UFC Vegas 61 Dern vs. Yan – The Perfect Proposition

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A UFC octagon girl holds up the round card during UFC 261. Alex Menendez/Getty Images/AFP.

The Ultimate Fighting Championship returns to the Apex in Vegas for a highly stacked fight card this weekend.

The UFC Vegas 61 fight odds are now available for us to delve into some perfect prop betting picks, headlined with a women’s strawweight bout between Mackenzie Dern and Xiaonan Yan.


Aleksei Oleinik vs. Ilir Latifi

UFC Vegas 61 Heavyweight Preliminary Card Bout

Saturday, October 1, 2022 – 06:00 PM EDT at UFC Apex

Fighter Analysis

Aleksei Oleinik

Russian veteran Aleksei Oleinik (60-16-1) returns to the cage on Saturday for his 78th professional MMA bout. Is there anything that can make this man retire?

That said, when you’re coming off a round 1 neck crank scarf hold submission stoppage over a 30-year-old opponent, nothing is pointing towards him slowing down.

At 45, Oleinik is obviously slower and more sluggish in the octagon compared to most of the opposition he competes against.

However, his takedown offense and submission finishing ability are elite, and he should never be underestimated.

Ilir Latifi

Ilir Latifi (15-8-0) has been a regular amongst the UFC heavyweight and lightweight divisions since 2013.

While long bouts of inactivity between fights have undoubtedly dampened his career trajectory in recent years, he’s fought and defeated a wealth of talent.


Oleinik vs. Latifi: Fight Breakdown

Latifi isn’t an easy target to manipulate in the grappling realm; with a big frame and strong hips, he has proven a respectable level of takedown defense and awareness in the past.

Despite this, I still struggle to completely trust his defensive attributes up against the relentless pressure that Oleinik puts on his opponents; with a bear-like grip, the Russian is unstoppable once a fight hits the ground, and I’m excited to see if he can shock the world again.

On the feet, Latifi will have a speed and power advantage over the slow and aging Oleinik, but the question remains, can the Swede keep it standing?

Oleinik has reached the judges’ scorecards on two occasions in his previous 19 fights, he’s a finish or be-finished type of fighter, and I expect this trend will continue in Vegas. Whether it’s another fascinating submission stoppage from the mid-forties fighter or a series of strikes leading to a TKO from Latifi, I expect this fight to end within ten minutes.


Oleinik vs. Latifi: Odds and Prediction

The UFC odds at top-rated sportsbooks are supplying a price of -185 on the under 2 ½ rounds, and although we're taking some juice, I believe it’s a “safe” play from the board of betting options.

UFC Pick: Under 2.5 Rounds (-185) [1.85u returns 1u profit] at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Under 2.5 Rounds (-185)
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Randy Costa vs. Guido Cannetti

UFC Vegas 61 Bantamweight Preliminary Card Bout

Saturday, October 1, 2022 - 06:00 PM EDT at UFC Apex

Fighter Analysis

Randy Costa

If it’s exciting fights you’re looking for, look no further than the fight tape on Randy Costa (6-3-0).

Fighting out of Lauzon MMA in Fort Lauderdale, Florida, Costa was a rare UFC hire when making his promotional debut with just one year of professional MMA experience.

Entering the company with a 4-0 record and four stoppages probably assisted the UFC’s decision-making, but I believe the entertainment factor he presents is the most desirable attribute he owns.

Guido Cannetti

Guido Cannetti (9-6-0) is another martial artist who, win or lose, doesn’t cower away from a fight.

Eight years as a UFC competitor, Cannetti boasts a 3-5 losing record, but his tenacity and willingness to fight keep him an active roster member.


Costa vs. Cannetti: Fight Breakdown

Costa isn’t going to let off the gas; he’s a wild man in the cage, and from his nine pro fights, he’s never reached a judges’ scorecard.

Cannetti isn’t as wild and has presented a more calculated game plan at times; however, I expect Costa to force the Argentinian out of his comfort zone and into a slugfest.


Costa vs. Cannetti: Odds and Prediction

The UFC odds at Bookmaker Review are supplying -155 for the under 1 ½ rounds.

Considering the fact that Costa has never gone the distance in a fight, we’re still receiving a great price on the anticipation that this fight will end via knockout or submission within seven and a half minutes.

UFC Pick: Under 1 ½ Rounds (-150) [1.50u returns 1u profit] at BetOnline

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Under 1 ½ Rounds (-150)
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UFC Vegas 61 Main Card and Odds

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.