ATP Finals Best Bets for November 21

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Russia's Daniil Medvedev returns a shot. Photo by Marco BERTORELLO / AFP.

Ten of the elite men’s tennis players arrived in Turin for the ATP finals. Now only two remain. Which man will emerge the champion of the ATP finals? Which wager should you make to make a winning ATP pick?

Alexander Zverev vs. Daniil Medvedev

Sunday, November 21, 2021 – 11:00 AM EST at Center Court

The headline of the semifinals with Alexander Zverev once again beating Novak Djokovic. Zverev was able to prevail at the Olympics and did so once again here at the ATP Finals in Turin. The German was able to prevail 7-6, 4-6, 6-3. The win has to boost Zverev’s confidence going into the final against Medvedev.

Zverev hit 14 Aces to just one double fault. He made 72% of his first serves and won 78% of those for serves put in play. But the major advantage was the 63% of second-serve points Zverev won compared to Djokovic’s 41%. Both players were 75% (3/4) on break points saved. Zverev hit 35 winners compared to 24 unforced errors. Overall it was an inspiring performance by Zverev.

"It was a fantastic match, I think we’ve played five times this year and every single time it was a great battle and we played for a very long time," said Zverev, "For me, there is no one in the world who should be more respected than Novak in my opinion," Zverev added.

"Where he came from, what he’s achieved, he’s the greatest player of all time and I think people forget that sometimes. Everyone should appreciate that for once."

Daniil Medvedev had a much easier time in his semifinal match but of course, he is playing a much easier opponent. While Casper Ruud is no slouch, he is not in contention for the greatest player of all time like Novak Djokovic. Medvedev scored a workmanlike 6-4, 6-2 performance. Medvedev won 82% of first-serve points and did not face a break point. He hit 20 winners compared to 16 unforced errors.

"It was a great match because I felt that watching Casper this year he’s one of the smartest players on the tour," said Medvedev. “It’s a tough match no matter the score and I’m pleased that I managed to break him from time to time and this made the difference today."

Medvedev and Zverev have faced off 11 times. Zverev won 5 of the first 6 but Medvedev has won the last 5 times, including their most recent match up here in Turin during the round-robin format. In the match at the ATP Finals, Medvedev prevailed 6-3, 6-7, 7-6. In the match, Zverev had 18 Aces to Medvedev’s 14. Medvedev had 36 winners and 27 unforced errors while Zverev had an impressive 48 winners to 25 unforced errors. Medvedev won 112 of the total 216 points.

"He’s a Grand Slam champion and I’m Olympic gold medalist and maybe we both put that on the line tomorrow," Zverev said. "It features the best eight players and is difficult to win. I’m looking forward to having another chance [against Medvedev]. He is one of the best players in the world right now, so it’s going to be a difficult match no matter what."

"Sasha (Zverev), we just played a few days ago you know so tough to say anything special. Big serve, big shots, same forehand, and backhand... all-round player, runs well, hits well if he has an easy ball to play. Complete player," Medvedev told reporters.

Zverev has looping topspin heavy groundstrokes while Medvedev prefers to hit the ball flat. Both can dial-up huge forces with Medvedev having a much stronger second serve.

Earlier in their careers, Zverev’s strong groundstrokes gave him the edge and allowed him to get the victory. With Medvedev’s improvement over the last 2 seasons, he has been able to get the better of his “Next Gen” rival.

The tennis world has been waiting for players to step up and knock the “Big 3” off their perch. Zverev and Medvedev have finally done that. There is a future beyond the “Big 3” and it starts now! This final is a preview of the new top of the Tennis world.

I believe this match will go over once again as their first encounter did. These players are evenly matched and will have problems breaking each other’s serves. I lean Medvedev to get the victory, but the price on the side has no value. I believe that the Over 23 games is the best play.

ATP Pick: Daniil Medvedev/Alexander Zverev Over 23 games (-110) at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

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