The play continues on the beautiful grass courts in Eastbourne. The players pursue their preparation for Wimbledon with this tournament worth 250 ATP ranking points. Let’s take a look at today’s featured match to find another winning tennis pick!
Cameron Norrie vs. Brandon Nakashima
Wednesday, June 22, 2022 – 06:00 AM EDT at Court 1
Great Britain's top player takes on a young up-and-coming American when Cam Norrie and Brandon Nakashima take the court. Cam Norrie received a bye and has yet to play here in Eastbourne.
Brandon Nakashima defeated Jay Clarke in the first round. Nakashima posted a dominant 6-1, 6-3 victory. Norrie lost his first grass-court match this season when he fell to Grigor Dimitrov in London. Norrie will be keen to build momentum for Wimbledon. Let's take a look at each player's strengths and weaknesses and see how they match up against the ATP odds!
Cameron Norrie Player Profile
• Cameron Norrie is a 26-year-old British player ranked 12th in the world. Norrie is the highest-ranked British player.
• He is 6 ft 2 and plays left-handed with a two-handed backhand.
• Cameron has won four ATP titles in his career.
• Norrie's best result at a grand slam is to make the third round. He has made the third round in every Grand Slam, including making the third round in Wimbledon last season.
• Norrie has an excellent serve and is holding at a 79.8% rate this season.
• Norrie has uninspiring results on grass. Norrie is 11-13. Norrie has an 82% hold rate on grass, but only a 17% break rate. Norrie would definitely like to improve his results at his country’s preferred surface.
Brandon Nakashima Player Profile
• Brandon Nakashima is a 20-year-old American ranked 54th in the world.
• Brandon Nakashima is 6 ft 2 and plays right-handed with a two-handed backhand.
• He has yet to win an ATP title in his career.
• Brandon has yet to win a main draw match at Wimbledon.
• Nakashima is holding at an impressive 82% rate on his serve this year.
• He is 3-3 in his career on grass. Nakashima has an astounding 87.2% hold rate on grass, but only a 10.8% break rate.
Norrie vs. Nakashima | Player Matchup
I found it interesting when diving into this match was while I rate Cam Norrie's serve to be superior from doing my tape study, Brandon Nakashima holds at a higher rate so far this season.
One thing I can attribute this to however is Norrie did play well this clay season, and the multiple clay matches that he played drove down his hold percentage.
This could also be a reason for Cameron Norrie having a much more impressive break percentage this year. Cameron Norrie is breaking at 25.2%. Nakashima is only breaking at 17%.
Norrie vs. Nakashima | Stats and Highlights
• Brandon Nakashima has a better serve, but the eye test and tape study indicate the opposite. I give Cameron Norrie the edge on serving today.
• Norrie is a left-hander. I give Cameron Norrie the slight advantage in point construction, but Brandon Nakashima is definitely accomplished in his own right at creating opportunities in longer rallies, and this could be more even than the tape study suggests.
• Cameron Norrie is the more experienced player, and this experience is an advantage in the match.
• Cameron Norrie will have the advantage of playing in front of his home fans.
Norrie vs. Nakashima Best Bet
I like the skill and experience of Cameron Norrie to shine through today. Brandon Nakashima is a great player in his own right, but Norrie is playing some of the best tennis we have seen from him in his career. Nakashima is an up-and-coming player who will continue to improve, but he is not yet at the level of Norrie.
Cam Norrie has not had the best results on the grass for his career, which is making him undervalued in this match. Norrie’s previous failures on grass have come against top players, and he is much more proficient on the surface now.
Norrie has a game well suited for grass, so it seems like it will be only a matter of time for his game to translate to success on grass. With his form at a high level, now is the perfect time for him to showcase his improvement.
Cameron Norrie will also enjoy a boost from playing at home. Norrie will be more comfortable with the environment and will have the support of the home crowd. I expect Norrie to get the win today to the delight of the British fans.
Our bet for today's ATP Eastbourne event is Cameron Norrie -1.5 games available at BMR's top-rated books and betting sites.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.