The Hamburg Open continues its first round with more clay court action. It will be a busy day on the courts with 10 men’s matches scheduled.
Let’s take a look at the featured match for another winning tennis pick.
Francisco Cerundolo vs. Daniel Altmaier
Tuesday, July 19, 2022 – 12:00 PM EDT at Center Court
It's not surprising that the tournament organizers chose this match to headline day two of the Hamburg Open. Francisco Cerundolo is coming off a tournament win in Bastad and is playing a popular German player, Daniel Altmaier.
Let's take a look at these two players and how they match up.
- Francisco Cerundolo is a 23-year-old Argentinian player ranked 30th in the world.
- Cerundolo is a right-handed player with a two-handed backhand.
- Cerundolo has the quickness and court coverage typically associated with a defensive clay court player.
- He also has a huge forehand that makes him a potent threat on offense.
Cerundolo is coming off an excellent week of tennis where he won the title at the Bastad Open. He only dropped one set to the world number five Casper Ruud en route to the title.
This win was Francisco Cerundolo's first ATP title in his career, and it was especially important for Cerundolo's mindset, as he had previously lost to Ruud in his best performance of the season, a semifinal appearance at the Miami Open.
Cerundolo has made two ATP-level finals. In March of 2021, he made the final of the Argentina Open.
- Cerundolo was 6-6 on clay this year. After his title run at Bastad, he is 11-6 on clay and comes into the tournament in his best form.
- Cerundolo is 17-12 in the 2022 season. His hold percentage is 76.1% and his break percentage is 31.3%.
- Daniel Altmaier is a 23-year-old German player ranked number 56 in the world.
- Altmaier plays right-handed with a one-handed backhand.
- Altmaier has a big serve. When he is serving well he can be tough to break.
Altmaier has yet to make an ATP final in his career. He has made 7 Challenger finals in his career, winning 4 Challenger titles.
Altmaier has had success at the Challenger level this season, winning the Heilbronn clay court Challenger in May. He made it to the final of the Phoenix Challenger in March, which is a loaded Challenger field.
Players who lost in the first week of Indian Wells play the Phoenix event, making it popular amongst top players. However, he has failed to find success on the ATP level this season.
- Altmaier is 5-18 in the 2022 season.
- His hold percentage is 75.7% and his break percentage is 14.5%.
Let's take a look at how these two players will match up when they take the court.
Serve and groundstrokes
Daniel Altmaier has the slightly better serve, while Francisco Cerundolo has better groundstrokes. He is more consistent and can dial up a more powerful forehand.
Fatigue will obviously be an issue here with Cerundolo’s chances this week, but it is a short trip. It is not the same type of travel that we would usually look to fade with a player coming off a tournament win.
The players' form is almost the complete opposite. Cerundolo comes off the biggest tournament win of his career, while Altmaier has struggled to win at the ATP level this season.
Cerundolo breaks at a 16.8% higher rate this season.
Normally we like to fade players coming off tournament wins, but in this case, Daniel Altmaier is not the right player with which to take a stand against Cerundolo. The travel is not very much, and Altmaier's form has simply been less than inspiring.
Francisco Cerundolo's touch and ability to change pace against Sebastian Baez were brilliant in the final in Bastad. There's no reason to expect it won't continue. Of course, there is a concern of a letdown coming off this big win, but there is greater concern that Daniel Altmaier would not even be able to take advantage of such a letdown.
Francisco Cerundolo will continue his run of good play. Although the excitement of winning the title can often lead to a terrible showing the next time out, the short travel and similar conditions will play into Cerundolo’s hand here. I expect Cerundolo to win easily.
The current odds favor the Argentinian, so our bet for today's featured match at the Hamburg Open is Francisco Cerundolo -3.5 games.
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.