UFC 276 Prop Betting Picks: The Perfect Proposition

profile image of David Manyun
sean-omalley-knockout-victory-bantamweight-fight-ufc-269-aspect-ratio-16-9
Sean O'Malley celebrates his knockout victory over Raulian Paiva of Brazil in their bantamweight fight during the UFC 269 event. Carmen Mandato/Getty Images/AFP.

The Ultimate Fighting Championship returns to the T-Mobile Arena for a highly stacked UFC pay-per-view event. UFC odds are now available for us to delve into some perfect prop picks for UFC 276 – headlined by two championship bouts involving Israel Adesanya, Jared Cannonier, Alexander Volkanovski, and Max Holloway.

Sean O’Malley vs. Pedro Munhoz

UFC Bantamweight Main Card Bout

Saturday, July 02, 2022 – 10:10 PM EDT at T-Mobile Arena

UFC 276 Fighters Analysis

Sean O’Malley

“Sugar” Sean O’Malley (15-1-0) is still one of the most underrated fighters on the roster despite being eight fights deep into his UFC tenure. Is this because hate overrides sensibility? Most likely, because I can’t give a reason as to why somebody couldn’t envision the MMA Lab product evolving into a future title contender.

O’Malley isn’t just a fighter, he’s also a star, and he’s left a distasteful opinion in the mouths of some. However, I’m personally a fan, not because of his flamboyant personality, but because of the level of striking that’s delivered five KO/TKO stoppages since 2020.

Pedro Munhoz

No.10 ranked Pedro Munhoz (19-5-0) is a gritty veteran who’s fought the whose-who of bantamweight contenders since making his debut in 2014.

Previous bouts versus Raphael Assuncao, Rob Font, John Dodson, Cody Garbrandt, Aljamain Sterling, Frankie Edgar, Jose Aldo, and Dominick Cruz make probably the most elite resume of any fighter in all weight classes.


O’Malley vs. Munhoz: Fight Breakdown

Although Munhoz is a proven warrior with a plethora of fights versus former champions on his record, I struggle to envision a world where the 35-year-old Brazilian can overcome the talents of O’Malley.

The blistering leg kicks of Munhoz could be problematic, but outside of this, O’Malley’s jiu-jitsu is world-class, and his striking offense is one of the most diverse and dominant in the entire company.

O’Malley’s ability to create the counter opportunity, then counterstrike and mix up his jabs, hooks, and kicking attacks is like watching live art. I expect O’Malley to hand Munhoz his first UFC loss via knockout or TKO, but I’d prefer to give our wagering money some insurance.

UFC 276 Odds and Prediction

The available UFC odds with Bookmakers Review expect O’Malley to win with a moneyline price of -325. Still, whether this goes the distance or it’s stopped, I anticipate O’Malley will win every round, and this prediction provides some great value with BetOnline’s (visit our BetOnline Review) point spread option.

UFC Pick: O’Malley Point Spread -3.5 Pts (-140) [1.40u returns 1u profit] at BetOnline

BetOnline logo
O’Malley Point Spread -3.5 Pts (-140)
Visit Site

Donald Cerrone vs. Jim Miller

UFC Welterweight Preliminary Bout

Saturday, July 02, 2022 - 08:10 PM EDT at T-Mobile Arena

UFC 276 Fighters Analysis

Donald Cerrone

Donald Cerrone (36-16-0) finally receives a matchup this weekend in Vegas following a triple threat of canceled bouts with Joe Lauzon.

“Cowboy” is a legend of the sport, and many have speculated his UFC 276 appearance could be the last, and we can’t blame him for this decision with a recent downtrend in results that have seen him without a win since 2019.

Jim Miller

Jim Miller (34-16-0) is another veteran of the sport who spent the last 16 years competing for the UFC.

However, a recent two-fight win streak versus young competition puts him in a slightly different position to Cerrone when evaluating their careers.


Cerrone vs. Miller: Fight Breakdown

It’s genuinely a problematic fight to break down, as this isn’t the first meeting between the two, and Cerrone was able to finish Miller via TKO in 2014.

With that said, the 2014 version of Cowboy is a shell of himself, as the wear and tear of competing in the octagon have evidently impacted his longevity.

Both fighters are well-rounded in all facets of the sport, and I believe this fight will be decided on how much is left in the tank. Cowboy has given us countless reasons to doubt his willingness to compete at the highest level, and I believe his durability will cost him.

UFC 276 Odds and Prediction

The best sportsbooks and betting sites favor Miller on the moneyline, but the plus-money offering on expecting this bout to end within 7 and a ½ minutes is too tempting.

If Cerrone shocks the world and delivers the performance we want to see from him, he can likely finish Miller inside the distance.

On the opposite end, if we see the version of Cerrone that’s been dominated by every opponent, Miller should have no problem stopping him inside the distance.

UFC Pick: Under 1 ½ Rounds (+115) [1u returns 1.15u profit] at BetOnline

BetOnline logo
Under 1 ½ Rounds (+115)
Visit Site

UFC 276 Main Card

UFC 276 Preliminary Card

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.