UFC 281 Punching Parlay: One Striker and One Grappler You Need in Your UFC Parlay

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UFC 281 arrives in the Empire State on Saturday, November 12, 2022, and we have thoroughly chosen the parlay picks to assist your betting desires.

This week’s punching parlay predictions favor a dynamic striker and a proven grappling specialist.

Let’s waste no time because the fight odds are now available for us to delve into some parlay betting picks and predictions for UFC 281.


Andre Petroski vs. Wellington Turman

UFC 281 Middleweight Bout

Saturday, November 12, 2022 – 08:10 PM EST at Madison Square Garden

Petroski vs. Turman: Betting Pick Analysis

Andre Petroski (8-1-0) has become synonymous with owning a questionable gas tank, but this doesn’t explain how he owns multiple third-round stoppage wins. He joined the UFC in 2021 and has since gone 3-0; he’s also keeping on top of his jiu-jitsu prowess by competing for Fury Pro Grappling, where we’ve recently seen back-to-back victories over Phil Hawes and Eryk Anders.

The red flags can be waved on Petroski’s cardio, but this hasn’t prevented him from success thus far. He’s an incredible open mat wrestler with a high level of jiu-jitsu, and I believe Turman is a great stylistic matchup where he can flaunt his skillset.

Wellington Turman (18-5-0) is still young, aged 26; the Brazilian is receiving the best possible lessons in MMA by competing against the world’s elite at a young age. Riding a two-fight win streak following a rocky 1-3 beginning to his UFC career is a positive outlook, but his past two opponents were notably on the backend of their careers.

Petroski vs. Turman: Prediction and Odds

Both fighters have enjoyed success in grappling, but from two opposing styles. Turman likes to grapple up top and sometimes utilize cage control before dragging his opponents to the ground. In contrast, Petroski owns a natural wrestling base that’s assisted with a high-level BJJ offense.

While many fear the cardio of Petroski, Turman has equally presented a questionable cardiovascular when fighting beyond the second round.

I expect Petroski to own the technical advantage in all areas, and if both men are gassed, the round three finishes from Petroski’s past fights indicate that he’s the fight you want to wager on.

The available UFC odds with Bookmakers Review favor Petroski, and rightfully so. I’m not too fond of the -200 moneyline, but that’s what parlays are for.

UFC 281 Parlay Prediction 1: Petroski to Win (-200) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)


Dan Hooker vs. Claudio Puelles

UFC 281 Lightweight Bout

Saturday, November 12, 2022 - 10:10 PM EST at Madison Square Garden

Hooker vs. Puelles: Betting Pick Analysis

Dan Hooker (21-12-0) and his past hope of making a run for the lightweight championship might be over, but the 11-8 UFC record he’ll enter this weekend's card with has been compromised by the elite fighters in this division.

Hooker, a product of City Kickboxing Gym, will enter Madison Square Garden alongside Carlos Ulberg, Brad Riddell, and Israel Adesanya, all of whom will compete this weekend. Team spirit is in the air, and he’s receiving a notably lower level of competition than what his recent losing streak has been up against.

Claudio Puelles (12-2-0) is, without question, one of the most impressive knee-bar specialists on the UFC roster. However, stopping Chris Gruetzemacher and a worn-down version of Clay Guida hasn’t provided much insight into his elite-level ability.

That said, we can’t ignore his 5-1 UFC record, and a significant victory this weekend would undoubtedly shoot him into the lightweight top 15 spotlight.


Hooker vs. Puelles: Prediction and Odds

Dan Hookers' losses to Islam Makhachev, Dustin Poirier, Michael Chandler, and Arnold Allen bare no shame. For the last two years, Hooker has competed against the upper echelon of the 155lb division. Notably, in those moments where the level of competition drops (Nasrat Haqparast), he’s excelled and looked like a worthy contender.

Puelles is good, but he will be a hit-or-miss fighter when fighting against the lightweight division’s elite. Without the ground control and submissions, he’s an extremely basic fighter who lacks the striking offense/defense to trade with somebody on Hooker’s level.

For this reason, and because the odds are showing significant value, we must side with the New Zealand native in this bout. The available UFC odds at the top-rated sportsbooks favor Hooker, but a 1-4 record from his previous five contests is delivering a reasonable price tag at -140.

Hooker will be the toughest test in Puelles’ career, while Puelles’, on paper, should be the simplest outing that Hooker has had since facing James Vick in 2019.

UFC 281 Parlay Prediction 2: Hooker to Win (-140) at BetOnline


The UFC 281 Punching Parlay

  • Hooker Wins (-140)
  • Petroski Wins (-200)

UFC Pick: Two-Legged Parlay (+156) [1u stake returns 1.56u profit] at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

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UFC 281 Main Card and Odds

UFC 281 Preliminary Card and Odds

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.