WTA Finals 2022 Picks for November 2: Why Jabeur vs. Pegula Will Be a Close Match

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Ons Jabeur of Tunisia returns a shot against Aryna Sabalenka of Belarus in their Women's Singles Group Stage match. Matthew Stockman/Getty Images/AFP.

The round-robin portion of the WTA Finals continues in Fort Worth, Texas. Each player now has one match under their belt and will be able to adjust and get accustomed to the conditions here in Texas.

As this prestigious event continues, let’s take a look at today’s lineup to find another winning tennis pick.

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Ons Jabeur vs. Jessica Pegula

Wednesday, November 2, 2022 – 06:00 PM EDT at Dickies Arena

Jessica Pegula

Both Ons Jabeur and Jessica Pegula lost their opening match here at the WTA Finals. Jabeur fell in a three-set battle to Aryna Sabalenka. Jabeur got off to a nice start winning the first set 6-3. Sabalenka bounced back however and won the second set 7-6. Jabeur got up a break in the third set but got broken twice in the last 5 games to fall 7-5 in the third.

In the match against Sabalenka, Jabeur served 7 aces but had 5 double faults. She landed her first serve at a 56% rate. She won 75% of her first-serve points but a paltry 39% of her second-serve points. Jabeur will need to up her first serve percentage as her second serve has been a liability against bigger hitting players.

After defeating Maria Sakkari in the finals of the WTA 1000 Guadalajara event, Jessica Pegula fell to the Greek player 7-6, 7-6 in the opening match here at Fort Worth. The conditions here in Texas play slower than those in Mexico and this allowed Sakkari to take advantage.

Pegula prefers a quicker court and the slower pace here at Fort Worth is going to make it harder for her to hit through her opponents. Yet Pegula is a fighter and will find a way to be effective, even though these are not the conditions most suited for her game. Both players have lost their first match, so this will be a virtual elimination match for these players.

Ons Jabeur

Ons Jabeur is 3-2 against Pegula and has won the last 3 encounters. Their most recent match was on the clay in Madrid, where Jabeur prevailed in 3 sets. Jabeur also won in their previous 2022 meeting on the hard courts of Dubai.

Pegula will look to turn things around against the talented Tunisian today.

Player Matchup

  • Jessica Pegula has a slightly better serve. However, Ons Jabeur has a formidable serve of her own. Pegula's edge here is slight.
  • Pegula can hit with a tad bit more power from the forehand side. Jabeur has a formidable forehand of her own. So, like the serve, once again, Pegula has just a slight edge.
  • Ons Jabeur has the advantage on the backhand side. Jabeur is more consistent here and with her ability to employ slice, she can also vary the pace of her shots to keep her opponent off balance.
  • Jabeur has more diversity in her game. Jabeur can beat you with power, but also has the touch to vary pace, depth, and height. Pegula relies on overpowering her opponents, Jabeur can beat you in many different ways
  • Jabeur has a slight experience edge. Jabeur has played in more big matches, including the Grand Slam finals.
  • Pegula should have the support of the American crowd.

Best Bet

Like Pegula's first match against Maria Sakkari, I expect another close, hard-fought battle. Both players are coming off of a loss and will be giving it their all because at 0-2 it's very hard to advance in this round-robin format. This is essentially an elimination match for both women.

The match will be on Jessica Pegula's racket, but Ons Jabeur has the variety and pace to disrupt her game. I expect Pegula to look good in spurts, but then Jabeur will figure out ways to keep her off balance. This should be a streaky match, with both players looking excellent at certain points.

I would not be surprised to see a three-set affair, with both women's tournament lives on the line. Therefore I like the Over 22 games here as our best bet.

Both women have an excellent chance to win, and you can make a good case for either one. Still, the most likely event is this will be a hard-fought, long match.

So, following the WTA odds, bet the Over, enjoy the action, and let's cash another ticket at the best sportsbooks.

Tennis Pick: Ons Jabeur/Jessica Pegula Over 22 Games (-104) at Bookmaker (visit our Bookmaker Review)

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Ons Jabeur/Jessica Pegula Over 22 Games (-104)
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