UFC First Look: Grasso vs. Araujo, Betting Picks, Odds and Predictions

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On October 15, the UFC returns to our screens for a highly stacked fight night event from the Apex Center in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Top-ranked UFC women’s flyweight prospects Alexa Grasso and Viviane Araujo will lock horns in the center of the octagon for the main event of the evening.

Read on for our complete betting guide with an early preview of the UFC Vegas 62 headliner between Grasso and Araujo, including updated UFC odds and our free expert UFC Vegas 62 first look betting picks, predictions, and analysis.

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Alexa Grasso vs. Viviane Araujo

UFC Vegas 62 Women’s Flyweight Main Event Bout

Saturday, October 15, 2022 – 06:00 PM EDT at UFC Apex

Alexa Grasso

  • Pro MMA Record: 14-4-0 (4 KOS, 1 submission, 9 decisions)

29-year-old Alexa Grasso has spent six years grinding her way through the UFC women’s flyweight roster to position herself as a top-five contender.

The native Mexican began her professional tenure on home soil.

It was an undefeated record (5-0) and a willingness to deliver entertaining bouts that caused the UFC suites to come calling.

Arriving at the UFC

Since arriving on the big stage in 2016, she’s amassed a positive 6-3 record.

Although the losses on her record are undeniable, she’s currently riding a 3-fight unbeaten streak against notable names such as Maycee Barber and Joanne Wood.

Grasso hasn’t lost a contest since 2019, but this was notably against the current champion, Carla Esparza.

As she prepares to headline her first UFC main event this weekend, the product of Lobo Gym MMA could move one step closer to the title picture with a significant victory.

Alexa Grasso Combat Sports Accomplishments

  • UFC Fight of the Night (One time) vs. Carla Esparza
  • Third most significant strikes thrown in a 3-round fight (369) vs. Karolina Kowalkiewicz
  • Invicta Fight of the Night (One time) vs. Mizuki Inoue
  • Invicta Performance of the Night (One time) vs. Jodie Esquibel

Alexa Grasso Best Available Odds: (-190) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

Viviane Araujo

  • Pro MMA Record: 11-3-0 (3 KOs, 4 submissions, 4 decisions)

Former Pancrase strawweight champion and Brazilian Jiu Jitsu blackbelt Viviane Araujo has obtained a No.8 UFC flyweight ranking within three years of being signed to the promotion.

The Brazilian national can thank hard work and dedication to her craft for reaching this weekend's main event, as she’ll look to extend her 5-2 UFC record and climb the rankings closer to title contention.

She’s Not Just a Grappler

The art of BJJ led Araujo to mixed martial arts, and although her grappling skills are high level, she made her UFC debut emphatically with a right overhand knockout of Talita Bernardo.

She isn’t the fastest, but she undoubtedly owns the power in her fists to compromise the opposition.

Viviane Araujo Best Available Odds: (+170) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Grasso vs. Araujo: Breakdown and Analysis

Grasso Fight Style and How Can Grasso Defeat Araujo?

Pressure, combinations, and speed will favor the Mexican.

She always boasts a high output of offensive strikes in her bouts alongside a level of durability that makes her almost impossible to stop inside the distance.

The later rounds, the third round and beyond, will heavily assist Grasso in winning this bout.

Neither fighter has fought five-round contests in the UFC, but from tape study alone, it’s evident that the cardio advantage lies with the favorite.

Araujo Fight Style and How Can Araujo Defeat Grasso?

Araujo has looked like a championship-level fighter on occasion; her striking power and movement on the feet are excellent, and she’s a high-level grappler for good measure.

If we could guarantee that Araujo enters UFC Vegas 62 with an improvement in her cardio, I’d gladly wager this underdog price.

Unfortunately, conditioning has been an issue for the Brazilian in three-round fights, and now there’s a potential she will have to exert herself over twenty-five minutes.

Araujo will need an early knockout or submission stoppage to succeed in this bout, but Grasso’s toughness will be challenging to break.

Grasso vs. Araujo: Prediction and Odds

The available UFC odds at top-rated sportsbooks favor Grasso. Although Araujo owns the most significant finishing threat and the more excellent MMA skillset, her muscular stature isn’t going to give her the conditioning required to keep up with the pace of Grasso.

Placing the Grasso moneyline in your betting slip is the most viable path to a successful wager at UFC Vegas 62. The odds aren’t incredible, but they’re rightful.

UFC Pick: Grasso to Win (-190) at Heritage Sports

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Grasso to Win (-190)
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UFC Vegas 62 Main Card and Odds

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.