The quarterfinals of the Australian Open conclude tonight. The best player in the world, Novak Djokovic, takes on Andrey Rublev. When these two top players face off, who will be the winning tennis pick?
American fans of tennis looking to make some bets on the AO can do it at any of these top US betting sites.
Novak Djokovic vs. Andrey Rublev
Wednesday, January 25, 2023 – 03:30 AM EST at Rod Laver Arena
Novak Djokovic Analysis
Novak Djokovic was off to a slow start in this tournament but he seems to have turned a corner. Djokovic looked fully healthy in his 6-2, 6-1, 6-2 victory over Alex de Minaur. This was a complete domination by the Serbian player who, when at his best, is simply unbeatable.
Djokovic came into the match with a lingering hamstring issue. He finally looked fully healthy for the first time in his last six matches. In his post-match interview, he said it was the best he has felt all season, and the results on the court showed it.
The 35-year-old is tough to beat. He has lost only 14 completed matches against non “Big Four” opponents in the second week of slams in the last 13 years. The “Big Four” are considered to be Andy Murray, Novak Djokovic, Roger Federer, and Rafael Nadal. Unless you are one of the world's elite, it is tough to beat Djokovic in a Grand Slam.
Novak surged by the ATP odds to be the favorite to win the tournament after looking good in his win over de Minaur. Before the match, he was at plus money but is now -245 to win the Australian Open. He's won it nine times and looks to be well on his way to winning his tenth title. If he is to win today, he will tie Andre Agassi's record of 26 consecutive wins in the Australian Open.
He's the reigning Wimbledon champion and has only lost one official match on the main tour since the start of Wimbledon last year. Nole has won 12 of his last 13 quarterfinal appearances in Grand Slams. His last defeat in a Grand Slam quarterfinal came against Rafael Nadal at the French Open in 2022.
Andrey Rublev Analysis
Andrey Rublev won a thriller of a match against Holger Rune in the round of 16. He had to save multiple match points and was down 5-0 in the tiebreaker in the fifth set before coming back to achieve the victory. Rublev's ability to raise his game under pressure does bode well for his performance here today.
The 25-year-old player looked to be building something special at the end of 2022. At the ATP Finals, he got comeback wins against Daniil Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas to make the semifinals of the ATP year-end event.
He is the top-ranked Russian player in the world and has won 12 ATP titles in his career. Rublev has yet to make it past the quarterfinals in a Grand Slam, being 0-6. He lost in straight sets in five of those six matches.
What Can We Expect From This Match?
Novak Djokovic and Andrey Rublev have played three times with the Serbian leading the head-to-head 2-1. Rublev's one win, however, was when Djokovic came back from a lengthy layoff due to a covid vaccine controversy. It is tough to take that match into serious consideration when handicapping today's match.
Djokovic is the best defensive player in the game while his opponent's main weapon is his forehand. Rublev will try to use his forehand to test him, but Djokovic has shown time and time again that he can return such powerful shots. Both men have powerful serves and will be tough to break.
The young player needs to have a huge game serving in order to keep this match close. In any extended rally, Nole will have the advantage. He has the patience to wear down powerful players, and it can be frustrating watching your best shot be returned with ease.
Novak is the heavy favorite in the ATP odds to win this match and rightfully so. This is his best tournament and he has had previous success against Andrey Rublev. I don't see why things would be any different today. Our best bets for tonight's quarterfinal affair are Novak Djokovic -7 games and the under 35.5 games.
Tennis Pick: Novak Djokovic -7 Games (-104) at Bookmaker
Tennis Pick: Under 35.5 Games (-110) at Bookmaker
*The line and/or odds on picks in this article might have moved since the content was commissioned. For updated line movements, visit BMR’s free betting odds product.