The 2021 ATP Finals kick off in Turin this Sunday. The top eight players in the world will face off in the final major event for the 2021 ATP season. The WTA finals continue in Guadalajara. The top men and women of the tennis world are all in action this week! Which players should we wager on to make winning tennis picks?
Daniil Medvedev vs. Hubert Hurkacz
Sunday, November 14, 2021 – 08:00 AM EST at Center Court
Daniil Medvedev won this ATP Finals tournament last year. Medvedev followed up his success at the year-end tournament last year with his best season as a pro, culminating in his first Grand Slam victory this season in New York at the US Open. Medvedev’s most recent performance was to make the Finals at another indoor tournament, the Rolex Paris Masters. Medvedev played very well throughout the week in Paris. Yet he fell short in the Finals in a hard-fought match against world number 1, Novak Djokovic.
Medvedev is currently ranked #2 in the world. Medvedev has had the third most ATP Finals experience, with only Alexander Zverev and Novak Djokovic appearing in the year-end tournament more times. Medvedev has won 113 ATP titles in his career, but he has failed to defend any of those titles the following season. Will this tournament become Medvedev’s first successful title defense?
Hubert Hurkacz qualified for the ATP Finals in Turin with a trip to the semifinals at the recent Rolex Paris Masters. His solid showing allowed him to leapfrog Jannik Sinner and earn a spot in this tournament. Hurkacz is 11-3 in his last 14 matches. He is bringing his best form of the season into this year end event.
Medvedev and Hurkacz have met twice in their careers. Most recently was in Toronto, where Medvedev won 2-6, 7-6, 7-6. Hurkacz was victorious when they met in Wimbledon this summer, winning 2-6, 7-6, 3-6, 6-3, 6-3. These matches were very recent and on similar surfaces(the Wimbledon match was played under a closed roof). I think it is fair to say that we can use these results to help direct our handicap for this match.
The ATP finals held in Turin is an indoor event where the courts play fast. The bounces are low. The servers have a massive advantage. This lends well to betting on the Over 22 games. Both players should hold serve at a high rate and breaks will be at a premium. In a match that I expect to be close and feature at least one tiebreak, the over is the best value on the board.
ATP Pick: Hubert Hurkacz/Daniil Medvedev over 22 games at (-105) with BookMaker (visit our BookMaker Review)
Barbora Krejcikova vs. Karolina Pliskova
Sunday, November 14, 2021 - 03:00 PM EST at Estadio Akron de Tenis
Barbora Krejcikova is enjoying a breakout season this year with a huge breakthrough in her level of play. Krejcikova is an impressive 45-18 on the year, including 27-12 on hard courts. She is currently ranked number 3 in the world. She won three tournaments this year. She lifted the trophy in Strasburg, Prague, and became a Grand Slam winner by winning the French Open at Roland Garros. She was a finalist in Dubai and made the quarter-finals in Cincinnati and the US Open.
This increased success means that Krejcikova has played much more tennis than ever before. Her recent results show signs of fatigue after a long season of tennis. Krejcikova has lost five matches in a row.
She lost a three-set match to Garbine Muguruza in her first match of the tournament here at the WTA Finals in Guadalajara. Muguruza beat her 2-6, 6-3, 6-4. In the match, Krejcikova hit an uncharacteristic 33 unforced errors. This is another sign of her fatigue.
Karolina Pliskova is 36-19 on the year, including a 22-12 record on hard courts. She was not able to win a tournament this year, but she reached the Finals in Toronto, Wimbledon, and Montreal. Pliskova opened the tournament here at the WTA finals of Guadalajara with a victory over Garbine Muguruza. Pliskova won 4-6, 6-2, 7-6 in a tightly contested match. Pliskova has been playing well and the quick surface of Guadalajara accentuates her power game.
The value here is on Pliskova to get the victory against Krejcikova, who seems to be wearing down after her arduous breakout season. Her body is clearly not used to the amount of tennis she’s played and her level of play has dropped drastically. Pliskova is playing loose and free right now and should have the power to take advantage of the quicker courts of Guadalajara. Take Karolina Pliskova to win by the game spread of -1.5.
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