Hermansson vs. Curtis First Look | UFC Fight Night Betting Picks, Odds, and Predictions

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Chris Curtis celebrates after his TKO victory against Phillip Hawes in their middleweight bout during the UFC 268 event. Mike Stobe/Getty Images/AFP.

The UFC returns to the United Kingdom for the second time this year. Middleweight contenders will throw down in the evening’s co-main event, and we’re supplementing all your wagering needs.

Read on for our complete betting guide taking a first look at Jack Hermansson vs. Chris Curtis, including the updated UFC odds and our free expert UFC picks, predictions, and analysis.

Jack Hermansson vs. Chris Curtis

UFC Middleweight Co-Main Event Bout

Saturday, July 23, 2022 – 04:50 PM EDT at O2 Arena

Jack Hermansson

Fighter Profile

  • Pro MMA Record: 22-7-0 | 10 KOs, 7 submissions
  • Age: 34
  • Height: 6'1"
  • Reach: 77.5"
  • Training Out Of: Frontline Academy
  • Origin Fighting Style: MMA

Fighter Analysis

“The Joker” Jack Hermansson returns to the UFC octagon following a split decision loss to Sean Strickland, However, the No.7 ranking he currently sits in isn’t far from becoming a title-opportunity position because the current champion has defeated multiple challengers who’re ranked in the top-five.

The Swedish native has been one of the most active middleweights during his tenure for the company over the previous six years, boasting a 9-5 promotional record to his name.

As one of Sweden’s most recognizable fighters since Alexander Gustafsson, Hermansson will be flying his nation's flag when returning to Europe this weekend. While a title-challenging opportunity has evaded him thus far, he’s a small winning streak shy of positioning himself in title talks.

Jack Hermansson Best Available Odds: -108 at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Chris Curtis

Fighter Profile

  • Pro MMA Record: 29-8-0 | 14 KOs, 3 submissions
  • Age: 35
  • Height: 5'10"
  • Reach: 75.0"
  • Training Out Of: Syndicate MMA/Team Quest
  • Origin Fighting Style: Boxing

Fighter Analysis

Less than four weeks out from competing and defeating the fiercest Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu practitioner in the middleweight division Rodolfo Viera, Chris Curtis is stepping up on short notice to take on one of the most experienced UFC 185lb competitors.

34-year-old Curtis has fought tough and nail to reach the main stage, a grueling journey in the MMA world that saw him accumulate a 23-8 professional record before ever stepping into a UFC octagon.

Road to UFC

Curtis was called up for Dana Whites Contender Series in 2018, but despite an impressive round knockout victory, the company refused to offer him a contract.

Curtis continued his journey for the Professional Fighters League (PFL), and his success took a turn for the worse as he went on a 1-3 losing streak.

Curtis retired, but after reconsidering his MMA career, he stepped back into the cage and has since gone on a tear, winning his previous seven bouts.

UFC Success So Far

The UFC came knocking in 2021, and late last year, Curtis put his name on the map with back-to-back knockout wins over Phil Hawes and Brendan Allen. With his most recent success over Rodolfo Viera, Curtis is now 3-0 in the UFC with the opportunity to break the top-10 rankings this weekend in London.

The Ohio native has been competing as a professional mixed martial artist since 2009. He’s one of the rare veterans inside the UFC that is still categorized as a newcomer in the promotion. His overall MMA skillset isn't complex, but he's undoubtedly one of the most technical boxers competing in the middleweight division.

Chris Curtis Best Available Odds: -112 at BetOnline

Hermansson vs. Curtis: Breakdown and Analysis

Hermansson Fight Style and How Can He Beat Curtis

Most opponents who stood opposite Jack Hermansson were extremely tentative to involve themselves in a grappling exchange with the former Greco-Roman wrestling competitor. He boasts a large selection of submission abilities, and his ground striking is second-to-none.

In the striking realm, he’s light-footed and enjoys a sticking and move style of offense. Probing jabs will be utilized of his back foot, 1-2’s at a distance, and uppercuts come into play with a jerky, unpredictable style. However, almost every strike is thrown down the middle, which can become adaptable for technical strikers. He’ll also use low kicks to keep range while moving backward, and body kicks will be used.

His biggest flaw would be the lack of defense he owns and a glaring lead leg just waiting to be chopped up. Hermansson should own the grappling advantage in this bout, but the defensive attributes of Curtis shouldn’t be ignored, and the Swede will lose a striking battle on the feet.

Curtis Fight Style and How Can He Beat Hermansson

Firstly, Curtis will be stood in the southpaw stance where he instantly owns an advantage over his orthodox opponents. And when it comes to boxing, I’d position him as one of the best in the division where he’s lethal with the left hook in particular.

He’ll use double jabs to setup up his power left, and he notably focuses on body shots in a sport where body attacks are usually an afterthought. In addition, his defensive attributes are excellent, presenting beautiful shoulder rolls and head movement that can leave the opposition attacking an empty space.

Curtis doesn't utilize his offensive wrestling, but his experience and ability to defend in grappling situations are enough to prevent him from being finished in precarious situations. He's been stopped inside the distance on one occasion during his professional career, as durability and cardio are notable attributes to highlight in his overall MMA skillset.

Hermansson vs. Curtis: Betting Picks and Odds

The available odds at the top-rated sportsbooks are pretty much split down the middle, and I’m seeing some great value in Curtis.

Hermansson is similar to Curtis’s last opponent in Viera, where the Swede will likely attempt to initiate a grappling game plan versus a defensively-sound grappler. I can’t envision Hermansson out-striking Curtis.

He’ll likely abandon the takedown attempts when they’re sprawled to saver his energy, creating a striking battle that will become Curtis’ fight to lose.

UFC Pick: Curtis to Win (-112) [1.12u to win 1u] at BetOnline

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Curtis to Win (-112)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.