Wimbledon 2022 Preview and Best Bets

profile image of Spread.Astaire
cameron-norrie-tennis-match-atp-championships-tournament-aspect-ratio-16-9
Britain's Cameron Norrie reacts as he plays against Bulgaria's Grigor Dimitrov during their men's single tennis match round of 16 of the ATP Championships tournament. (Photo by Glyn KIRK / AFP)

The quarterfinals are here at Wimbledon. The action has been exciting and the players remaining are in top form.

Let’s take a look at today’s featured matches to find more winning tennis picks.

David Goffin vs. Cameron Norrie

Tuesday, July 05, 2022 – 09:15 AM EDT at Court 1

David Goffin and Cameron Norrie will compete for their first-ever Grand Slam semifinal appearance. This will be quite the feat for either man, and both should be fully motivated, yet tinged with a slight amount of pressure to achieve their best career Slam result.


David Goffin Preview

Player Profile

  • David Goffin is a 31-year-old Belgian player ranked 58th in the world.
  • Goffin is 4-1 on grass this season.
  • Goffin is the #1 ranked Belgian tennis player.
  • He lost in the first round of his only warm-up tournament to the world's #1 Daniil Medvedev.
  • He has followed that loss up with four solid performances here at Wimbledon.
  • Goffin has made the quarterfinals of the Australian Open, French Open, and Wimbledon.
  • His last quarterfinal appearance was in 2019.
  • This will be his fourth attempt and making a Grand Slam semifinal in his career.
  • David Goffin has won six ATP titles in his career.

Player Analysis

Goffin is a solid baseliner who lives and dies with the consistency of his groundstrokes. He is right-handed and plays with a two-handed backhand.

His backhand is particularly strong and one of the biggest strengths of his game.


Cameron Norrie Preview

Player Profile

  • Cameron Norrie is a 26-year-old British player ranked 12th in the world.
  • Norrie is the #1 ranked British player.
  • Norrie is 6 ft. 2 and plays left-handed with a two-handed backhand.
  • Norrie has won four ATP titles in his career.
  • By making the quarterfinals here at Wimbledon, this is Norrie's best result at a Grand Slam.
  • Norrie has an excellent serve and is holding at an 80.0% rate this season.

Player Analysis

For his career, Norrie has had uninspiring results on grass, yet he has improved this season. He is now 16-14 and has an 82% hold rate on grass, but only a 17% break rate.


Players Matchup

Cross-Court Rallies

Cameron Norrie will not have the same advantage with his left-handed forehand to backhand cross-court rallies that he usually enjoys. David Goffin's backhand is so solid that this tactic will play right into his hands. This will be an excellent test for Norrie, but in no way does either man have an advantage in these rallies.

David Goffin will have an advantage when he hits his forehand to Cameron Norrie's backhand, however. Look for Goffin to keep the rallies on this side of the court, and take advantage of the edge he will enjoy on the baseline.

Serve

Cameron Norrie has a much better serve. He should be able to hold serve much easier than Goffin.

Experience

David Goffin has much more experience as a player, but both are trying to achieve something new in winning a quarterfinal. This will be Cameron Norrie's first attempt, while Goffin has failed three times before to reach the semis of a major.

I'm not sure if the earlier experience of playing in the quarterfinals really gives Goffin that much of an edge. Therefore, I would say even though Goffin is the more accomplished player, the experience edge is about even considering the stage that both men are on.

Extended Rallies

David Goffin is excellent from the baseline with aggressiveness and consistency. He will have the advantage in all extended rallies. Cameron Norrie will try to end the points quickly. The longer the match, the bigger the edge for Goffin.


Goffin vs. Norrie: Tennis Pick of the Day

Our Prediction

I do give Cameron Norrie the slight edge in this match but the ATP odds accurately reflect that. Norrie has had a relatively easy draw in order to make this quarterfinal, whereas Goffin has scored more impressive wins, namely against Ugo Humbert and Frances Tiafoe.

Cameron Norrie will not enjoy his usual forehand to backhand cross-court advantage, and it'll be interesting to see how much that changes his tactics. Will he go with the strategy that he normally employs or will he try and switch it up?

Cameron Norrie has an excellent serve and David Goffin has an excellent return. If Norrie is able to get many easy holds, he will neutralize one of Goffin's best weapons. If Goffin can make Norrie struggle to hold serve, he has a great chance to get the win and make his first Grand Slam semifinal.

Our Betting Pick

I do give the edge to Cameron Norrie to win this match, but I'm not confident enough in it to lay the betting odds required. Therefore, I'm going to attack this match in a different way. Our best bet for today's Wimbledon quarterfinal event is Over 38.5 games.

Both men have great chances to exploit their tactical advantages, and I expect to see a back-and-forth match. Both men will struggle to keep the level of play high in the tense, tight situation that the pressure of making the first Grand Slam semifinal will create.

This should be a long, drawn-out battle, and it's tough to predict who will end up being the winner. But I think it's fairly easy to predict that this will be a long, hard-fought, enjoyable tennis match.

ATP Pick: Over 38.5 Games (-106) at GTbets (visit our GTbets Review)

GTbets logo
Over 38.5 Games (-106)
Visit Site

*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.