ATP Finals and WTA Finals Best Bets for November 17

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Serbia's Novak Djokovic. (Photo by Marco BERTORELLO / AFP)

The ATP finals in Turin continue with two exciting matchups. When the best of the best in the men’s tennis world square off, who is the winning tennis pick?

Novak Djokovic vs. Andrey Rublev

Wednesday, November 17, 2021 – 08:00 AM EST at Centre Court

The world’s number one Novak Djokovic defeated Casper Ruud in his opening match in Turin. Ruud made the first set tough for the Serbian, but Novak was able to settle down and cruise in the second set to a final score of 7-6, 6-2. The win over Ruud was Djokovic’s 39th win in ATP finals which tied him with Ivan Lendl for the second-most wins ever in the year-end tournament.

Novak’s 39 wins at the ATP Finals are more than the rest of the field combined. Djokovic has lost in the second scheduled match of the round-robin format in the last two years, so he will be looking to make a turnaround today. Andrey Rublev was able to overcome StefanosTsitsipas in the first round. Rublev served fantastically and did not face a breakpoint the entire match. Rublev won 37/41 of his first-serve points en route to a 6-4, 6-4 victory.

This was Rublev’s first win at the ATP Finals. Rublev qualified last season but lost both matches against Rafael Nadal and Stefanos Tsitsipas. Rublev has to feel good about getting his first win at the season-ending tournament. It was nice to see Rublev turn around his form.

Recent losses to Adrian Mannarino and Tommy Paul had us doubting Rublev’s level of play coming into the tournament. Rublev has bounced back to the level that has allowed him to rise up the ranks to become the world number 5. With Rublev back in form, he will definitely be able to give Novak a tough test.

Rublev has an all-around game. He can dial up aces when needed. He has a strong but inconsistent forehand. His backhand has been playing well and he has been doing well in backhand to backhand rallies. As Rublev has matured, he is playing with more patience and is much more well-versed in point construction.

Russia’s Andrey Rublev celebrates. (Photo by MARCO BERTORELLO / AFP)

I think Rublev can keep it close. The best way to attack this match from a wagering standpoint is the over 21 games. In Andrey’s current form, he can definitely provide the pressure to keep it close against Djokovic. The quick surface in Turin plays in our favor as well. The server has a huge advantage on these quick courts. This is my favorite best bet of the day, Novak Djokovic over 21 games.

Tennis Pick: Novak Djokovic over 21 (-111) with BookMaker (visit our BookMaker Review)

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Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Casper Ruud

Wednesday, November 17, 2021 - 03:00 PM EST at Centre Court

Stefanos Tsitsipas is nursing an arm injury. At the most recent ATP tournament in Paris, Tsitsipas was forced to withdraw against Alexi Popyrin. While he seemed to be getting back to himself against Andrey Rublev in the first match here in Turin, Tsitsipas is still struggling. One

has to understand that his preparation has definitely been hampered, even if he is starting to look healthy on the court.

Tsistsipas has a strong one-handed backhand. Tsitsipas can be one of the best to watch when his backhand is on because his backhand plays so pure. Tennis fans hope to see Tsitsipas at full health because he has one of the most aesthetically pleasing games on tour.

Greece’s Stefanos Tsitsipas. (Photo by MARCO BERTORELLO / AFP)

The uncertainty around Tsitsipas’ health makes this match tough to handicap. Casper Ruud comes into the match on a two-match losing streak. Yet the losses were to two elite players Alexander Zverev and Novak Djokovic. Ruud lost in straight sets in both encounters.

These are not the best conditions for the Norwegian Ruud. Ruud uses heavy topspin off both sides of his groundstrokes, which will be limited on the quick surface in Turin. On a slower hard court, this would be a fantastic tactical match, but on this court, Tsitsipas has the advantage.

Ruud is making his ATP finals debut and players in their first time around often have problems adjusting to playing against the elite of the tennis world. Tsitsipas is at his best he should be able to overcome Ruud. If Tsitsipas is anything but 100%, Ruud has the skills to take advantage of a weakened Greek.

Norway’s Casper Ruud serves the ball. (Photo by Marco BERTORELLO / AFP)

Since I don’t want to play doctor and call the side I will play the under here. I think whoever wins does so in an easy fashion. If Tsitsipas is at his best he should be able to grab a straight-set victory over Ruud. If not, Ruud can take advantage of him and put him away quickly. My favorite bet for this match is the under 23 games.

Tennis Pick: Casper Ruud Under 23 (-116) with BookMaker

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.