Middleweight brutes known for their submission abilities will meet in the center of the octagon for this weekend’s UFC Vegas 70 co-main event in Las Vegas.
Read on for our complete betting guide with an early preview of the UFC Vegas 70 co-main event battle between Andre Muniz and Brendan Allen, including updated odds and our free expert UFC picks, analysis, and predictions.
Our Top Betting Pick for UFC Vegas Co-Main Event
UFC Pick: Muniz vs. Allen Under 2.5 Rounds (-175) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
Under 2.5 Rounds Reasoning
- Confidence Rating: 3/5
Twenty-three of Andre Muniz’s 27 professional career fights have ended inside the distance, while 19 of Brendan Allen’s 25 pro-MMA bouts have been stopped via TKO/KO or submission. Both fighters are proven finishers in the octagon. With a climb into the top 10 middleweight rankings up for grabs, expecting a stoppage victory for either man this weekend owns potential and works alongside the under 2.5 rounds wager.
UFC Vegas 70 Co-Main Event Information
- When: Saturday, February 25, 2023 – 04:00 PM EST
- Where: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
- Main Event: Nikita Krylov vs. Ryan Spann [Light Heavyweight Bout]
- Co-Main Event: Andre Muniz vs. Brendan Allen [Middleweight Bout]
- Co-Main Moneyline Probability: Muniz – 69.7% (-230 at BetOnline), Allen – 33.9% (+195 at BetOnline)
- Co-Main Totals Probability: Over 2.5 – 40.8% (+145 at BetOnline), Under 2.5 – 63.6% (-175 at BetOnline)
UFC Vegas 70 Muniz vs. Allen: Tale of the Tape
Andre “Sergipano” Muniz
A Brazilian native in Alex Pereira currently spearheads the 185lb weight class. But a fellow countryman, Andre Muniz, hopes to breach the top ten rankings this weekend. Behind a five-fight UFC streak and three submission stoppages, “Sergipano” is a handful of victories away from positioning himself in the title picture.
Since making his UFC debut in 2019, Muniz has succeeded against top middleweight names such as Uriah Hall and Ronaldo Souza. And more notably, the skillsets Muniz has proven himself against have been varied, from dangerous strikers to experienced grapplers.
Andre Muniz Combat Sports Accomplishments
- UFC Performance of the Night (One time)
- UFC Submission of the Year (2021)
- Bitetti Combat Middleweight Championship (One time, one defense)
Andre Muniz Best Available Odds: (-230) at BetOnline
Brendan “All In” Allen
Brendan Allen is six years younger than his opponent this weekend for UFC 70. Still, with ten fights on his promotional record, he’ll be the more experienced UFC fighter looking to extend his current four-fight winning streak.
Like Muniz, Allen is ultra-talented on the ground and owns a Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt. However, striking, cardio, and age should position Allen as the more confident fighter this weekend, and some may even find value in the +195 moneyline price on the American.
Brendan Allen Combat Sports Accomplishments
- UFC Performance of the Night (One time)
- LFA Middleweight Champion (Two times)
- IMMAF 2025 Amateur Middleweight Champion
Brendan Allen Best Available Odds: (+195) at BetOnline
UFC Vegas 70 Co-Main Event Skillset Analysis
Andre Muniz has displayed impressive wrestling that’s been crucial in his ability to take fights to the ground and utilize his elite-level BJJ background. His offensive striking has much to be desired, but it’s serviceable to the point where he can defend himself until a grappling situation presents itself.
Equally, Allen can scramble out of worrisome positions on the ground and has notable jiu-jitsu offense for good measure. He’s also the more technical striker in this bout and will undoubtedly own the greater gas tank throughout x3 five minute rounds.
I appreciate Muniz’s current 9-fight MMA win streak. Still, his cardiovascular has been a concern in past fights, and now he’ll be faced with a young and unforgiving fighter who won’t surrender grounded positions.
I expect Muniz to capitalize on the overconfidence of Allen’s grappling and catch an early submission, or, by the middle of the second round, the gas tank of Muniz will be compromised, and Allen will take advantage and win via TKO/KO or submission.
UFC Vegas 70 Best Bet Formula
The available UFC odds favor Muniz, but the bias for a fighter who’s undefeated in the UFC is swaying this line. Allen has all the tools to defend the grappling of Muniz and shouldn’t be overlooked as an underdog.
With that said, we don’t envision this fight reaching the judges’ scorecard. Both fighters are proven finishes, and before the 12-minute 30-second mark, expecting a finish to have surfaced is a viable approach, thus making the under 2.5 rounds a supported betting position.
UFC Pick: Muniz vs. Allen Under 2.5 Rounds (-175) at BetOnline
UFC Vegas 70 Main Card & Odds
- Nikita Krylov vs. Ryan Spann [UFC light heavyweight main event bout]
- Andre Muniz vs. Brendan Allen [UFC co-main middleweight bout]
- Augusto Sakai vs. Don’Tale Mayes [UFC heavyweight bout]
- Tatiana Suarez vs. Montana De La Rosa [UFC women’s flyweight bout]
- Mike Malott vs. Yohan Lainesse [UFC welterweight bout]
- Erick Gonzalez vs. Trevor Peek [UFC lightweight bout]
UFC Vegas 70 Preliminary Card & Odds
- Gabriella Fernandes vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius [UFC women’s flyweight bout]
- Jordan Leavitt vs. Victor Martinez [UFC lightweight bout]
- Ode' Osbourne vs. Charles Johnson [UFC catchweight bout]
- Joe Solecki vs. Carl Deaton III [UFC lightweight bout]
- Nurullo Aliev vs. Rafael Alves [UFC lightweight bout]
- Hailey Cowan vs. Ailin Perez [UFC women’s bantamweight bout]
- Jose Johnson vs. Garrett Armfield [UFC bantamweight bout]
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
