The quarterfinals are here at the Rothesay International Eastbourne ATP event. The players are getting accustomed to the grass courts as all eyes of the tennis world are looking forward to Wimbledon.
Let’s take a look at 2 more players who are finding form going into the premier Grand Slam event. When Alex De Minaur and Tommy Paul square off, who will be the winning tennis pick?
BMR’s Betting Pulse
• In a battle of 2 Top 40 players, Alex de Minaur and Tommy Paul are both heading into this match coming off solid performances.
• Alex De Minaur is an ultra-quick counterpuncher and the reigning Eastbourne champion.
• Tommy Paul is very solid from the baseline (for an American).
Alex De Minaur vs. Tommy Paul
Thursday, June 23, 2022 – 10:30 AM EDT at Center Court
Alex De Minaur
- Alex De Minaur is a 24-year-old Australian ranked 23 in the world.
- De Minaur is 3-2 on the grass courts this season.
- De Minaur has made 9 ATP finals and won 5 ATP titles in his career.
- De Minaur's best performance in Wimbledon is to make the third round in 2018.
- Alex De Minaur has won 2 ATP 500 events and 7 ATP 250 tournaments in his career.
- He is the defending champion here at Eastbourne. The title was his most recent tournament win.
Alex De Minaur is one of the best defensive players on the ATP Tour. His lateral quickness and court coverage are among the best among ATP Tour players.
De Minaur is quite proficient at counterpunching, and just because he is known as a defensive player does not mean that he can't redirect pace and hit winners. De Minaur is an expert at using pace against his opponents.
His main weakness is that he is not able to generate his own pace and hit through his opponent, but rather relies on redirecting his opponent's pace to be aggressive.
- Tommy Paul is a 25-year-old American ranked number 35 in the world.
- Paul is 4-2 on the grass courts this season.
- Paul has made one final and won one title in his career, the 2021 Stockholm Open.
- Paul has yet to win a match at Wimbledon.
- His best Grand Slam result is to make the third round of the Australian Open.
Tommy Paul is one of the most balanced Americans, but that isn't necessarily saying much. Like most American players, Paul can dial up his forehand. He is also adept at grinding out longer rallies, which is not a trait known to many American players.
He does not simply rely on his serve to hold service games, Paul can withstand rallies against the top baseliners.
Paul also has a more developed and versatile backhand than most of his American counterparts. Of all the top American men, Tommy Paul has the most balanced game.
De Minaur vs. Paul: Players Matchup
- While neither man is a prodigious server, Tommy Paul has the advantage on the serve.
- Alex De Minaur is much better from the baseline.
- De Minaur is much superior in areas of court coverage and defensive ability.
- Tommy Paul is able to generate more pace and aggressive play with his groundstrokes, particularly his forehand.
- Alex De Minaur is a more experienced player and has achieved more success against the world's top players.
De Minaur vs. Paul: Betting Pick and Prediction
Why Alex De Minaur is Going to Win
Although his game is not traditionally suited for grass, Alex De Minaur is quite effective on the grass with his ability to redirect the pace. De Minaur is only 6 ft. tall, short by ATP standards, so the fact that the ball stays low on the grass does not hurt him at all.
Alex De Minaur also has the experience to win here, as evidenced by his title last season. He also has the incentive to defend last season's points.
Why Tommy Paul is Going to Lose
Tommy Paul is a great American player and is fun to back in the right situations, but he's much better on the hard courts. Paul also does not have the firepower and aggressive strokes to blow De Minaur off the court.
Paul is very good at many things but not elite in anything, and in this case, he is going against the elite defensive abilities of De Minaur. Today his balanced game will come up short.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.