UFC Vegas 70 Perfect Prop Bets: Submissions and KOs Are Expected in These Fight Night Predictions

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General view of the octagon prior to UFC 261 at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena on April 24, 2021. Alex Menendez/Getty Images/AFP

UFC Pick: Sakai vs. Mayes – Goes the Distance/No (-190) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Sakai vs. Mayes – Goes the Distance/No (-190)
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We’re back with another set of carefully selected UFC prop betting picks, and this weekend we’ll dive into the UFC Vegas 70 fight card in Las Vegas.  

Picks Summary:

  • Sakai vs. Mayes – Goes the Distance/No (-190)
  • Lainesse vs. Malott – Under 1.5 Rounds (-113)

The UFC Vegas 70 prop betting markets are now available; continue reading for our perfect proposition wagers.   

UFC fans should check out the top-rated US betting sites available in order to wager with the best book available.

UFC Vegas 70 Information  

  • Date & Time: Saturday, February 25, 2023 – 04:00 PM EST 
  • Location: UFC APEX
  • Scheduled Fights: 13  
  • Main Event: Nikita Krylov vs. Ryan Spann (UFC Light Heavyweight Bout)  

Our UFC Vegas 70 Prop Bets 

Sakai vs. Mayes – Goes the Distance/No (-190) Reasoning 

Two heavyweight brutes that boast 17 combined KO/TKO and submission finishes from their pro-MMA careers thus far will be looking to put each other’s lights out on Saturday.

Both fighters have also been stopped on multiple occasions in their respective career losses, further adding to the intrigue of betting on this fight to end inside the distance at a price of a (-190), a notable piece of value for a heavyweight bout with two proven finishers.   

UFC Pick: Sakai vs. Mayes – Goes the Distance/No (-190) at BetOnline 

Lainesse vs. Malott – Under 1½ Rounds (-113) Reasoning 

With a combined professional MMA record of 17-2, 18 of Lainesse’s and Malott’s fights have been stopped inside the distance.

Furthermore, 14 of these bouts ended before the midway point of the second round, making the under 1.5 rounds a tempting proposition to wager on.   

UFC Pick: Lainesse vs. Malott – Under 1.5 Rounds (-113) at BookMaker (visit our Bookmaker Review)

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Lainesse vs. Malott – Under 1.5 Rounds (-113)
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Augusto Sakai vs. Don’Tale Mayes

UFC Vegas 70 Heavyweight Bout 

Saturday, February 25, 2023 – 04:00 PM EST at UFC APEX


Brazil’s Augusto Sakai (15-5-0) started life as a UFC competitor with positive results and devastating knockouts. A Muay Thai style introduced to the heavyweight division seemingly paid dividends for his elite-level tenure and rise to the top.  

However, the past three years haven’t been as kind to Sakai, who’s now riding a four-fight losing streak – each of which ended inside the distance. Aged just 31, time is still on his side, but one or two more losses could see the Brazilian cut from the UFC entirely.    


Don’Tale Mayes (9-4-0) made his path to the UFC through Dana White’s Contender Series one year after his weekend opponent. However, activity and octagon experience versus the upper echelon of this weight class is significantly lower than Sakai.  

Oppositely, Mayes has taken two consecutive wins and one no-contest from his most recent bouts as recency bias is unquestionably in favor of America, who’ll be hunting for his third straight success.

Sakai vs. Mayes: The Prop Bet 

Two DWCS alumni go head to head, and each fighter hasn’t supported the judges’ scorecards during their career thus far.  

Punching power favors both men, while offensive grappling and Brazilian jiu-jitsu side with Mayes only. In total, 24 of their combined professional bouts have ended inside the distance, and for a valuable price of (-190), it’s a prop betting position we cannot neglect this weekend.   

The available UFC odds with Bookmakers Review favor Sakai on the moneyline, but if recent results display a lack of enthusiasm in the Brazilian’s career, Mayes owns the tools to take advantage and ruin a bettors night who is trusting the favorite.  

The odds are tight for a reason; while Sakai is the more talented striker, his current trajectory is concerning. So, backing this fight to end inside the distance feels much more comfortable.

And let’s face it; heavyweight competitors are always one punch away from snoozing in the center of the octagon.  

UFC Pick: Sakai vs. Mayes - Goes the Distance/No (-190) at BetOnline 

Yohan Lainesse vs. Mike Malott  

UFC Vegas 70 Welterweight Bout 

Saturday, February 25, 2023 – 04:00 PM EST at UFC APEX


Yohan Lainesse (9-1-0) owned a similar win streak to his Saturday night opponent before losing his promotional debut to Gabe Green; he is a fellow Canadian and a DWCS graduate.   

However, unlike Malott, Lainesse is all about his hands and will own a significant advantage in the striking area of this bout. It’s his path to victory, and with a touch of death style of punching power, he owns the tools to cause an upset.  


With a fight card stacked with DWCS alums, Mike Malott (8-1-0) will be one of the rare competitors defending a 4-fight win streak after stopping Mickey Gall via strikes in his 2022 UFC debut.  

Malott is an elite Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt who’s displayed a high level of offensive grappling during his pro-MMA career and still competes in regular grappling competitions. And this weekend, should the fight hit the ground, you can guarantee a submission finish isn’t far away.  

Lainesse vs. Malott: The Prop Bet

Canada goes to battle when Lainesse and Malott meet in the cage this weekend. While they share the same nationality, from a skill set standpoint, they are worlds apart.   

Training out of Team Alpha Male, the rumors from trainers and fellow fighters is that Malott is one of the best jiu-jitsu practitioners in the gym. This has been backed up with seven first-round stoppages, and we shouldn’t be surprised to witness another stoppage from Malott at UFC Vegas 70.  

Likewise, Lainesse has been a finisher inside the cage with five first-round KO/TKO finishes and one round-two stoppage. And while Malott owns serviceable striking skills, his opponent's power will be problematic and can end the fight anytime.  

The available UFC odds with Bookmakers Review have witnessed the money roll in on Malott, but with a tendency to test his striking skills, his fight intelligence hasn’t always been trustworthy.  

That said, if Malott wants to end this fight quickly, a takedown and spam of submissions will get the job done, and Lainesse, as we previously mentioned, can equally end this fight with the punching power he owns.   

UFC Pick: Under 1.5 Rounds (-113) at BookMaker 

UFC Vegas 70 Main Card & Odds 

UFC Vegas 70 Preliminary Card & Odds 

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.