Editors Note: After a reshuffling of the main card due to a change in the Chimaev-Diaz fight, Tony Ferguson will fight against Nate Diaz and Li Jingliang will fight against Daniel Rodriguez
The UFC returns to Vegas for a talent-stacked pay-per-view event. Welterweight contenders will throw down in the evening’s co-main event, and we’re supplementing all your wagering needs.
Read on for our complete betting guide taking a first look at Li Jingliang against Tony Ferguson, including the updated UFC odds and our free expert UFC 279: Diaz against Chimaev betting picks predictions and analysis.
Li Jingliang vs. Tony Ferguson
Middleweight Co-Main Event Bout
Saturday, September 10, 2022 – 08:00 PM EDT at T-Mobile Arena
Li “The Leech” Jingliang
- Pro MMA Record: (19-7-0) (9 KOs, 5 submissions, 5 decisions)
- Age: 34
- Height: 6'0"
- Reach: 72.0"
- Training Out Of: Sanford MMA
- Origin Fighting Style: Sanda
As the most successful male Chinese competitor on the UFC roster, Li Jingliang is no stranger to an MMA fans household, and more importantly, it’s because of the exciting fight style he brings to the table.
After signing with the UFC in 2014, “The Leech” has found great success in the promotion, defeating some serious names in the business and positioning himself as top-15 ranked fighter.
After losing to this weekend’s main event star Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 267, Li returned in a dominant fashion when stopping Muslim Salikhov last time. Now, with another big name in Ferguson, will the Chinese MMA hero earn himself another highlight reel?
Tony “El Cucuy” Ferguson
- Pro MMA Record: (18-4-1) (8 KOs, 1 submission)
- Age: 38
- Height: 5'11"
- Reach: 76.5"
- Training Out Of: Jackson-Wink MMA
- Origin Fighting Style: Wrestling
Tony Ferguson will likely go down as one of the most entertaining fighters to have never won legitimate gold (discrediting interim titles).
He’ll also go down as one of MMA’s most eccentric personas, and despite riding a current 4-fight losing streak, nobody genuine fan of the sport will show any disrespect towards “El Cucuy”.
After being one of the lightweight division's most dominant competitors to suffering four consecutive defeats, it’s unquestionably been a difficult two years for Ferguson.
However, a move to Jackson-Wink MMA could be the transition he needed during this stage of his career, and it’ll be interesting to see what the future holds.
UFC 279: Jingliang vs. Ferguson Breakdown and Analysis
Jingliang Fight Style and How Can Jingliang Beat Ferguson?
While owning a complete set of tools, Jingliang has utilized his punching power inside the octagon more often than not. And given the recent track record of Ferguson’s chin, we should expect “The Leech” to headhunt Ferguson from the first bell.
With that said, “The Leech” can succeed in point-scoring Ferguson with significant blows or even a takedown or two. El Cucuy is known for his durability, and a front kick knockout from Michael Chandler won’t be fading Li’s judgment.
Ferguson’s Fight Style and How Can Ferguson Beat Jingliang?
Ferguson's most likely path to victory would be a classic D’arce choke finish, but it's unlikely we’ll ever get those past results that made him a fan favorite.
Every fighter reaches a point in their career when a downtrend begins; unfortunately, it's that time for Ferguson.
This doesn’t mean El Cucuy can’t win the fight, but from a betting perspective, he isn’t an intelligent choice for the betting ticket.
Li Jingliang vs. Tony Ferguson Betting Picks and UFC 279 Odds
The available odds at top-rated sportsbooks agree that Ferguson’s time is up, as he’s a massive underdog in this bout.
The younger, more powerful fighter in Jingliang might make a statement this weekend and finish Ferguson inside the distance; however, despite his downtrend, Ferguson’s durability is phenomenal.
He might not be the prime Ferguson with endless win streaks, but he still possesses that elite-level endurance and durability to see this one into the third round.
UFC 279 Betting Pick: Over 2 ½ Rounds (+100) [1u to win 1u] at Heritage Sports
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.
UFC 279 Main Card and Odds
- Khamzat Chimaev vs. Nate Diaz [UFC welterweight main event bout]
- Li Jingliang vs. Tony Ferguson [UFC lightweight co-main event bout]
- Kevin Holland vs. Daniel Rodriguez [UFC catchweight bout]
- Irene Aldana vs. Macy Chiasson [UFC women’s cock bout]
- Johnny Walker vs. Ion Cutelaba [UFC light heavyweight bout]
UFC 279 Preliminary Card and Odds
- Hakeem Dawodu vs. Julian Erosa [UFC featherweight bout]
- Jailton Almeida vs. Anton Turkalj [UFC catchweight bout]
- Jamie Pickett vs. Denis Tiuliulin [middleweight bout]
- Jake Collier vs. Chris Barnett [UFC heavyweight bout]
- Norma Dumont vs. Danyelle Wolf [UFC women’s pen bout]
- Chad Anheliger vs. Heili Alateng [UFC bantamweight bout]
- Elise Reed vs. Melissa Martinez [UFC women’s weight bout]
- Darian Weeks vs. Yohan Lainesse [UFC welterweight bout]