UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate Betting Picks Over or Under the Total

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Referee Mark Smith (L) stops the action. Isaac Brekken/Getty Images/AFP.

The Ultimate Fighting Championship returns to Las Vegas for a talent-stacked fight card at the Apex Center. The UFC fight round total odds are now available for us to delve into some over or under-round betting picks for UFC in Vegas 43 – headlined by a women’s bantamweight contenders’ bout between Ketlen Vieira and Miesha Tate. Will the total rounds go over or under? Join us as we give our expert UFC betting picks from a totals perspective.

Miesha Tate vs. Ketlen Vieira

UFC Women’s Bantamweight Main Event Bout

Saturday, November 20, 2021 – 07:05 PM EST at UFC Apex Center

The implications of this Saturday’s women’s bantamweight main event contest could position either fighter within reach of a title opportunity for Amanda Nunes’ strap.

Despite both women falling outside of the top-5 rankings, the current champion Nunes, who’s regarded as one of the world’s greatest ever pound-for-pound martial artists, is running out of competition.

The wrestling-focused Miesha Tate (19-7-0) has made her goal evident, she wants to wrap the championship gold around her waist for a second time, but a new generation of fighters lay in wait.

In-step, Ketlen Vieira (11-2-0) whose been impressing the UFC viewership since her promotional debut in 2016. Boasting a Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt and a 5-2 UFC record has the Nova Uniao product within the grasp of a top-5 ranking.

Tate vs. Vieira Totals Breakdown

Most bookmakers set the over/under total at 4 ½ rounds, with alternative round totals also being available.

Miesha Tate has owned a long history of defying these totals. Still, it isn’t easy to anticipate a submission victory for Tate when she’s faced with such a talented jiu-jitsu practitioner in Vieira.

With that said, Tate’s greatest path to victory is undoubtedly one that involves her potent wrestling offense; however, should she find success with this method, Vieira should be able to avoid a submission finish.

Ketlen Vieira celebrates her victory against Sara McMann. Codie McLachlan/Getty Images/AFP.

UFC in Vegas 43 Under/Over Betting Prediction

The available UFC odds with Bookmaker Review favor this contest to exceed the available total of over 4 ½ rounds, and it’s hard to disagree with this stance.

We’re going to see either one of two possible outcomes. Vieira will keep the fight standing and own the more technical striking output, leading to a unanimous decision.

Alternatively, Tate’s wrestling offense will dictate the pace. Still, her usual submission offense will be matched with Vieira’s grappling defense – making the over 4 ½ rounds the most viable betting choice to make.

UFC Pick: Over 4 ½ Rounds (-165) [1.55u returns 1u profit] at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Michael Chiesa vs. Sean Brady

UFC Welterweight Co-Main Event Bout

Saturday, November 20, 2021 - 07:05 PM EST at UFC Apex Center

When two dangerous submission artists square off in the octagon, it can usually result in two matching skillsets nullifying the expected outcome.

However, Michael Chiesa’s (17-5-0) overall history of reaching the judges’ scorecards isn’t a common occurrence, with the exception of Neil Magny, Rafael Dos Anjos, and Diego Sanchez – who’re notably known for going the distance.

Sean Brady (14-0-0) will put his undefeated streak on the line, but a victory over Michael Chiesa can boost the up-and-coming stars ranking into the spotlight. Brady will present a higher level of jiu-jitsu than Chiesa, the usual offense where Chiesa finds success.

Chiesa vs. Brady Totals Breakdown

The over/under total of 2 ½ rounds is close to even odds, and we can’t blame the oddsmakers for being cautious. 14 of Chiesa’s 17 professional wins have finished inside the distance, while Brady has finished 50% of his career victories inside the distance.

With the tempting odds available and the current state of UFC events providing a plethora of finishes, I can’t help myself in believing we could be in for another impressive showing.

Michael Chiesa reacts to defeating Carlos Condit. Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images/AFP.

UFC in Vegas 43 Under/Over Betting Prediction

The available UFC odds with Bookmaker Review slightly favor the under at -120, with the over 2 ½ rounds sitting at -110.

Two elite-level grapplers with great finishing rates fighting in the co-main event push me towards betting the under.

UFC Pick: Under 2 ½ Rounds (-120) [1.20u returns 1u profit] at BetOnline

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.

UFC in Vegas 43 Main Card on ESPN and ESPN+

Ketlen Vieira vs. Miesha Tate [UFC women’s bantamweight main event bout]
Michael Chiesa vs. Sean Brady [UFC welterweight co-main event bout]
Rani Yahya vs. Kyung Ho Kang [UFC bantamweight bout]
Joanne Calderwood vs. Taila Santos [UFC flyweight bout]
Adrian Yanez vs. Davey Grant [UFC bantamweight bout]