Hamburg European Open 2022 Odds and Betting Preview

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Spain's Carlos Alcaraz reacts as he plays against Germany's Alexander Zverev during the Roland-Garros Open tennis tournament. (Photo by Anne-Christine POUJOULAT / AFP)

In an interesting quirk of the tennis schedule, the tour switches back to clay courts for a couple of weeks before the North American hard court swing begins. The most prestigious tournament of this in-between time is the Hamburg Open, which puts its first ball into play on Monday.

Let’s take a look at who should win this tournament and excellent ways to find value when looking for winning outright tennis picks.

Hamburg European Open: What You Should Know

  • The Hamburg Open is a premier tennis event located in Hamburg, Germany.
  • It was founded in 1892 and it’s been played at the tennis center Am Rothenbaum since 1924.
  • It was once a Masters tournament but in 2009 it switched to an ATP Tour 500.
  • The tournament added the women to the list in 2021 and it is now a WTA 250 as well.
  • It is played on clay, outdoors, with 32 players in the draw.
  • The men will receive over a million dollars in prize money while the women will receive $250,000.
  • The defending champion is Pablo Carreno Busta on the men’s side.
  • On the women’s side, the defending champion is Elena Gabriela Ruse.

Carlos Alcaraz (-125)

Carlos Alcaraz is by far the rightful favorite looking at this field. Because a lot of the top men’s players are either hurt or in North America preparing for the hard court swing, the field is devoid of top talent. Instead, it is replete with clay court specialists, and Carlos Alcaraz is at his best on clay.

Alcaraz will face a challenge in the second round against Sebastian Baez, who played excellently at Bastad last week. If he were not encumbered with the unfortunate draw of having to play Alcaraz in the second round, coming off a long week where he was a finalist in Baastad, Baez would have been an exciting selection. However, due to the unfortunate nature of his draw, I have left Baez off my list of potential winners.

Readers of my tennis columns here at Bookmakers Review know how high I am on Carlos Alcaraz. If you have missed my previous glowing summaries of his game, here are some excellent hallmarks of the 19-year-old Spaniard’s play.

Player Profile and Analysis

  • Alcaraz has modeled himself after the greatest clay court player of all time, Rafael Nadal.
  • Alcarez has replicated Nadal’s ferocious tenacity to win every point. He has Nadal’s commitment to conditioning and top-level physical fitness.
  • Alcaraz has excellent use of topspin, allowing him to pin his opponents deep behind the baseline.
  • Alcaraz is an elite defensive player but switches to offense fluidly as soon as his opponent makes a mistake.
  • Alcaraz already has the point construction acumen of a 10-year veteran on the ATP tour.
  • Alcaraz mixes in screaming forehands with deft drop shots with the touch of an artist.
  • Alcaraz already has a formidable serve. Combine that with his brilliance from the baseline, he has an advantage in any extended rally.

I would be surprised if Carlos Alcaraz did not win this title. He is head and shoulders above the field. He is the best clay player in this tournament and is coming off rest after his exit at Wimbledon. Alcaraz definitely needs to be in your portfolio.

ATP Pick: Carlos Alcaraz to Win the Tournament (-125) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Carlos Alcaraz to Win the Tournament (-125) (-125)
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Alex Molcan (+5000)

I am passing over seeds such as Andrey Rublev and Botic van de Zandschulp to take a chance with a long shot here. The idea is that with even a reasonable amount of success, we will be able to hedge off this play if Alex Molcan can make the semifinals.

Molcan has flown under the radar but achieved a number of impressive clay court wins this season.

Player Profile and Analysis

  • Alex Molcan is a 24-year-old Slovakian player ranked 44th in the world.
  • Molcan plays left-handed.
  • Molcan is 12-7 on clay this season.
  • Molcan has amassed wins over top clay players such as Felix Auger-Aliassime, Botic van de Zandschulp, Karen Khachanov, and Laslo Djere so far this season.
  • Molcan has made three clay court finals in his career.

The idea here in taking Alex Molcan is that at such an exorbitant price, we can hedge if he has any modicum of success here in Hamburg.

I expect Molcan to have a strong tournament, as he’s been playing well against top players so far this season. At the generous number of +5000 at the ATP odds, Alex Molcan is worth a small bet.

ATP Pick: Alex Molcan to Win the Tournament (+5000) at BetOnline

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Pablo Carreno Busta (+1200)

Pablo Carreno Busta is the defending champion here in Hamburg. With an eye-popping 12-1 price tag, we need to have a little invested in him to defend his title.

Player Profile and Analysis

  • Pablo Carreno Busta is a 31-year-old Spanish player ranked 18th in the world.
  • Carreno Busta is known for his consistent groundstrokes and his excellent defensive ability.
  • Carreno Busta keeps himself in top shape and his fitness puts him at an advantage against most opponents in a long match.
  • Carreno Busta is 10-8 on clay this year.
  • Carreno Busta is coming off an excellent performance in Bastad where he made the semifinal before falling to eventual champ Francisco Cerundolo.

Players defending points often have extra motivation to make sure they put forth an excellent performance. Pablo Carreno Busta has been playing some of his best tennis of the season on clay this week. He seems to have found his form on grass after a disappointing clay season, by his standards.

He is the defending champ here and definitely enjoys the surface and climate here in Germany. No portfolio would be complete without taking the defending champ with double-digit odds at the top-rated sportsbooks.

ATP Pick: Pablo Carreno Busta to Win the Tournament (+1200) at BetOnline

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.