Chiesa vs. Brady First Look| UFC Vegas 43 Fight Night Picks, Odds and Predictions

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Michael Chiesa. Alex Bierens de Haan/Getty Images /AFP

The UFC returns to the Apex Centre in Las Vegas this coming Saturday. Welterweight contenders will throw down in the evening’s co-main event, and we’re supplementing all your wagering needs. 

Read on for our complete betting guide taking a first look at Michael Chiesa vs. Sean Brady, including the updated UFC odds and UFC picks, predictions, and analysis.

Michael Chiesa vs. Sean Brady 

UFC Welterweight Co-Main Event Bout  

Saturday, November 20, 2021 – 07:05 PM EST at UFC Apex Centre 

Sean Brady 

  • Pro MMA Record: (14-0) (3 KOs, 4 Submission) 
  • Age: 28 
  • Height: 5'10" 
  • Reach: 72.5" 
  • Training Out of Renzo Gracie Philly 
  • Origin Fighting Style: Muay Thai/Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu 

Born and raised in Fox Chase, Philadelphia, Sean Brady took a keen interest in both Muay Thai kickboxing and Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu during his teenage years. His dedication to the sport eventually paid off, as he now holds BJJ black belt under Daniel Gracie out of the Renzo Gracie facility in Philadelphia.  

When entering the UFC, Brady was touted as a hot prospect, boasting an undefeated record and a CFFC championship. And now, two years and four fights onto the big stage, he’s held onto his undefeated record alongside back-to-back submission victories from his most recent contests.  

With a solid all-around mixed martial arts skillset, all that remains for Brady is to tackle the top ten of the UFC’s welterweight division – starting with the number #8 ranked Michael Chiesa. 

Sean Brady MMA Accomplishments  

  • Cage Fury Fighting Championship (One time, two defenses)  
  • UFC Performance of the Night (One time) vs. Christian Aguilera 

Sean Brady Best Available Odds: -145 with GTbets (visit our GTbets Review)

Michael Chiesa 

  • Pro MMA Record: (17-5-0) (2 KOs, 12 Submissions) 
  • Age: 33 
  • Height: 6'1" 
  • Reach: 75.5" 
  • Training Out of: Sik Jitsu Fighting Systems/Team Alpha Male 
  • Origin Fighting Style: Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu 

Michael Chiesa initially burst onto the scene when he participated in The Ultimate Fighter 15 reality show. Fighting his way into the finals, a rear-naked choke submission finish earned Chiesa the Ultimate Fighter crown and a contract with the UFC.  

Since 2013, the Washington native has fought through the welterweight rankings to position himself as an elite-level contender – mainly stumbling upon success by utilizing his grappling ability. A 10-5 record for the UFC with notable wins over Rafael Dos Anjos, Neil Magny, Carlos Condit, and Beneil Dariush are the evidence required to know how talented Chiesa’s offensive is grappling can be.

Michael Chiesa Best Available Odds: (+128) with YouWager (visit our YouWager Review)

Michael Chiesa. Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images/AFP

UFC in Vegas 43: Chiesa vs. Brady Breakdown and Analysis  

Chiesa Fight Style and How Can Chiesa Beat Brady? 

The most common path within Michael Chiesa's victories is 100% grappling-based; if he doesn’t manage to secure a submission or ground and pound finish, a heavy grappling offense with profound top control has led to his decision wins.  

His takedown style usually focuses on lateral throws, allowing Chiesa to drag his opponents into his realm – on the mat. A less than desirable striking skillset only affects Chiesa when the opposition sprawls or nullifies his takedown offense. His transitional movements on the ground are behind a strong knowledge of weight distribution have opened up countless submission opportunities during his professional career.  

Owning a considerable size advantage can certainly give Chiesa the edge. Still, I don’t visualize a submission finish over Brady – ground control and strikes from all top positions are the most viable path to victory for Chiesa.    

Michael Chiesa. Mat Hayward/Getty Images for Modelo /AFP

Brady Fight Style and How Can Brady Beat Chiesa? 

Brady will present Chiesa with an awesomely matched set of grappling skills, and should this factor force a standing battle; it isn’t easy to not favor Brady. With that said, Brady isn’t the most technical of strikers and can sometimes look flat-footed with readable combinations. However, Chiesa’s striking offense could potentially be the worst inside the top 20 of the welterweight division.  

Brady is undoubtedly the better wrestler and the more vigorous jiu-jitsu practitioner. A solid double leg takedown with a BJJ black belt can also pose threats to Chiesa.   

Michael Chiesa vs. Sean Brady Betting Picks  

The UFC available odds at Bookmakers Review favor the undefeated prospect in Brady, the betting line is close, but I do believe the oddsmakers have correctly priced this contest.  

Chiesa is dangerous; strong hooks and vicelike grip can choke the best of them. I just can’t rely on the fighter who relies solely on his grappling, especially when Brady could possibly own the more potent attributes in this area.  

UFC in Vegas 43 Pick: Sean Brady to Win at  -145 [1.45u to win 1u] with GTbets (visit our GTbets Review)

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Sean Brady to Win -145
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.