UFC 277 Co-Main First Look: Moreno vs. Kara-France II, Betting Picks, Odds and Predictions

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Brandon Moreno of Mexico celebrates after defeating Deiveson Figueiredo of Brazil to win the flyweight championship. Christian Petersen / Getty Images AFP

The UFC returns to our screens for another action-filled pay-per-view event from the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas.

The former UFC flyweight champion, Brandon Moreno, will have the opportunity to taste gold once again when he faces Kai Kara-France for the 125lb interim championship.

Read on for our complete UFC 277 co-main event betting guide, taking a first look at Moreno and Kara-France, including updated UFC odds and our free expert UFC betting picks, predictions, and analysis.

Brandon Moreno vs. Kai Kara-France II

UFC Flyweight Co-Main Event Interim Championship Bout

Saturday, July 30, 2022 – 11:25 PM EDT at American Airlines Center


Brandon Moreno

  • Pro MMA Record: (19-6-2) (3 KOs, 11 submissions)
  • Age: 28
  • Height: 5'7"
  • Reach: 70.0"
  • Trains With: Glory MMA & Fitness
  • Origin Fighting Style: MMA

Moreno transformed into an instant star when becoming the first-ever Mexican-born UFC champion, and an emotional pre-fight speech also raised his stock when his hand was raised in victory.

After a trilogy of flyweight championship contests with Deiveson Figueiredo, the fighting pride of Mexico – Brandon Moreno – returns for yet another title opportunity, but the opposing warrior has changed.

He’s an avid toy collector, but don’t be deceived. Once the octagon door is locked shut, Moreno doesn’t deal with any child’s play.

Behind a Brazilian jiu-jitsu blackbelt is also twelve years fighting as a professional, “The Assassin Baby” is now competing in the prime-fighting years of his career, and his evolution could deliver higher stages as a new member of James Krause's Glory MMA & Fitness gym.

Best Available Odds: Brandon Moreno (-200) at Heritage Sports (visit our Heritage Sports Review)

Kai Kara-France

  • Pro MMA Record: (24-9-0) (3 KOs, 6 submissions)
  • Age: 29
  • Height: 5'4"
  • Reach: 66.5"
  • Trains With: City Kickboxing
  • Origin Fighting Style: Kickboxing

Don’t Blink” is the nickname. Still, Rogerio Bontorin and former champion Cody Garbrandt didn’t get the memo as they were viciously stopped inside the distance on Kai Kara-France’s journey to becoming the No.3 ranked flyweight fighter on the planet.

Stemming from a gym that has produced and trained multiple UFC champions – Israel Adesanya and Alexander Volkanovski – we know that Kara-France has been in good hands.

We’ve witnessed first-hand the growth of Kara-France under the guidance of City Kickboxing gym, and finally, he’s matched the success of his peers and received a shot at the gold.

Aged 29 years old with a 7-2 UFC record, the heavy-handed Kiwi is now one step away from obtaining his lifelong dream, but first, he must overcome the talents of a familiar foe that’s defeated him once before.

Best Available Odds: Kai Kara-France (+173) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)


UFC 277: Brandon Moreno vs Kai Kara-France Breakdown and Analysis

Moreno’s Fight Style: How Can Moreno Defeat Kara-France?

The speed at which Moreno delivers his striking offense is a notable attribute, but he’ll be faced with Kai Kara-France, a City Kickboxing stand-out, which can match the velocity of the former champ.

With that said, these two men have fought once before, and the sheer output of Moreno gave him a unanimous decision nod from the judges, so he’ll be confident in a repeat performance that should also gift him a mental advantage.

One clear advantage for Moreno is that he’s gone the distance in a five-round contest on three occasions. In contrast, Kara-France has zero experience in the championship rounds, leaving a question mark over his ability to match the former champion’s pace.

Moreno will likely emulate his game plan from the first encounter with Kara-France by dragging his opponent into deep waters while delivering a higher volume of strikes.

Kara-France Fight Style: How Can Kara-France Defeat Moreno?

Athleticism and a fight-ending power level will undoubtedly favor Kara-France, and we cannot entirely judge him based on his first fight with Moreno.

The New Zealand-born fighter has evidently leveled up since 2019, boasting a more patient approach behind innovative game plans and significantly greater takedown defense.

Kara-France can steal a decision victory similar to how Deiveson Figueiredo won his third meeting with Moreno, which was achieved by delivering more damage and knockdowns.


Moreno vs. Kara-France Betting Prediction and UFC 277 Odds

The available odds at the top-rated sportsbooks favor Moreno as the betting favorite, which is understandable when considering the variables surrounding this bout.

However, although I favor Moreno, this fight has a high potential to go all five rounds, and the value is higher to support this outcome versus the Moreno moneyline.

Moreno has primarily been a point fighter during his professional MMA career, and the durability of both men is a position I’m confident in wagering on at the window.

UFC Pick: Over 4 ½ Win on Points (-160) [1.60u returns 1u profit] at BetOnline

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Over 4 ½ Win on Points (-160)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.