UFC 286 Parlay Picks
UFC Pick: Two-Legged Parlay (-101) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
- Rafael Fiziev ML (-220)
- Sam Patterson ML (-270)
The Ultimate Fighting Championship returns to British shores with fifteen elite-level fights and a welterweight championship bout between Leon Edwards vs. Kamaru Usman. All of these are scheduled for UFC 286 event on Saturday, March 18, and we’ve selected a handful of ideal wagers to formulate the perfect parlay.
We’ve combined two of our best bets from the UFC 286 fight card and created a probable UFC parlay for this weekend’s event; continue reading to find the betting value.
The Ultimate Fighting Championship returns to British shores with fifteen elite-level fights and a welterweight championship bout between Edwards & Usman. All of these are scheduled for UFC 286 event on Saturday, March 18th, and we’ve selected a handful of ideal wagers to formulate the perfect parlay.
We’ve combined two of our top UFC picks from the UFC 286 fight card and created a probable UFC parlay for this weekend’s event; continue reading to find the betting value.
UFC enthusiasts should make sure to check out the best US betting sites available in order to make their bets.
UFC 286 Information
- Date & Time: Saturday, March 18, 2023 – 12:00 PM EDT
- Location: 02 Arena
- Scheduled Fights: 15
- Main Event: Leon Edwards vs. Kamaru Usman (UFC Welterweight Championship Bout)
Justin Gaethje vs. Rafael Fiziev
UFC 286 Lightweight Bout
Rafael Fiziev: The Story So Far
Following his UFC debut in 2019, Rafael Fiziev (12-1-0) claimed he wanted a slow rise within the lightweight division and wanted to gain experience before competing at the top of the division.
Unfortunately, this road to the top rankings didn’t come to fruition. After losing his first promotional appearance, he’s gone on a tear through the 155 lb weight class and a six-fight win streak has positioned him as a potential title contender for Islam Makhachev’s title.
Justin Gaethje: The Story So Far
Before Fiziev is considered a title challenger, he must get through the former interim lightweight champion and regular highlight reel provider, Justin Gaethje (23-4-0).
With 27 professional MMA bouts to his name, Gaethje has won 18 of those contests via KO or TKO. He’s a born finisher, and despite owning elite-level credentials as a former NCAA Division I wrestler, we’ve never witnessed a grappling-heavy gameplan from “The Highlight”.
He’s fallen in love with striking wars and cannot extinguish his desire for hitting people in the face and slicing their calves.
UFC 286 Gaethje vs. Fiziev: Skillset Breakdown
Gaethje has been through the wringer of elite-level competition and has been involved in some of the most memorable octagon wars in MMA history.
While his style of fighting has built him into a fan favorite, father time quickly creeps on and the cumulative damage his taken over the years won’t farewell versus an incredibly technical striker and former Muay Thai champion such as Rafael Fiziev.
Fiziev Moneyline Reasoning
This upcoming bout is the “People’s Main Event” from UFC 286’s fight card and we should expect an all-out war from the opening round. Gaethje could put a halt on the rise of Fiziev and snap the prospect’s win streak through a grappling offensive.
But let’s be honest, a leopard’s spots don’t disappear and the product of Sanford MMA (now Kill Cliff FC) in the gym in Florida isn’t likely going to steer from a stand-and-bang blueprint that he’s utilized for the majority of his career.
Fiziev will own a significant speed, age, and technical striking advantage. We’ve watched his defensive attributes on the feet work wonders in the past, and it’s probable that he’ll read the incoming shots from Gaethje with ease and return with damaging counterstrikes’ of his own.
The available UFC odds with Bookmakers Review are correctly priced and this contest feels like the perfect spot for a technical sniper like Fiziev who’s facing a fighter in Gaethje whose older, has been through countless wars, and will be the wrong end of the overall striking output numbers.
