Hamburg European Open 2022 Preview: How to Bet the Upcoming Matches

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Slovakia's Alex Molcan returns to Serbia's Novak Djokovic during their men's singles match of the Roland-Garros Open tennis. Thomas Samson / AFP

The quarterfinals are here at the Hamburg Open. We’ve had a wide variance of results so far, making this a fun tournament to watch and to wager on.

Let’s take a look at Friday’s featured match to find another winning tennis pick.

Alex Molcan vs. Borna Coric

Friday, July 22, 2022 – 12:00 PM EDT at Center Court

Alex Molcan and Borna Coric take the court with an opportunity to make the semifinals here in Hamburg.

Both players could use the ranking points, so I expect to see a strong effort from both men. Let's take a look at these two players and how they match up.

Alex Molcan

Player Profile

  • Alex Molcan is a 24-year-old player from Slovakia ranked 48 in the world.
  • Molcan plays left-handed with a two-handed backhand.
  • Molcan has made three ATP finals in his career but has not won an ATP tournament.
  • Molcan has won two ATP Challenger titles and four ITF Future titles.
  • Molcan is 22-14 this year. His hold percentage is 79.9% and his break percentage is 23.4%.

Player Analysis

Molcan won his first-round match against Marko Topo 7-5, 6-3, and he was a large favorite in the match.

The Slovak was an underdog in his Round of 16 match against Pablo Carreno Busta. He put forth an inspired performance to win 3-6, 6-1, 7-6.

Molcan likes to take the ball on the rise and hits with plenty of power off both sides. He can also generate topspin, especially on his forehand side, which allows him to keep his opponent in a defensive position while he sets up his attack.

Borna Coric

Player Profile and Analysis

  • Borna Coric is a 25-year-old player from Croatia ranked 183 in the world.
  • Coric was once ranked as high as 12th in the world, but injuries have robbed him of his ability to compete.
  • Coric plays right-handed with a two-handed backhand.
  • Coric has won two ATP titles in his career.
  • Coric is 4-7 this year. His hold percentage is 76.4% and his break percentage is 15.4%.

Player Analysis

Coric is a defensive baseliner. He is more solid from his backhand side, while his forehand can be riddled with inconsistency, which has been a serious detriment to his advancement in his career.

The Croatian has excellent footwork and court coverage, and he also likes to take the ball on the rise. This gives him the ability to be aggressive even when opponents hit his groundstrokes deep.

Coric opened the tournament in Hamburg with an impressive win over fellow clay courter Laslo Djere. Coric won 1-6, 7-6, 6-3.

Coric won his Round of 16 match in routine fashion over Tallon Griekspoor. He prevailed 6-3, 6-4. He won an impressive 81% of first serve points in the match.

Player Matchup

Both players have the ability to take the ball on the rise, meaning each player can initiate offense at any given point.

It'll be interesting to see which player will be more aggressive. I would surmise it is in Molcan's nature to be more aggressive early, but if Coric finds himself struggling early, he could switch to the attack as a way to change his tactics

Molcan and Coric have never played each other on the ATP tour, so let's look into their strong points.

Molcan's Strong Points

  • Molcan has been playing better as of late. He comes into the match in better form.
  • I rate Alex Molcan’s serve slightly higher, but it is so close it's hard to give an edge to either player in the serving category.
  • Molcan has the better Hold/Break percentage by 11.5%.
  • Molcan has the better forehand. Since he is left-handed, he will need to use his backhand to attack Coric's shaky forehand.

Coric's Strong Points

  • Coric is a bit quicker and has more court coverage.
  • Because of his speed, he has the defensive advantage.

Best Bet

Molcan Living up to His Potential

I like Alex Molcan here and I was surprised he isn't favored by the ATP odds. Molcan has been playing better as of late and I rate his two victories so far this tournament to be better.

I also like the way that the left-handed Molcan will match up with Coric. I think it will be hard for Coric to find a weakness. With Coric steady backhand playing to Molcan's forehand, Molcan should have the advantage from the baseline, even if Coric is a defensive wizard.

Molcan is a talented player who is finally living up to his potential. I expect that he has momentum building for a nice run here coming up soon. I have been impressed with Molcan's play.

When watching him on tape he looks better than a player ranked number 48 in the world. I would not be surprised to see his ranking much higher by the end of this 2022 season.

Still a Ways to Go For Coric

Coric did win a Challenger two weeks ago, but Molcan has been consistently playing the higher level of player. Coric has struggled at the ATP level this season and has never really found his form after suffering severe injuries.

He might end up as a great "what if" in tennis. He was so highly lauded as a young player but injuries have stalled his development. I expect Alex Molcan to continue his fine form and get the victory in this match.

Our bet for today's Hamburg Open featured match is Alex Molcan ML.

ATP Pick: Alex Molcan ML (+105) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

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Alex Molcan ML (+105)
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