) here, havent’ pulled a trigger considering jetlag for both teams going to the UK. The Saints looked like a train wreck in their loss against the Panthers, giving up 22pts and 2 interceptions. how much do you guys think the jetlag will affect both teams? or you think it's not a major factor here?

  • Bills vs. Ravens
The Bills still have a lot of talent despite their loss to the dolphins in week 3. However, both teams have secondaries with injuries. It all comes down to which qb has the better weapons - I give that edge to the Bills. My question is, can the ravens cover +3.5? lmk your thoughts. I am leaning the over 51.5 on this, though.

  • Chicago vs. Giants
Giants are coming off of a short week and L to the Cowboys (23-16). The Bears defense should be able to handle whatever the giants may bring. Fields appears to be getting more comfortable inside the pocket as well. I’m locked in on Bears +3.5

:clover:
 

stormtrooper8

stormtrooper8

Joined
May 30, 2022
Messages
9,582
alright, so far here are some leans and picks that i have for this week (NFL Week 4). will be updating and adding as the week goes...

all odds from Bovada

  • Vikings vs. Saints - in London, UK
I’m leaning Vikings ml (-145) here, havent’ pulled a trigger considering jetlag for both teams going to the UK. The Saints looked like a train wreck in their loss against the Panthers, giving up 22pts and 2 interceptions. how much do you guys think the jetlag will affect both teams? or you think it's not a major factor here?

  • Bills vs. Ravens
The Bills still have a lot of talent despite their loss to the dolphins in week 3. However, both teams have secondaries with injuries. It all comes down to which qb has the better weapons - I give that edge to the Bills. My question is, can the ravens cover +3.5? lmk your thoughts. I am leaning the over 51.5 on this, though.

  • Chicago vs. Giants
Giants are coming off of a short week and L to the Cowboys (23-16). The Bears defense should be able to handle whatever the giants may bring. Fields appears to be getting more comfortable inside the pocket as well. I’m locked in on Bears +3.5

:clover:
This looks great. Agree with all 3
 

sharpsquare

sharpsquare

Joined
Nov 26, 2021
Messages
2,010
Sigh.... I wish I could disagree with that Vikings pick. But sadly I cannot.

The Saints are a mess the O-Line has been bad, Winton playing hurt and terrible, and now add in a couple more banged-up players. Would like to think we match up well defensively but we have not generated much of a pass rush so far and pressure usually is the tipping point for Cousins.

I don't think the jetlag will be all that much of a difference maker for either but the Saints are def better at the home in the dome than on the road the last few years. this being kind of a road game on steroids has to be considered as a bit of a negative for us I think.
 

lemartinsports

Joined
Jan 4, 2022
Messages
11,848
adding:
  • Rams vs. 49ers
I like the Rams to win this outright. 49ers are not healthy and will be without Trent Williams. Look at how they played against the broncos last week with 4 sacks allowed. I think Matt Stafford will need to step it up and have a clean game. The Rams are the stronger team here so i’ll grab rams ml at Bovada (currently even)
 

lemartinsports

Joined
Jan 4, 2022
Messages
11,848
anyone have an opinion on jags/eagles?

at the beginning of the week i was leaning jags +6.5 as i could see an eagles win/jags cover. but the eagles are 4-0-1 ats in their last 5 home games as a favorie, while the jags are 1-5 ats in their last 5. have to take that chargers dub with a grain of salt too because la was incredibly banged up...after more consideration, i ended up being on the eagles side. usually when i feel this way i just stay away, but i'd love to hear if anyone has a side por favor.
 
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