Citi Open 2022 Odds Analysis and Best Bets

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Nick Kyrgios of Australia returns a shot to Adrian Mannarino of France during the Miami Open. Matthew Stockman/Getty Images/AFP.

The controversial Wimbledon finalist Nick Kyrgios is back in singles action this week in Washington. Today he faces veteran American Marcos Giron. Let’s take a look at the ATP odds to find another winning tennis pick.

Nick Kyrgios vs. Marcos Giron

Tuesday, August 02, 2022 – 07:00 PM EDT at Rock Creek Tennis Stadium

Consistency has always been an issue for Nick Kyrgios, so let's see how he fares against the seasoned American.

Players Profile and Analysis

Marcos Giron

  • Marcos Giron is a 29-year-old American player ranked 53 in the world.
  • Giron plays right-handed with a 2 handed backhand.
  • Giron has not won an ATP title in his career.
  • Giron has made the second round of the US Open in the last two seasons.
  • Giron has won two ATP Challenger titles in his career.
  • Giron is 7-23 against players ranked in the top 10.
  • Giron is 11-21 in the 2022 season.
  • His hold percentage is 77.6% and his break percentage is 16.4%.

Nick Kyrgios

  • Nick Kyrgios is a 27-year-old Australian player ranked 63 in the world.
  • This will be Kyrgios' first singles performance since he made the finals at Wimbledon, the best result of his career.
  • Kyrgios plays right-handed with a two-handed backhand.
  • Kyrgios is 24-9 in the 2022 season.
  • His hold percentage is an amazing 93.5% and his break percentage is 17.7%.

Kyrgios showed the talent at Wimbledon that made him such a vaunted prospect for so many years. His issue has always been with his mental game, which was under control at Wimbledon, giving tennis observers hope for a late-career renaissance.

Kyrgios openly admitted that he's not fully committed to the sport of tennis and that he plays to make money.

This match will be an important benchmark to see if this newfound commitment was just for the tournament of Wimbledon, or if we can see a focused Kyrgios for the rest of the season.


Players Matchup

Serve

Marcos Giron has a good serve. Unfortunately for him, Kyrgios has one of the best serves in the world and has the advantage in this area.

Forehand

Nick Kyrgios has the more flashy forehand. Marcos Giron has a strong forehand as well, but once again, he's playing against Kyrgios who will have the advantage here.

Backhand

Both players have sturdy backhands that are nothing special. It'll be interesting to see (as each player is so forehand-dominant in their playing style), how much the backhand to backhand rallies are utilized by either player during this match.

Hold/Break Percentage

Kyrgios has a better hold/break percentage by 111.2% to 94%, a sizable 17.2% edge.

Mentality

Marcos Giron does not have the talent of Nick Kyrgios but he also does not get rattled on the court. If Kyrgios has problems matching his Wimbledon success, he could have a meltdown giving Giron a huge mental edge.

Crowd Advantage

Kyrgios is very popular with the crowds. He will have the crowd support here in the night match in Washington.


Nick Kyrgios vs. Marcos Giron: Best Bet for Today

Marcos Giron has built his ranking by beating players that he's supposed to beat at the lower levels. He has always struggled against the top players, and while Kyrgios has a lower ranking, he has a top 10 level of talent. Unless Kyrgios completely gives up in this match, which is always a possibility, he should cruise in an easy victory.

There's really no tennis advantage that you can point to Marcos Giron having here. He's going to struggle in all rallies and it's going to be very hard for him to get breaks against Kyrgios’s almost unreturnable first serve. Other than just staying steady and trying to get Kyrgios to give up on the court, he does not have much of a tactical way to victory here.

Although this is always a gamble, we're going to count on Nick Kyrgios to continue his focused effort on the tennis court. He's always enjoyed playing here in Washington and has had good results here in the past. I think that we could see a strong hard court swing from Kyrgios, who does enjoy playing on the hard courts and being in America.

ATP Pick: Nick Kyrgios -4 (-102) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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Nick Kyrgios -4 (-102)
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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.