UFC Vegas 46 Prop Betting Picks: The Perfect Proposition

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UFC Octagon announcer Bruce Buffer. Douglas P. DeFelice/Getty Images/AFP

The Ultimate Fighting Championship returns to Las Vegas for their first fight card of 2022. The UFC fight odds are now available for us to delve into some perfect UFC picks for UFC Vegas 46 – headlined by a featherweight contenders’ bout between Calvin Kattar and Giga Chikadze.

Jake Collier vs. Chase Sherman

UFC Heavyweight Bout

Saturday, January 15, 2022 -7:00 PM EST at UFC Apex

Struggling to find consistency whenever he competes inside a UFC octagon, Chase Sherman (15-8-0) will be looking to right his wrongs when he's given another chance to prove his worth on Saturday evening.

Sherman was removed from the UFC roster in 2018 after accumulating a lackluster 2-5 losing record for the promotion, and since his return in 2020, a 1-2 record hasn't been the ideal path to redemption he'd hoped for.

Similar to his opponent this weekend, Jake Collier (12-6-0) has struggled to find consistency since arriving at the UFC in 2014. Fighting through multiple weight classes (middleweight, light heavyweight, and heavyweight) hasn't made a significant difference, as the Missouri native hasn't strung together consecutive victories in seven years.

Sherman vs. Collier Fight Breakdown

When the heavyweights throw down, it's often a worry to begin contemplating the under. However, both fighters entering this weekend's low-level heavyweight bout aren't typically known for their finishing ability.

With a reasonable betting price on this contest reaching the judge's scorecards, I'm willing to gamble on Sherman and Collier delivering a 15-minute fight to decide their fate.

UFC Vegas 46 Odds Analysis

The available UFC odds with Bookmaker Review on these bouts "Fight goes to Decision" prop have only gained a 15-point move since the opening -135 price. Now priced at -150, I'll happily take a slice of the cake in a fight I expect to involve a lot of hesitancy.

UFC Pick: Fight goes the distance -150 [1.50u returns 1u profit] with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Fight goes the distance -150
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Brandon Royval vs. Rogerio Bontorin

UFC Flyweight Bout

Saturday, January 15, 2022 - 7:00 PM EST at UFC Apex

Brandon Royval (12-6-0) enters the cage on Saturday for his fifth UFC bout whilst defending a 5th-placed ranking position that's jolted the factory X Muay Thai student into the deep waters of the flyweight division almost instantly upon his arrival.

With less than two years' experience fighting at the sport's highest level, Royval has impressed critics throughout his wins and losses with an unstoppable output and a willingness to avoid the judge's scorecards.

Rogerio Bontorin (17-3-0) has also been matched with a stiff level of competition; however, he's failed to succeed in all of those higher-level bouts under the UFC banner. Still, a 3-2 UFC record has positioned the Brazilian as a top-10 ranked fighter, and he'll be tested again when facing the versatility of Royval.

Royval vs. Bontorin Fight Breakdown

The clear path to victory for Bontorin is to utilize a grappling game plan, but I fear the scrambling ability and high-intense pressure of Royval will eventually surpass this approach. Royval has proved himself to excel in all areas of the fight game, whereas Bontorin has multiple question marks surrounding his stand-up offense and defense.

UFC Vegas 46 Odds Analysis

The available UFC odds with Bookmaker Review heavily favor Royval, as the betting public is continuously putting their faith behind the Colorado native.

For this reason, taking a play on Royval to win inside the distance makes complete sense. I wouldn't expect a submission or knockout to play out during the early stages of the bout, but once Bontorin's cardio begins to wilt, Royval will pounce and finish the fight.

UFC Pick: Royval to win inside the distance +105 [1u returns 1.05u profit] with BetOnline

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Royval to win inside the distance +105
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.

UFC Vegas 46 Main Card