The French Open is complete, signifying the end of the main European clay-court swing. The players are in for a drastic change of pace with the tournaments now switching to grass in the lead-up to Wimbledon.
Clay courts play slowly and favor baseliners with strong groundstrokes. Grass courts play quickly and favor big servers with power games. As the grass season kicks off, let’s look at today’s matches to find winning tennis picks.
Emil Ruusuvuori vs. Botic van de Zandschulp
Tuesday, June 07, 2022 – 05:05 AM EDT at Centre Court
Emil Ruusuvuori Profile
Emil Ruusuvuori is a 23-year-old player from Finland who is currently ranked 62nd in the world. Ruusuvuori is coming off a lackluster clay season. Yet that is not a big surprise. Ruusuvuori has a big serve and forehand, and his style of play is not conducive to the clay.
Now Emil Ruusuvuori gets the chance to really let his skills shine. Ruusuvuori has a game that is made for grass. The lack of playing time on grass has shown in his results, and he was 2-3 on the grass last season. Yet, Ruusuvuori has improved his game since then and it is not far-fetched to expect better results from him this season.
Botic van de Zandschulp Analysis
Botic van de Zandschulp is a 26-year-old Dutch player ranked 29th in the world. Botic van de Zandschulp had a respectable clay season, with his best result being in Munich where he made the final. He racked up 2 wins in the French Open before falling to eventual champion Rafael Nadal.
Botic van de Zandschulp has the more well-rounded game. Van de Zandschulp has the big serve and offensive weapons needed for grass, and I believe his groundstrokes are more consistent than those of Ruusuvuori. Still, on grass, some of these advantages can be negated.
Ruusuvuori vs. van de Zandschulp Matchup
• Emil Ruusuvuori has the stronger serve and forehand combination, critical to success on grass.
• Botic van de Zandschulp has more consistent groundstrokes, better court coverage, and better defensive ability.
• Botic van de Zandschulp has had more success this year, and he comes into the grass season in better form.
Ruusuvuori vs. van de Zandschulp Betting Pick
For these reasons, Botic van de Zandschulp is the favorite in today's match. Because of the drastic differences in surface, however, there is value in Emil Ruusuvuori.
While Ruusuvuori comes into the match with worse form and less impressive results, his game is much more tailor-made for the grass. He has been consistently improving and the lack of success on clay has lowered the expectations for Ruusuvuori.
Although Botic van de Zandschulp is more likely to win, the price is not reflective of Ruusuvuori’s chances here. Our first best bet for the Libema Open is Emil Ruusuvuori ML available at BMR's top-rated books.
Tommy Paul vs. Brandon Nakashima
Tuesday, June 07, 2022 - 06:10 AM EDT at Court 2
Paul vs. Nakashima Matchup Preview
Two American players face off on the grass in what should be an exciting match. Brandon Nakashima is 20 years old and ranked 64th in the world. Tommy Paul is 25 years old and ranked 39th in the world.
It should be a fun match between two Americans trying to work their way up in the rankings. Both men are talented and I expect both men to do well this summer.
Tommy Paul and Brandon Nakashima have played each other twice, with each man being victorious once. Their most recent match was in 2020, during the pandemic, playing World Team Tennis. Before that Tommy Paul defeated Nakashima in a Challenger event on hard courts in 2019.
Paul and Nakashima's Accomplishments
After being ousted from the French Open, Brandon Nakashima did play on grass last week. This should give him an advantage as he was able to acclimate to the vast differences between the two surfaces.
Nakashima got two wins under his belt before falling to tennis legend Andy Murray in Surbiton. Overall, it was still a great performance for Nakashima, who got some good grass-court experience going into this week's event.
In contrast to Brandon Nakashima, Tommy Paul has not played on grass since 2019. Paul is a talented player, but he ended his clay season with a whimper, falling in his last three matches. Paul did excellently during the first part of the hard-court season this year, so hopes are still high for his 2022 season.
Paul vs. Nakashima Matchup
• Tommy Paul has the best groundstrokes of any young American player, but Nakashima is quite close.
• Nakashima has slightly better court coverage, but that should not come into play too much in today's grass-court event.
• Nakashima will have the edge in surface experience. Nakashima's three matches last week definitely give him an advantage in preparation.
Paul vs. Nakashima Betting Pick
I like the younger American in this match at the current ATP odds. While Tommy Paul is the better, more experienced player, Nakashima is very close in skill level and his acclimation to playing on grass will be the difference in this match.
Nakashima has also been improving at a rapid rate over the last year so expect a huge breakout from him very soon. Winning matches like this are the first step, and I expect him to showcase his readiness to ascend on the ATP tour. Our second bet for the Libema Open is Brandon Nakashima -2.5 games.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.