The Ultimate Fighting Championship returns to Las Vegas for a highly stacked Fight Night event. The UFC fight odds are now available for us to delve into some perfect prop betting picks for UFC Vegas 55 – headlined by a women’s bantamweight contenders’ bout between Holly Holm and Ketlen Vieira.
Parker Porter vs. Jailton Almeida
UFC Heavyweight Preliminary Card Bout
Saturday, May 21, 2022 – 09:05 PM EDT at the UFC Apex
I tip my hat off to 37-year-old Parker Porter (13-6-0), as the American slugger is putting his 3-fight win streak on the line versus one of the most promising heavyweight contenders in the UFC.
Porter has impressed since his initial UFC loss to Chris Daukaus by bouncing back with three consecutive decision victories. However, a youthful and monstrous Brazilian will be awaiting to snap this streak in the octagon on Saturday evening.
In step UFC heavyweight newcomer Jailton Almeida (15-2-0), a Brazilian prospect who has maintained a 10-fight win streak since 2018 – notably finishing all of those bouts via KO/TKO or submission.
Almeida refers to himself as the 'Brazilian Khabib', so you already know his ground game is a level above most. He wiped out Danilo Marques within two minutes during his UFC debut, and now Almeida returns to wow the crowd.
Porter vs. Almeida Fight Breakdown
I respect Porter's ability to grind out a decision, but I anticipate his game plan of tiring the opposition and out-striking them is about to end.
The 30-year-old Almeida moves like a middleweight, and no, he doesn't possess the sambo takedown technique of Khabib (outside of wrapping the legs up). Still, his takedown offense is exceptional either way.
UFC Vegas 55 Odds Analysis
The available UFC odds with Bookmaker Review are -600 on Almeida, and there's a great chance the Brazilian will look like a -6000 inside the cage this weekend.
If Almeida gets on top of Porter, it's over; Almeida has sneaky power and can equally finish a fight via strikes as he can by submission. This week it's a no-brainer pick, but we can raise our betting value with the excellent selection of props below.
UFC Pick: Almeida Wins Inside the Distance (-265) [2.65u returns 1u profit] at BetOnline
Elise Reed vs. Sam Hughes
UFC Women's Strawweight Preliminary Card Bout
Saturday, May 21, 2022 - 09:05 PM EDT at the UFC Apex
Elise Reed (5-1-0) will own the striking advantage; the slicker footwork and career trajectory undoubtedly favor Reed this weekend as she boasts a 5-1 record since turning pro in 2019.
Sam Hughes (6-4-0) returns to the cage after competing a mere 4 weeks ago in a successful majority decision win over Istela Nunes. And while she's young in her professional career, she proved her evolution from Fortis MMA when coming out on top as the underdog last time out.
Reed vs. Hughes Fight Breakdown
Hughes has a notable cardio advantage, but this is mixed martial arts, and outside of some average wrestling, I struggle to see Hughes taking her career amongst the elite of the MMA world.
Reed will be the superior striker, and Hughes doesn't have the skillset to keep Reed grounded for all three rounds.
UFC Vegas 55 Odds Analysis
The available UFC odds at top-rated sportsbooks favor Reed, and it's the right side to be on, in my opinion.
Both women have proven durability, so taking the decision prop on Reed shouldn't give us too many nerve-racking moments.
UFC Pick: Reed On Points (+120) [1u returns 1.20u profit] at BetOnline
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
UFC Vegas 54 Main Card
- Holly Holm vs. Ketlen Vieira [UFC Women's Bantamweight Main Event Bout]
- Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Michel Pereira [UFC Welterweight Co-main Event Bout]
- Chidi Njokuani vs. Dusko Todorovic [UFC Middleweight Bout]
- Eryk Anders vs. Jun Yong Park [UFC Middleweight Bout]
- Polyana Viana vs. Tabatha Ricci [UFC Women's Strawweight Bout]