Rothesay International Eastbourne 2022 Expert Analysis and Best Bets

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Latvia's Jelena Ostapenko serves to France's Alize Cornet during their women's singles match of the Roland-Garros Open tennis tournament. (Photo by Thomas SAMSON / AFP)

The defending Rothesay International Eastbourne champion Jelena Ostapenko has one more match to win to successfully defend her title. This should be her toughest match yet, against rival Petra Kvitova, who is quite an accomplished grass player herself.

Let’s take a look at this intriguing matchup to find another winning tennis pick.

BMR’s Betting Pulse

• Two players who are playing at their highest level here at Eastbourne meet each other in the final.

• 500 ranking points are on the line.

• Both players are in excellent form and have shown the best tennis we have seen from them in a while.

Jelena Ostapenko vs. Petra Kvitova

Saturday, June 25, 2022 – 07:30 AM EDT at Center Court

Petra Kvitova

Player Profile

  • Petra Kvitova is a 32-year-old Czech player ranked 31 in the world.
  • Kvitova has won 28 WTA titles in her career.
  • Kvitova has won Wimbledon twice, in 2011 and 2014.

Player Analysis

Petra Kvitova stands 6 feet tall and is one of the most accomplished servers in the history of the WTA tour. She plays left-handed and her ability to use slice on the ad side of the court while serving gives her a huge advantage.

Kvitova has an excellent forehand and she constantly picks on her opponent's backhand with these powerful groundstrokes. She is also adept off the backhand side, but her forehand is definitely her main weapon in rallies. The Czech is one of the best servers on tour.

She is not the most athletic player, so the grass accentuates her power while hiding her lack of mobility.

Jelena Ostapenko

Player Profile

  • Jelena Ostapenko is a 25-year-old Latvian player ranked 14th in the world.
  • Ostapenko is the defending champion here at Eastbourne.
  • Ostapenko is 5-1 on grass so far this season

Player Analysis

This will be another matchup for Jelena Ostapenko where her opponent can rival her power. It will be quite different for her, however, going against a left-hander.

Still, both players have powerful forehands and there should be plenty of winners and highlight-worthy shot-making.

Ostapenko vs. Kvitova: Players Matchup

The biggest difference for Ostapenko in her match compared to her Friday opponent Giorgi will be going against a left-hander. She will be comfortable playing against another power player.

Strengths and Weaknesses

  • Ostapenko struggles with defensive players who will force her to hit multiple balls in rallies.
  • Ostapenko prefers a slugfest and she will get what she prefers today.
  • Ostapenko has fared okay against lefties in her career. She is 17-17 for a 50% win percentage.
  • Ostapenko's win percentage against right-handers is 57.5%.
  • Petra Kvitova is 63-24 on grass for a 72.4% win percentage.
  • For Kvitova's career, she has a very impressive 82.5% hold rate on grass, a tribute to her powerful left-handed serve.

Ostapenko has a solid, consistent, powerful backhand, so picking on her backhand will not be the boon that it is against other, less balanced players.

In fact, it could be argued that Ostapenko's backhand is more consistent than her powerful forehand, even though she hits fewer winners with it.

Previous Encounters

Kvitova and Ostapenko have played eight times and their head-to-head record is 4-4. Ostapenko won the most recent meeting, in Dubai, in February.

The match was incredibly close with Ostapenko prevailing 7-5, 5-7, 7-6 and it was 11-9 in the tiebreaker.

Ostapenko vs. Kvitova: Betting Pick and Prediction

Jelena Ostapenko is slightly favored by WTA odds and I believe that line makes sense. Ostapenko does deserve to be the slight favorite due to her level of play. However, I think that the match could go either way and it's a tough gamble to make on either player.

I do see great value in the Over, however. These players are both going to push each other to the limits. Ostapenko doesn't have the best second serve, but Kvitova does not always take advantage of weaker second serves. Kvitova has a below-average break percentage for a player of her level and accomplishments.

Ostapenko will be able to break Kvitova’s serve, so an early break against Ostapenko does not mean that the set won't go long. I expect another long, drawn-out affair, like the one we saw in Dubai. Our best bet for today's WTA Eastbourne final is Petra Kvitova/Jelena Ostapenko Over 21.5 games.

WTA Pick: Over 21.5 Games (-110) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Over 21.5 Games (-110)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.