UFC Pick: Rafael Fiziev ML (-220) at BetOnline
Sam Patterson vs. Yanal Ashmoz
UFC 286 Lightweight Bout
Sam Patterson: The Story So Far
The UFC 286 event in London is stacked with English prospects, and a handful of those up-and-coming warriors will be making their promotional debut.
But it’s Sam Patterson (10-1-1) who presents one of the highest ceilings of those British newcomers, and he’s notably fought a high level of competition before arriving at the UFC.
Don’t be fooled by the lack of experience on Patterson’s behalf. He dominated Vinicius Cenci (7-1-0) on Dana White’s Contender Series, knocked out former UFC competitor Felipe Silva (9-3-0), and overcome notable MMA prospects such as Kamil Magomedov (14-1-0) and Ylies Djiroun (18-6-0).
Yanal Ashmoz: The Story So Far
Yanal Ashmoz (7-0-0) is serviceable in all areas of the fight game, and as a former Professional Fighters League roster member, he didn’t arrive at the UFC by fighting slouches.
However, despite an unblemished record and three KO/TKO stoppages, he hasn’t fought the level of competition that Patterson has and we could witness a complete mismatch based on physical attributes alone.
UFC 286 Sam Patterson vs. Yanal Ashmoz: Skillset Breakdown
Standing at 6 ft 3 inches, Sam Patterson is one of the biggest lightweight competitors in UFC history - It’s quite remarkable how he cuts to 155 lbs. He’ll enter Saturday’s meeting with Ashmoz owning a 10-inch reach advantage.
But it’s not just the size, but the skills and experience of Patterson that own potential to deliver a fight-ending moment this weekend.
He’s displayed an excellent ability of using his size advantage behind powerful rangy strikes and his jiu-jitsu offense is a concern for any fighter hunting the takedown.
Patterson Moneyline Reasoning
Patterson makes his promotional debut behind a 9-fight winning streak, eight of which were obtained via KO/TKO or submission. The UFC wants to deliver the UK fans hometown wins and this is a piece of matchmaking that suits the narrative.
The available UFC odds with Bookmakers Review aren’t worth placing a moneyline wager, it’s difficult to recommend any debuting fighter when 2.7 units is required to win one unit.
However, as a parlay addition, the risk for reward is leveled out with a 49.9% implied probability, and only one unit is required to return one unit in profit.
UFC Pick: Sam Patterson ML (-270) at BetOnline
The UFC 286 Punching Parlay
- Rafael Fiziev ML (-220)
- Sam Patterson ML (-270)
UFC Pick: Two-Legged Parlay (-101) [1.01u stake returns 1u profit] at BetOnline
UFC 286 Main Card & Odds
- Leon Edwards vs. Kamaru Usman [UFC Welterweight Championship Bout]
- Justin Gaethje vs. Rafael Fiziev [UFC Co-Main Lightweight Bout]
- Gunnar Nelson vs. Bryan Barberena [UFC Welterweight Bout]
- Jennifer Maia vs. Casey O’Neill [UFC Women’s Flyweight Bout]
- Marvin Vettori vs. Roman Dolidze [UFC Middleweight Bout]
UFC 286 Preliminary Card & Odds
- Jack Shore vs. Makwan Amirkhani [UFC Featherweight Bout]
- Chris Duncan vs. Omar Morales [UFC Lightweight Bout]
- Sam Patterson vs. Yanal Ashmoz [UFC Lightweight Bout]
- Muhammad Mokaev vs. Jafel Filho [UFC Flyweight Bout]
- Lerone Murphy vs. Gabriel Santos [UFC Featherweight Bout]
- Christian Duncan vs. Dusko Todorovic [UFC Middleweight Bout]
- Jake Hadley vs. Malcolm Gordon [UFC Flyweight Bout]
- Joanne Wood vs. Luana Carolina [UFC Women’s Flyweight Bout]
- Jai Herbert vs. Ludovit Klein [UFC Lightweight Bout]
- Veronica Macedo vs. Juliana Miller [UFC Women’s Flyweight Bout]
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.