We are in the quarterfinals at the Citi Open in Washington DC. We’ve seen some great performances so far, and I, for one, am happy to be able to watch high-quality tennis action all day here in my time zone.
Maxime Cressy vs. Andrey Rublev
Thursday, August 04, 2022 – 07:00 PM EDT at Stadium
Maxime Cressy has been playing the best tennis in his career as of late.
Today he takes on a stiff challenge facing Andrey Rublev. Let's take a look at these two players and how they match up.
- Maxime Cressy is a 25-year-old French American player ranked 32 in the world.
- Cressy was born in Paris but played college tennis at UCLA.
- Cressy is 7-8 against players in the top 10.
- Cressy plays right-handed with a two-handed backhand.
- Cressy made seven Challenger finals and won three Challenger tournaments before ascending to the ATP Tour.
Cressy is on a five-match winning streak. He is coming off his first title in his career by winning the ATP Newport event. He overcame a slow start but finished strong in his 4-6, 6-4, 6-0 win over Jack Sock. Cressy was much better on his second serve, winning 59% of points compared to only 45% for Sock.
Cressy is a throwback in that he plays a serve and volley style. His style was quite popular in the '80s and before. Yet with increased racket technology, players found it hard to get to the net in time to make their first volley in good position and the style has fallen out of favor.
Cressy's adept use of the style has brought more variety to the men's game and he is fun to watch, especially for older fans such as myself.
Cressy is aggressive on the second serve and does not reduce the pace, preferring an aggressive second serve and not worrying about double faults. Double faults can be an issue for him because of this, but he wins an inordinate amount of second serve points.
Cressy is aggressive on return of serve. In a similar throwback to the '80s, he will use a "chip and charge" approach, using slice to be able to approach the net.
- Andrey Rublev is a 24-year-old Russian player ranked 8 in the world.
- Rublev plays right-handed with a two-handed backhand.
- Rublev has won 11 ATP titles in his career.
Rublev got a straightforward win in his first match here in Washington, defeating Jack Draper of Great Britain 6-4, 6-2. Rublev won an impressive 89% of first serve points in the match.
He is an aggressive player, he relies on his forehand and will attack at any opportunity he gets. Rublev employs a solid two-handed backhand. He rarely makes errors off the backhand side, preferring to be more aggressive from the forehand side.
Unlike Cressy, Rublev really dials back on his second serve. This allows opponents to attack it and he also has issues with double faults.
Both men have excellent first serves and they both struggle with double faults. Breaks of serve should be at a premium here, but second serve accuracy could decide the match, with breaks being so hard to secure.
Rublev will have the advantage from the baseline. Rublev can dial up more power from his forehand side and can be more consistent in the rare times when he does play defensively, especially off his backhand wing.
Cressy will look to take advantage of Rublev's aggressiveness and get to the net early to endpoints. Cressy charging the net will give Rublev smaller windows in which to place his shots. Rather than be picked apart from the baseline, Cressy will make his move to the net and look to end points quickly and decisively.
Rublev has the much higher ceiling, but Cressy has been in better form as of late. Rublev played excellently during the clay swing, but being forced to sit out for grass season due to the ban on Russian players in England stunted Rublev's momentum, and he's trying to rebuild his form right now.
I do believe there's a little value on the Cressy moneyline with the form he has been displaying as of late. But the much safer pick providing more value is the over in this match.
As mentioned earlier, double faults will most likely be the way that each man gets a break of serve. Assuming both players play and serve well, I will not be surprised to see a tie break or to see this match go three sets.
With the serve and volley style being almost extinct in today's game, Cressy can provide problems for opponents who are not used to the aggressive nature of his game.
If he gets out to an early start in this match, it is almost certain to go over, as Rublev will probably settle in and figure it out in the second set. Cressy's form has been magnificent and I expect them to be able to hold serve well enough to make this a tightly contested match. Our bet for today's Washington Citi Open is Maxime Cressy/Andrey Rublev Over 23 games.
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