Today will be highlighted by arguably the most intriguing match we have seen at the men’s Wimbledon Championship so far. Stefanos Tsitsipas and Nick Kyrgios will take the court in a battle of contrasting styles, personalities, and approaches to the game.
When these two polar opposites face-off, who is the right tennis pick?
Nick Kyrgios vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas
Saturday, July 02, 2022 – 11:15 AM EDT at Court 1
Two of the sport's most high-profile personalities take the court when Nick Kyrgios and Stefanos Tsitsipas face off. Let's take a look at each player and how they match up.
Nick Kyrgios Player Profile
- Nick Kyrgios is a 27-year-old Australian player ranked 40th in the world.
- Kyrgios has one of the best serves in the game. He holds at an incredible 93.6% percentage.
- Kyrgios is known for his antics on the court. Kyrgios has problems with mental toughness and can be easily rattled and delve into toddler-like temper tantrums.
- Kyrgios is not fully committed to the sport of tennis, but his unique talent allows him to play at a high level on tour, even without the normal commitment of a professional athlete.
- Kyrgios has a flair for the dramatic and often will hit some of the most impressive highlight shot winners of each tournament he enters.
- When Kyrgios is playing his best, he can beat any player in the world.
- He is easily distracted and has problems maintaining a high level throughout a full tournament.
- Kyrgios is 9-2 on the grass this season.
- Stefanos Tsitsipas is a 23-year-old Greek player ranked 5th in the world.
- Tsitsipas is a popular player. He is very open with his life and has grown up in front of his fans.
- Tsitsipas has been accused of gamesmanship before. Whether it's extra-long toilet breaks, coaching from his box, or tapping his racket while his opponent serves, Tsitsipas' gentle personality is belied by an incredibly competitive spirit.
- While Tsitsipas smiles and plays nice for the cameras, he will do anything to win, including blurring the lines of sportsmanship.
- Tsitsipas is 8-2 on grass this season.
- Tsitsipas is on a six-match winning streak, coming off a title win in Mallorca the week before Wimbledon.
- Tsitsipas has an excellent serve. He is strong from the baseline and uses a picturesque one-handed backhand to hit winners.
- His backhand can be picked on, and while it looks beautiful and gives him an extra range of motion for his court coverage, it does lack the power of other men's 2 handed backhands on tour.
- Tsitsipas has won 2 ATP tournaments already in the 2022 season.
Kyrgios vs. Tsitsipas Player Matchup
- Nick Kyrgios has a slightly better serve.
- Stefanos Tsitsipas is slightly better with his groundstrokes when it comes to consistency.
- Kyrgios is better at aggression and hitting winners from the baseline.
- Tsitsipas and Kyrgios played at Halle on the grass just 2 weeks ago. Kyrgios won in a three-set match.
- The key to Kyrgios' victory in Halle was his second serve effectiveness. Kyrgios won 76% of his second serve points compared to only 43% for Tsitsipas.
- Kyrgios' ability to win service points even when he had missed his first serve was the difference in the match.
- Even though Kyrgios’ serve is ranked higher, Tsitsipas hit double the amount of aces in the match in Halle, 18 to 9.
- Tsitsipas and Kyrgios have played four times, with Kyrgios leading the head-to-head battle 3-1.
- While both players can go into a funk sometimes and not play at the level of play that we expect, Nick Kyrgios is more prone to brutal, complete meltdowns.
Kyrgios vs. Tsitsipas Betting Analysis
This is an interesting match that most people think that Nick Kyrgios will win, largely upon his recent success against Stefanos Tsitsipas. However, I don't think it is so straightforward and on the bigger stage, I do expect Tsitsipas to play well, especially without the burden of expectations.
Kyrgios sometimes struggles under the burden of expectations and seems to play better when he is an underdog or not a lot is expected of him. Kyrgios has a tendency to self-sabotage. I am not a sports psychologist, but I would infer that he might have a fear of too much success.
This seems to be a running theme around Kyrgios and his refusal to really commit to his game. It's as if he feels that if he doesn't try his hardest, he can tell himself that is why he failed, and not feel like his best wasn't enough.
Kyrgios vs. Tsitsipas Best Bet
Because of these reasons, I am scared to back Nick Kyrgios, although he seems to be the proper play if you're taking a side. The most value on this match is presented here with the over.
Both men will serve incredibly well and Stefanos Tsitsipas knows to be more aggressive on his second serve after the results of their last match. This could be important in creating a closer battle and helping this match go to five sets.
I expect to see a serving clinic from both men and breaks will be at a premium. I also will not be surprised to see a five-set battle where anything can happen. Kyrgios does seem to present some sort of small value, yet I feel the safe, smart play is to bet the over.
Our bet for today’s high-profile Wimbledon event is Nick Kyrgios/Stefanos Tsitsipas over 41 ½ games as we are getting some great ATP odds.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.