Citi Open 2022 Finals Preview and Best Bets

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Liudmila Samsonova returns a shot to Xiyu Wang of China in the Women's Semifinal during Day 8 of the Citi Open. Patrick Smith/Getty Images/AFP

In spite of a week in which the players and tournament officials were tormented by rain, we are here at the finals at the Citi Open in Washington DC.

Some players had to play two matches in one day on Thursday but now that we’re back on track and had sunny skies yesterday, the finals are set. Let’s take a look at these matches to find more winning tennis picks.


Yoshihito Nishioka vs. Nick Kyrgios

Sunday, August 07, 2022 – 05:00 PM EDT at Stadium

Yoshihito Nishioka continued his torrid run here in Washington and made his first ever final in an ATP 500 event.

Nishioka's breakout week has moved him from world number 96 to world number 54, and he will become world number 42 if he grabs the victory today.

But he will need to win another match as an underdog facing Nick Kyrgios, who is playing the most consistent tennis of his career.

Player Matchup

Nishioka's Strengths

Nick Kyrgios is the rightful favorite, but Yoshihito Nishioka has won every match as an underdog so far in this event.

Nishioka has the better return of serve. Kyrgios is going to attack second serves but he can be rather lackadaisical against strong first serves and cede points easily since he knows he is so hard to break.

Nishioka is more consistent from the baseline. He is quicker, has more court coverage, and is the better defensive player.

Kyrgios' Strengths

Kyrgios has the much better serve. Nishioka stated in the post-match interview after the semifinal that it will be important to him for him to concentrate on return of serve because Kyrgios is such a powerful player and hard to break.

Kyrgios is more aggressive from the baseline. He hits his groundstrokes with more power and will most likely hit more winners as well as more unforced errors.

Kyrgios has won all three of the players' previous meetings. Their most recent match was in the round of 16 at the Australian Open in 2019.

Kyrgios has the experience advantage. As mentioned before, this is Nishioka's first final at the ATP 500 level or higher.

Kyrgios will most likely have the support of the crowd as the Americans are drawn to the charisma of the brash Australian player.


Best Bet

This handicap feels eerily similar to yesterday's in which I doubted Yoshihito Nishioka against Rublev, a top player in the world who is playing in great form.

Yesterday we spoke of how sometimes when a player “redlines” it can be tough to predict how long the almost perfect level of play will continue. We are faced, once again, with that challenge today.

Nick Kyrgios is even more popular with the current ATP odds today than Andrey Rublev was yesterday. Kyrgios is an eye-popping -769 on the money line and -4 on the game spread.

They have set the total at 22 games. Even the set handicap of -1.5 sets, or for Kyrgios to win in straight sets, is an unplayable -172.

Nishioka Will Put up a Good Fight

Because of Nishioka's high level of play, I believe that he can push Kyrgios to the limits.

His left-handed serve should play well and give him an advantage when trying to hold. If just one set goes to a tie break we have a good chance of getting the Over.

Kyrgios does have a habit of tanking return games because he knows how strong his serve plays in a tiebreak.

We will count on Nishioka's incredible form to continue and for him to push the talented Australian to the limit. Our bet for the Washington Citi Open men's final is Nick Kyrgios/Yoshihito Nishioka Over 22 games.

ATP Pick: Over 22 Games (-102) at Bookmaker (visit our Bookmaker Review)

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Over 22 Games (-102)
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Liudmila Samsonova vs. Kaia Kanepi

Sunday, August 07, 2022 - 02:30 PM EDT at Stadium

In a battle between two of the hardest hitters on the WTA tour Liudmila Samsonova will take on Kaia Kanepi. Let's take a look at how these players match up.

Player Matchup

Both players had decisive semifinal wins. Kaia Kanepi beat Daria Saville 6-3, 6-1 in just 73 minutes. Liudmila Samsonova was even more impressive in her 6-1, 6-1 67 minutes semifinal victory. Both players come into the match displaying an impressive form.

Each player usually gets the nod here when ranking their abilities to hit with power. But these players are close, and it will be a hard-hitting affair with many quick points.

Both players have shown the best form of their season coming into the match.

I really have no idea who the crowd will support. It will be interesting to see if either player can create favor from the American crowd over the course of the match.

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Samsonova's Strengths

Samsonova has a slightly more powerful serve. But once again it is so close that it will not be much of an edge.

Samsonova has the slightly better court coverage, but it is not that impressive and it will probably not come into play that often in this big-hitting affair.

Samsonova won their only previous meeting, in the first round of Wimbledon last season.

Kanepi's Strengths

Kanepi has the slightly more powerful groundstrokes. Again, the edge here is negligible and both players will be blasting the ball.

Kanepi has the experience advantage.


Best Bet

This is another tough match to predict. Both players come into the match playing their best tennis of the season. However, in a battle of power hitters, I prefer Liudmila Samsonova and I believe she will get the victory.

Samsonova will not be troubled by being forced to hit multiple shots as she does against smaller, quicker, more defensive players.

Each player will have the opportunity to end rallies quickly whenever they get a ball that is worth attacking. Without Liudmila Samsonova facing the pressure of having to hit multiple balls in order to hit winners, I think it will be easier for her to find her groove and take command of this match.

Our bet for the Washington Citi Open Women's final is Liudmila Samsonova -1.5 games.

WTA Pick: Liudmila Samsonova -1.5 Games (-105) at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.