Our Top Betting Pick for UFC Vegas 70
UFC Pick: Ryan Spann ML (+150) at BookMaker (visit our Bookmaker Review)
Light Heavyweight juggernauts step into the octagon for the UFC Vegas 70 main event this weekend in Nevada.
Read on for our complete betting guide with an early preview of the UFC Vegas 70 main event clash between Nikita Krylov and Ryan Spann, including updated UFC odds and our free expert UFC first-look betting picks, predictions, and analysis.
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UFC Vegas 70 Best Bet
Ryan Spann Moneyline Rounds Reasoning
Nikita Krylov will be confident in displaying another grappling-heavy game plan following this dominant path to victory versus Oezdemir last time out. However, Spann presents too many dangers in his arsenal for Krylov to sail through five rounds with a ground control blueprint.
With excellent jiu-jitsu tools and fight-ending power, wagering on Spann at plus money is a betting position we cannot ignore.
Confidence Rating: 3/5
UFC Vegas 70 Information
- When: Saturday, February 25, 2023 – 04:00 PM EST
- Where: UFC APEX
- Main Event: Nikita Krylov vs. Ryan Spann [Light Heavyweight Bout]
- Moneyline Probability: Krylov 61.5% (-160 @ Everygame) Spann 40% (+150 @ BookMaker)
- Totals Probability: Over 1.5 – 52.4% (-110 @ BetOnline) Under 1.5 – 53.5% (-115 @ Bovada)
UFC Vegas 70 Krylov vs. Spann: Tale of the Tape
- Age: 30
- Height: 6’3”
- Reach: 77.5”
- Nationality: Ukraine
- Affiliation: YK Promotion
- Current Streak: 2 wins
- Pro MMA Record: 29-9-0
- UFC Record: 10-7 [4 KO/TKO, 4 submissions, 2 decisions]
- Moneyline Betting History (Last 3): -190 (win), -200 (win), -200 (lost)
- Age: 31
- Height: 6’5”
- Reach: 81.5”
- Nationality: USA
- Affiliation: Fortis MMA
- Current Streak: 2 wins
- Pro MMA Record: 21-7-0
- UFC Record: 7-2 [3 KO/TKO, 2 submissions, 2 decisions]
- Moneyline Betting History (Last 3): +180 (win), +195 (win), +135 (lost)
UFC Vegas 70 Fighter Profiles
Nikita “The Miner” Krylov
Since making his UFC debut in 2013, Ukraine’s Nikita Krylov has garnered an elite level of experience, having competed against some of the most household names in the light heavyweight division.
A minor spout back to the regional MMA scene in 2017 saw Krylov almost instantly return to the big leagues, and although his promotional UFC record stands at 10 wins and seven losses, suffering defeat to names such as Jan Blachowicz, Glover Teixeira, and Magomed Ankalaev holds no shame.
Krylov is now entering the prime fighting years of his career. Behind a two-fight win streak over former title contenders Volkan Oezdemir and Alexander Gustafsson, a significant victory over Ryan Spann this weekend will undoubtedly bolster his chances of entering the title picture.
Nikita Krylov Combat Sports Accomplishments
- UFC Performance of the Night (One time)
- FNG Light Heavyweight Champion (One time)
- Gladiators FC Heavyweight Tournament Winner
Best Available Odds: Nikita Krylov ML (-160) at Everygame (visit our Everygame Review)
Ryan “Superman” Spann
Large in stature and overall octagon presence, Ryan Spann – like his Saturday evening opponent – is another fighter entering the prime years of his competitive career, aged 31 years old.
Spann’s athleticism, punching power, and ability to lock up slick submissions have seen him collect multiple stoppages inside the octagon. After entering the top 10 rankings following successes against Dominick Reyes and Ion Cutelaba, “Superman” is edging closer to the end goal – championship status.
Ryan Spann Combat Sports Accomplishments
- UFC Performance of the Night (Two times)
- LFA Light Heavyweight Champion (One time)
- Hero FC Middleweight Champion (One time
Best Available Odds: Ryan Spann ML (+150) at BookMaker
UFC Vegas 70 Main Event Fight Statistics:
- Spann owns a 50% takedown defense rate
- Krylov averages 2.11 takedowns per fight
- Krylov absorbs 2.5 strikes per minute
- Spann lands 3.42 strikes per minute with a 44% accuracy rate
UFC Vegas 70 Skillset Analysis: Styles Make Fights
Krylov is a perfectly well-rounded fighter who can dictate the pace of a fight behind a striking or grappling game plan. Most recently, he dominated Volkan Oezdemir with seven takedowns, thus proving his fight IQ isn’t held back by ego, and he knows how to adapt against different styles.
While Krylov is well-rounded and has solid durability, Spann is undoubtedly the most dangerous fighter in this contest. We witnessed Spann’s power when he stopped Reyes inside the distance with a jab!
Spann is no slouch when he grapples offensively; however, his takedown defense has been questionable in the past and is an area where Krylov can unquestionably take advantage.
The counterargument is that Spann is the greater jiu-jitsu player, so the wrestling from Krylov versus the power and Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu of Spann will certainly make for an interesting main event.
Spann Moneyline: The UFC Vegas 70 Best Bet Formula
The available UFC odds at Bookmakers Review favor Krylov, which isn’t a surprise. A wrestling-heavy game could instantly eliminate Spann’s dangerous hands and drain the cardio early.
Spann has been taken down on nine occasions during his UFC stint, and we’ll likely witness Krylov abuse this flaw in his opponent’s game.
Krylov will respect Spann’s power and drown him with a grappling-based game plan. However, as Spann owns the dangerous striking, Krylov’s consistency in wrestling could leave paths open for the American to lock up multiple submissions.
And for this reason, wagering on Spann at (+150) is a piece of value we shouldn’t neglect.
UFC Pick: Ryan Spann ML (+150) [1u to win 1.50u] at BookMaker
UFC Vegas 70 Main Card & Odds
- Nikita Krylov vs. Ryan Spann [UFC Light Heavyweight Main Event Bout]
- Andre Muniz vs. Brendan Allen [UFC Co-Main Middleweight Bout]
- Augusto Sakai vs. Don’Tale Mayes [UFC Heavyweight Bout]
- Tatiana Suarez vs. Montana De La Rosa [UFC Women’s Flyweight Bout]
- Mike Malott vs. Yohan Lainesse [UFC Welterweight Bout]
- Erick Gonzalez vs. Trevor Peek [UFC Lightweight Bout]
UFC Vegas 70 Preliminary Card & Odds
- Jasmine Jasudavicius vs. Gabriella Fernandes [UFC Women’s Flyweight Bout]
- Jordan Leavitt vs. Victor Martinez [UFC lightweight bout]
- Ode Osbourne vs. Charles Johnson [UFC Catchweight Bout - Originally UFC Flyweight Bout]
- Rafael Alves vs. Nurullo Aliev [UFC Lightweight Bout]
- Hailey Cowan vs. Ailin Perez [UFC Women’s Bantamweight Bout]
- Jose Johnson vs. Garrett Armfield [UFC Bantamweight Bout]
- Joe Solecki vs. Carl Deaton III [UFC Lightweight Bout]
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.