UFC Fight Night London Prop Betting Picks: The Perfect Proposition

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Kyle Nelson fights against Diego Ferreira (R) in a lightweight bout during the UFC 231 event. Vaughn Ridley/Getty Images/AFP

The Ultimate Fighting Championship returns to London for a highly stacked Fight Night event.

The UFC fight odds are now available for us to delve into some perfect prop betting picks for UFC London – headlined by a heavyweight contenders’ bout between Tom Aspinall and Curtis Blaydes.

Jai Herbert vs. Kyle Nelson

UFC Lightweight Preliminary Card Bout

Saturday, July 23, 2022 – 01:00 PM EDT at O2 Arena

Jai Herbert (11-4-0) has been thrown to the wolves since joining the UFC in 2020, and this would explain his current 1-3 promotional record. However, when you take a deeper dive into his kickboxing offense, he provides some of the cleanest strikings, while presenting a dangerous level of finishing ability.

Kyle Nelson (13-4-0) is undoubtedly a level of competition that is on Herbert’s level, and the Canadian will need to pull his grappling tactics out of the tool bag to stand any chance of success this weekend in London. Like his opponent, Nelson is also riding a 1-3 losing streak in the UFC, creating a potential loser who leaves the company bout this weekend.

Herbert vs. Nelson Fight Breakdown

I don’t believe there’s a world where Nelson can stand toe-to-toe with Herbert, as the UK’s former Cage Warriors champion who has used his striking to defeat many opponents who were a weight class above 145lbs.

I genuinely believe Herbert is ten times the fighter that his UFC record suggests. Due to his age, I think Dana White and the company attempted to fast-track his promotional career and subsequently rushed him into too much too soon.

Nelson has been inactive since 2020. Herbert has remained active while gaining an elite level of experience which also favors the Brit this weekend.

UFC London Odds Analysis

The available UFC odds with Bookmakers Review favor the Englishman. Although I believe Herbert takes the win, I’m more interested in wagering on this fight not to reach the judges’ scorecards.

Herbert has made a reputation for his finishing ability, and in his career losses, they’ve also been contests that have ended inside the distance. With that said, Herbert, with the round 1 knockout may send the British fans into despair.

UFC Pick: Under 1 ½ Rounds (-115) [1.15u returns 1u profit] at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Under 1 ½ Rounds (-115)
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Curtis Blaydes vs. Tom Aspinall

UFC Heavyweight Main Event Bout

Saturday, July 23, 2022 – 5:15 PM EDT at O2 Arena

It’s possible that Curtis Blaydes (16-3-0) has yet to reach his prime fighting years, aged just 31 in the heavyweight division. We haven’t witnessed a level of offensive wrestling this prominent since Daniel Cormier. Although the American has failed at the final hurdle, he’s unquestionably one of the best heavyweight fighters on the planet and will continue causing issues for anybody inside the top-10 rankings.

The native hero of England, Tom Aspinall (12-2-0), returns for his back-to-back main event appearances on home soil this weekend, a position he’s rightfully deserved after winning his first five UFC contests, all of which were finished via KO/TKO or by submission.

Blaydes vs. Aspinall Fight Breakdown

This will be the toughest test of Aspinall’s career thus far, but it’s hard to ignore how the Englishman has effortlessly run through the heavyweight division since his arrival to the promotion.

Behind excellent head kicks, body kicks, jabs, a significant speed advantage, and an unmatched technical approach at heavyweight, Aspinall has looked like a world beater whose skills have yet to be tested.

Blaydes will need to use his bread and butter, but the jiu-jitsu skills of Aspinall will pose a serious threat, and if Blaydes fails to land his takedowns, it's going to be a long night for the American when he attempts to match the striking speed of the home town boy.

UFC London Odds Analysis

The available odds with our top-rated sportsbooks are slightly favoring Aspinall at -135, but I’d personally line him around -170. Aspinall made Volkov look like an amateur at the last UFC London main event, and I anticipate another stoppage this weekend.

Whether you’re betting on Aspinall to win inside the distance or the round props, I’d be happy and comfortable having a ticket on either side.

UFC Pick: Under 3 ½ Rounds (-180) [1u returns 1.15u profit] at GTbets (visit out GTbets Review)

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Under 3 ½ Rounds (-170)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.