ATP Finals and WTA Finals Best Bets for November 16

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Spain's Paula Badosa returns the ball. Photo by Ulises Ruiz / AFP.

The top men’s tennis players in the world continue to battle in the ATP finals in Turin. On the women’s side, we are down to 4 women remaining in the WTA finals in Guadalajara. Which players should you wager on to make winning tennis picks?

Daniil Medvedev vs. Alexander Zverev

Tuesday, November 16, 2021 – 08:00 AM EST at Center Court

Alexander Zverev escaped with a victory in his first-round match, although he was down a set when his opponent Marco Berrentini was forced to retire with an injury. Zverev was down 6-7, 0-1 at the time of the retirement. Zverev is number three in the world. He has won 56 matches at the ATP level this season, most by any man on tour. He has won five titles in the 2021 season, including a gold medal at the Tokyo Olympics.

Zverev is a former ATP Finals Champion winning the title in 2018. In 2019, while defending his title he fell short in the semifinals. In four appearances, he is only 1-3 in the second match of the three round-robin match schedule. That is a weird little stat that we might want to take into account.

Zverev and Medvedev are 5-5 versus each other in head-to-head matches but Medvedev has won four of the last five. Their most recent meeting was a two-set victory by Medvedev over Zverev in similar conditions in Paris.

Daniil Medvedev took three sets to get the win over Hubie Hurkacz. Medvedev was able to triumph 6-7, 6-3, 6-4. Medvedev had 15 aces and did not face a breakpoint in the match. Medvedev commented that the quick nature of the court is reducing the number of tactics that can be played here in Turin.

Medvedev is a clear second favorite to win this tournament and I do believe he will get the win against Zverev again today. While he did complain about it, the ultra-quick surface favors his style of tennis. I think Zverev would be better served on a slower surface, which would allow his looping groundstrokes filled with topspin to keep Medvedev deeper in the court.

On the quick surface, Medvedev’s power should be too much for Zverev once again. The best bet in Turin today is Daniil Medvedev by the game spread of -2 games.

ATP Pick: Daniil Medvedev -2 games (-110) at BookMaker (visit our BookMaker Review)

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Russia’s Daniil Medvedev returns a shot. Photo by Marco BERTORELLO / AFP.

Paula Badosa vs. Garbine Muguruza

Tuesday, November 16, 2021 - 03:00 PM EST at Estadio Akron de Tenis

Spanish tennis fans must be excited by this one! They are guaranteed to have a Spaniard woman in the finals of the tournament here in Guadalajara. Garbine Muguruza is the experienced veteran in this case while Badosa is the up-and-comer. Badosa looked up to Garbine as a young player and one has to wonder if this will play a factor in the match today

Garbine Muguruza followed a tough three-set loss against Karolina Pliskova with two wins. Garbine managed a three-set victory over Barbora Krejcikova and a two-set victory over Anett

Kontaveit, whose motivation had waned after already clinching her spot in the next round. Garbine has a game that plays well on all surfaces, as evidenced by the fact that she is a champion at the French Open and Wimbledon.

Garbine can play all styles. She can play defense, offense and has a big serve. Garbine struggles with consistency from match to match, however, and it is tough to know which level of play she will have each time she shows up to play tennis. When she is on, Garbine is an electric player capable of beating any woman in the world.

Paula Badosa has made a meteoric rise up the rankings this season. Badosa was ranked 70th in the world at the end of 2020 and is now at 10th in the world. Badosa is 43-15 on the year with a 19-7 record on hard courts. She won titles in Belgrade and Indian Wells to catapult herself into the top 10. You can tell Badosa looked up to Muguruza with her all-court game that favors power.

She can also play defense and she is quite quick in her court coverage. She can also blast winners when given the opportunity and has shown a predilection to do that here on the quick courts in Guadalajara.

In this matchup of Spain’s finest female tennis players, I prefer Paula Badosa to get the victory. I can trust Badosa’s consistency much more at this point. Badosa is playing the best tennis of her life. I don’t think she’ll be intimidated by Muguruza in what should be a fantastic match. My tennis pick for the WTA semifinal is Paula Badosa.

WTA Pick: Paula Badosa ML (-137) at BookMaker

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*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.